Hockey Night In Canada

[VegasVic]

HNIC YTD Record-------21-37-1---- -14.56

It’s the dog days of hockey, influenza is running ramped through locker rooms, every team pulls a no-show from time to time, and the west is best. These will be my central themes in today’s edition of fade central.


Edmonton +270

Sticking my neck out a touch on this game but here’s my thinking. These are the dog days for hockey. February is a classic month for backing underdogs. Last year favorites went 97-96, (omitting pick ‘ems), in the month of February. Think about this. 97-96, and you can sprinkle in numerous two dollar dogs into this record. I believe the reason for this ridiculous number is due to two things. Teams with big leads in the standings coast and teams fighting for post season births play with post season intensity.

Last year the Red Wings went 4-10 in February. Granted some of this can be excused to having key injuries but I think it’s just the nature of things to let down after 50 or so games with large leads in the standings. Edmonton actually has been playing some decent hockey in their last 10, (omitting that 10-2 shellacking in Buffalo), and has always played tough against and in Detroit.

By the way the favorite’s record in February of this year is currently 21-13.


Calgary -.5 -115

Anaheim always looks like they don’t care to me. They have consistently taken lazy penalties all year and paid the price. They look undisciplined to the point I think they are trying to sabotage Randy Carlyle’s post. The only thing they do consistently is play physical. Physical doesn’t beat a team like the Calgary Flames.

Flames should come out with concerted effort, (having lost 3 straight) , are one of the strongest home teams in the league, and are 10-3 at the Saddledome versus the Ducks since February 2004.


Florida/Washington Over 5.5

Don’t think Florida didn’t take notes on the L.A. Kings success in stretch passes against Washington last Thursday. Yes the Cap’s Friday practice focused on systems work and undoubtedly they won’t be allowing Panthers to sneak past the defense is routinely as the Kings were allowed but the aggressive speed of these two teams sets up as a classic Southwestern Division track meet. I’d be surprised to see anything less than 7 goals.



Los Angeles Kings +170
Over 5.5 +105

The west is best. Last year the western division had a cumulative winning record of 82-67 over the east, (55%). Despite the increased inter-conference schedule things have stayed the course this season. So far the west has gone 101-81, (55.5%).

While it’s hard to go against a team running so smooth as today’s Devils squad there are three things that tell me L.A. is a live dog. The Devils are in a classic flat spot after playing in Atlanta last night and have the Rangers on deck for Monday. They also have a six point cushion in the Atlantic division and could take this inter-conference game lightly.

Meanwhile L.A. is essentially already playing playoff games. Every point is essential and they have responded with a very impressive stretch, (5 wins in their last 6).

Lastly the price. +170 for a team who has just won 4 of 5 on the road against difficult opponents and really should have won all 5 if it wasn’t for some lopsided officiating in Montreal last Saturday. The Canadians tied the game with under two minutes remaining and won it with 22 seconds left on a questionable PP.

Both teams are lighting the lamp, both like to play up tempo, (never thought I’d say that about New Jersey), and this game should see some goal scoring.


Carolina/Phoenix Under 5.5 -115

About the only thing more futile than my HNIC record this year is the Hurricane and Coyote offenses. They rank 25<SUP>th</SUP> and 26<SUP>th</SUP> respectively, both with identical averages of 2.51 GPG. Not surprisingly their PP are also ranked near the bottom of the charts, (26<SUP>th</SUP> and 28<SUP>th</SUP>).

Carolina has strung together 5 wins in their last 7 to climb back into the playoff picture. They haven’t done it with offense. In those 5 wins they have given up 6 goals. Since Paul Maurice has taken the bench, (12/3), the Canes have gone 11/17 (O/U). These aren’t your father’s Hurricanes. What was once was a run and gun offense has been downsized to a pedestrian crawl.

 

[Coaster]

Enjoyable read, hope some are prophetic. esp NJ
Agree completely with the LA/NJ assessment.
Like over also, but Queens keep the SOG very low.

 

[VegasVic]

Like over also, but Queens keep the SOG very low.

Not so much as earlier in the season. They are averaging in the 30s for the last month and seem to be opening up their game as of late. I figure they'll stick to what's working and expect to see plenty of scoring opportunities on both sides.

These out of conference games tend to be less physical and defensive minded.

 

[VegasVic]

I just noticed I failed to include the juice on the Florida/Washington total.

Make it Over 5.5 -120

 

[2las]

FL@Caps Over does look interesting
gl

 

[HighlifeRules]

Good luck tonight VegasVic. I am on a few of these and like all the rest except we are opposite on the Fla/Wash total. Hope we both cash tonight.

-HL

 

[SportSavant]

Vic

Did u notice that the RW close the season with a back to back against Chicago?

 

[VegasVic]

Vic

Did u notice that the RW close the season with a back to back against Chicago?

I wouldn't be nervous. While winning the Presidents trophy is not something I think the Wings are motivated in winning, the Central title certainly is. Detroit has shown that when the games matter the most they show up. They've owned Chicago head to head this year. If it does come down to the final two games I wouldn't hedge.

Look at it this way. At the very least, you're getting your money's worth of entertainment out of that year long prop. <<

(can't resist using a new smiley)

 

[Juskaa]

Gl. I like Calgary and I am on it.

 

[SportSavant]

I wouldn't be nervous. While winning the Presidents trophy is not something I think the Wings are motivated in winning, the Central title certainly is. Detroit has shown that when the games matter the most they show up. They've owned Chicago head to head this year. If it does come down to the final two games I wouldn't hedge.

