Homedawg's Friday Plays 193-192. +38.23

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Dynasty
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Overall: 193-192. +38.23
Thursday 3-3. +3.92

One so far that I wanted to play before it moves even more.

3 Units

Sea/Clev Under 7.5 -110
 

Dynasty
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kind of a lot of plays, but my theory is if I like em I play em...

4 Units

Stl -123
Balt -124

3 Units

Pit/Col Over 10.5 -111
LAD -111
Texas +113

2 Units

Mets -103
Florida -106
LAD/Ariz Und 8.5 -105
Seattle -125
 

Dynasty
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Stl - Like them at home against a team who cannot hit. Cards have underrated offense against a pitcher who doesn't have the stuff he once did.

Fla - Nolasco 45:4 K:B ratio last 5 games. Will continue to ride the hot hand.

Balt - Baltimore is still fighting. Guthrie gutsy pitcher. Det still inconsistent at the plate. Like the O's at home.

Pit/Col Over - Snell doesn't have it this yr. Could be injury , but just gets shelled on the road. Rusch isn't going to shut anyone down either, esp at Coors

LAD - Will continue to fade the dbacks against above average pitching.

Texas - How can you not like theses bats? I would also give Milwood a slight pitching advantage.

Mets - Riding the hot team. Been good to me the past 2 weeks. Feeling it at the moment and I will ride it out

LAD/Ariz Under 8.5 - Neither team can hit. Kudroa can completely shut down the dbacks and Davis is crafty enough to slow down the dodgers.

Seattle - I'll take King Felix at home laying small juice anyday
 

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here are a few tidbits. 1 obviously being fading Millwood 2night...couple of other tidbits are these: Texas on the road at night facing lefties is just 2-8 and averaging 3.1 runs/game in those games. Millwood has a career 0-5 record facing the Twins with a 5.86 ERA. Perkins won his only start against the Rangers this year with a 2.86 ERA in an 11-4 victory. The Texas bullpen is one of the worst in MLB and their ERA is 4.98. On the flip side, Minny's bullpen at home has a ERA of 1.99. Minny hits right handed starters best, and Texas doesnt fare nearly as well vs left-handed starters....I am ALL OVER this 1 my friends.
 

Dynasty
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here are a few tidbits. 1 obviously being fading Millwood 2night...couple of other tidbits are these: Texas on the road at night facing lefties is just 2-8 and averaging 3.1 runs/game in those games. Millwood has a career 0-5 record facing the Twins with a 5.86 ERA. Perkins won his only start against the Rangers this year with a 2.86 ERA in an 11-4 victory. The Texas bullpen is one of the worst in MLB and their ERA is 4.98. On the flip side, Minny's bullpen at home has a ERA of 1.99. Minny hits right handed starters best, and Texas doesnt fare nearly as well vs left-handed starters....I am ALL OVER this 1 my friends.

the bulpen's are the one aspect of this game that scares me. I however feel strongly towards the Rangers.
Texas actually hits better against lefties .290 then the Twins do righties .280. The last 7 games Texas is hitting over .320 while Minn is hitting .290. I think Milwood can take the lack of bullpen out of play as he has gone at least 5 innings in his last 9 starts. 5 of those starts have been greater than 6 innings. I also think CJ Wilson is a very good closer, where he will not hurt them. Perkins ERA is actually 1 run higher at home with a higher WHIP. Taking all that into account I like my chances on the dog here.
GL with the rest of the card:toast:
 

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not sure where u see Tex hiting .290 vs leftys......they actually hit .258 vs leftys and hit .300 vs right handers...
 

Just Another Brick in the Wall
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Tex hits .233 vs LHP on the road this year and .258 overall according to covers, I am assuming this would be against all LHP including relievers which would make sense as starters as a whole have higher ERA's then relief specialists.
 

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Ooooooo...just lefy starters....that explains it...Well, I hope u have a +$$night, but I am on Minny HUGE!!!!!!!!!
 

Just Another Brick in the Wall
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I am going big on Minny as well tonight, GL homedawg and everyone else.
 

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