I don't understand why people are picking Nadal in this match. Yes, maybe if line was +160. There is no value. People say Nadal is playing better ?? Ok on what surface? Answer? Clay. Nadal lost a set to Gulbis and was on verge of losing a second set to him. Nadal just beat up on 3 stiffs on grass!!! Youzhny record on grass 32-20, Murray 22-8, and Schuettler 30-27. On top of that Murray and Schuettler played marathon matches just prior. No way they were gonna have wind in their sails for Nadal. Those last 3 opponents of Nadal combined for an 84-55 record on grass. That is horse manure. On the other hand Roger hasn't lost a set in all of wimbledon and the tourney prior to wimby. He has just beaten Hewitt who career wise is 75-18 on grass, Ancic who is 39-14 , and Safin who is 26-16. Fed just cruised past 3 guys who are a combined 140-48 lifetime on grass !!!!! Insane !! Nadal would not have even made it this far if he had Roger's draw. This is big time revenge for the 3 times Nadal has beaten Roger since April. Roger has him now on his turf. Once Nadal starts chipping that backhand Roger will hit his passing shots and game will be long over. Fed wins in 4.