Holy S#@t Kansas +27

[hdaddy]

I'm all over this early. +27, Kansas is 4-0 ATS in OK since 1992. 6-2 overall and 4-4 straight up. Line should have been about 14.5 by my stats.

Also took Bowling Green -12 early over Ohio.

Opinions Anyone?

 

[ElIguana]

I see the Hawks holding OU's offense to a reasonably low total (30-40 points?), reasonably low for OU in Norman, anyway! The problem is: Can the Hawks score 10-14 to cover in Norman? I don't see how. They managed 8 points in Lincoln 2 weeks ago.

OU's offense is more about control and running game this year--they aren't throwing long bombs and putting 60 on the board each week like they were last year. But their defense is incredibly fast....I don't know how the Hawks score in Norman. Maybe if the line gets to 28 I'll put a little on the Hawks and hope for a defensive score of some sort. GL

 

[oldirtyku]

I like this play at +27. I like it alot more at +28. Going to wait.

Ku

 

[WinOne]

KU may be getting a break as OU off Rival games at Texas and Revenger @ KState. The topper to this is after KU Sooner go to Okie St for Bedlam Week which is a big instate game for them. KU definately looks like it warrants a solid look as Sooners in a bad emotional spot.


WinOne!!

 

[Mjllomb]

I like Kansas + points as well..OU doesn't seem to blow people out anymore. We need 3 scores from Kansas, probably....

OU IMO wins by 20

 

[WinOne]

MJ,

What's up with UT? They almost lost at home to Mizzou because of bad QB play. Are they finally going to get rid of GDavis as OCoordinator?

WinOne!!

 

[LSUpete]

Not if they want to sig Ryan Periloux.

 

[jwunderdog]

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" bgColor=black border=0><TBODY><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD align=middle>9/4/2004</TD><TD align=middle>H</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Tulsa</TD><TD align=right>-4</TD><TD align=right>55</TD><TD align=middle>21-3</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>U</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>0</TD><TD align=right>102</TD><TD align=right>2.83</TD><TD align=right>99</TD><TD align=right>7.07</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>50</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>1.43</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>91</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>8.27</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: whitesmoke"><TD align=middle>9/11/2004</TD><TD align=middle>H</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Toledo</TD><TD align=right>-3</TD><TD align=right></TD><TD align=middle>63-14</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro></TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>0</TD><TD align=right>174</TD><TD align=right>4.24</TD><TD align=right>327</TD><TD align=right>13.08</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>64</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>1.73</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>234</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>13.76</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD align=middle>9/18/2004</TD><TD align=middle>A</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Northwestern</TD><TD align=right>+2</TD><TD align=right>59</TD><TD align=middle>17-20</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>L</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>L</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>U</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>0</TD><TD align=right>47</TD><TD align=right>1.81</TD><TD align=right>303</TD><TD align=right>9.47</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>145</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>4.53</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>192</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>9.60</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: whitesmoke"><TD align=middle>9/25/2004</TD><TD align=middle>H</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Texas Tech</TD><TD align=right>+5</TD><TD align=right>63</TD><TD align=middle>30-31</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>L</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>U</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>0</TD><TD align=right>86</TD><TD align=right>2.46</TD><TD align=right>250</TD><TD align=right>10.87</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>182</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>8.27</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>356</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>12.71</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: white"><TD align=middle>10/2/2004</TD><TD align=middle>A</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Nebraska</TD><TD align=right>+12</TD><TD align=right>47</TD><TD align=middle>8-14</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>L</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>U</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=whitesmoke>0</TD><TD align=right>105</TD><TD align=right>3.18</TD><TD align=right>200</TD><TD align=right>8.33</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>139</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>4.34</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>183</TD><TD align=right bgColor=whitesmoke>11.44</TD></TR><TR style="FONT-SIZE: x-small; FONT-FAMILY: verdana; BACKGROUND-COLOR: whitesmoke"><TD align=middle>10/9/2004</TD><TD align=middle>H</TD><TD align=middle></TD><TD>Kansas State</TD><TD align=right>+4</TD><TD align=right>50</TD><TD align=middle>31-28</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>W</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>O</TD><TD align=middle bgColor=gainsboro>0</TD><TD align=right>101</TD><TD align=right>3.16</TD><TD align=right>137</TD><TD align=right>9.79</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>59</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>1.79</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>306</TD><TD align=right bgColor=gainsboro>16.11</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

these rushing #s point to lots of 3 and out for kansas, not good when you rush for 1.8 yards a carry against NW. I would be careful, I think Okla may be ready to hammer someone and it might be Kansas.

 

[hdaddy]

Good points. I still feel 27 is just to many in this spot given Kansas history with OU. OU has got Oklahoma St. following Kansas ... this may be a look ahead for them as well.

 

[ElIguana]

I love the +27, but no one has answered my question as to how the Hawks will score 10-14 points on this Sooner defense....I'm not being a smart-ass here, I see a shut-out. KU scored 8 (that's EIGHT) points in Lincoln, 2 field goals and a safety off of turnovers by the inept Husker offense. I do not see how the Hawks will even get on the board against this monstrous defense in Norman.

 

[Midwesterner]

Ou

I've been to every KU game this year except Northwestern, and I saw OU's defense in person at KSU. I'm not going to say OU is the play, but if you bet on KU because you think they can get three scores then I don't think this is a smart wager.
KU's offense is below average. They kick a lot of field goals and their kickers are shaky. Their rushing offense is terrible, and they won't be able to pass against OU. They are going to split time with Swanson and Barrman at QB. Swanson made one great pass against KSU, but looked terrible the rest of the time. Barrman is average at best. KU's offense rarely drives over 60 yards for touchdowns. Most TD's are set up by their defense, and I don't think they will be able to create turnovers and 3 and Outs against OU. KU will be lucky to score 10 points.
I'm leaning towards OU.

 

[hdaddy]

Kansas is averaging 28.3 pts/g on offense. Granted this is against teams with much worse D than OU. With that said I expect Kansas to score between 10 - 17 pts. With OU looking ahead to Ok St. they may also rest O players after a 21 pt lead (if this occurs), leading to a possible back door cover as well. looking for 31 - 13 type of game.