Look at it this way. At the very least, you're getting your money's worth of entertainment out of that year long prop. <<

(can't resist using a new smiley)

I am nervous.... the regular season has been horrible so I need the following three regular season futures to come in to break even:

Pitt Under 98.5
Pheonix over 83.5
Detroit to win division.

Losing detroit to win division would be the most painfull loss.

 

[SportSavant]

Im considering myself down $300 already in futures becoz I lost $200 on Sens and they wont make playoffs, and $100 on Tampa Bay.

hno:

I do have these alive:

<TABLE style="WIDTH: 240pt; BORDER-COLLAPSE: collapse" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width=320 border=0><COLGROUP><COL style="WIDTH: 48pt" span=5 width=64><TBODY><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl68 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: red" width=64 height=17>team</TD><TD class=xl68 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: red" width=64>book</TD><TD class=xl68 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: red" width=64>odds</TD><TD class=xl68 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: red" width=64>risk</TD><TD class=xl68 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: red" width=64>to win</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>bhawks</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>ll</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">50/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>150</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>7500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" height=17>nucks</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">CRIS</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">45/1</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">100</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">4500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>Caps</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>pinny</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">1764</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>250</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>4410</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>Caps</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">SBG</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">35/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>200</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>7500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>cbus</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">365</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">125/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>16</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>2000</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl69 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>colorado</TD><TD class=xl69 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>ll</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">50/1</TD><TD class=xl69 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>150</TD><TD class=xl69 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>7500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>Dallas</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>pinny</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">2227</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>176</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>3929</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" height=17>Dallas</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">CRIS</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">45/1</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">100</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">4500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" height=17>Flyers</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">CRIS</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">35/1</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">100</TD><TD class=xl67 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">3500</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>habs</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>vegasvic</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">16/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>116</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>1856</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>habs</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>binions</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">15/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>200</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>3000</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>sabres</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>SBG</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">37/1</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>200</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>7400</TD></TR><TR style="HEIGHT: 12.75pt" height=17><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; HEIGHT: 12.75pt; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64 height=17>Sharks</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>pinny</TD><TD class=xl66 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow">1525</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>250</TD><TD class=xl65 style="BORDER-RIGHT: #f0f0f0; BORDER-TOP: #f0f0f0; BORDER-LEFT: #f0f0f0; WIDTH: 48pt; BORDER-BOTTOM: #f0f0f0; BACKGROUND-COLOR: yellow" width=64>3812</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

 

[SportSavant]

some regrets:

why the fuck didnt I buy more dallas at 85/1
why the fuck didnt I buy Boston at 45/1 where they were available at some euro books late, well after their run.

 

[SportSavant]

There are some futures out there i am considering, some euro books have some crazy numbers I am going to double check and will report back.

 

[VegasVic]

I am nervous.... the regular season has been horrible so I need the following three regular season futures to come in to break even:

Pitt Under 98.5
Pheonix over 83.5
Detroit to win division.

Losing detroit to win division would be the most painfull loss.

I'm in the same boat, looking for my futures to bail me out on a terrible season and put me back in the black.

I also have Phoenix over but got them at 82.5 and I also have Washington at 93.5. I did take that San Jose over 116.5 at VegasVic back in December, (or whenever it was they put it up for that day or two).

I'm almost embarrassed at how many futures I have. I decided the best way to attack the futures this year, (using a shotgun approach), was to focus on one conference. That way I don't need to hedge dollar one until the cup final. Actually my hedging process is using this shotgun approach and finding the highest numbers available at the correct time. Montreal is the only team I have at what I consider -EV.

If the regular season ended today I've got every team in the eastern playoffs covered except for the NY Rangers. Providing they lose out I wouldn't need to hedge until the finals. In essence I'm betting the Rangers don't make it to the finals. Now I just have to sweat out Pittsburgh and Carolina not making the final 8.

I've got:
Boston at 50/1 $100-5000 (CalNev)
Washington at 35/1 100-3500 (Bookmakaer)
Buffalo 40/1 100-4000 (CalNeva)
Montreal 12/1 200-2400 (CalNeva)
Florida 100/1 100-10000 (Hilton)
New Jersey 30/1 100-3000 (CalNeva)
Philadelphia 40/1 100-4000 (CalNeva)

I also took Tampa Bay for a small amount and $10 on Toronto which I can assume is all lost revenue.

 

[SportSavant]

There are some futures out there i am considering, some euro books have some crazy numbers I am going to double check and will report back.

aarrrghhhhh

Boylesports had Vancouver at 50/1 last night but now its only 40/1 (although I already have a position on them at 45/1 at greek, Stan james has 44/1)

boylesports till has Anaheim at 50/1 and I have nothing on them, i beleive that is worth a nibble....

more to come

 

[VegasVic]

In the west...I did take Dallas for a bunch at 25/1 before the season started, Chicago at 40/1, and Edmonton at 50/1.

For shits and giggles...L.A. at 250/1. ($40 wins $10,000)
One can always dream.

 

[SportSavant]

Im still seeing +800 on Boston at a few outs.

Obviously this team is for real, and given the investment I have already made, A hedge on Boston at +800 in my shoes I think would be wise.

Lets face it, this team is for real, and at this point ill be suprisded if they dont make it all the way.

 

[SportSavant]

another good team I am seeing is Calgary at +1800, again a small "hedge, just in case" bet may be in order here given the investments I have currently made.

Of course I have nothing on detroit so my western hopes hinge on the fact that I hope Detroit gets knocked out in the west.

 

[VegasVic]

Im still seeing +800 on Boston at a few outs.

Obviously this team is for real, and given the investment I have already made, A hedge on Boston at +800 in my shoes I think would be wise.

Lets face it, this team is for real, and at this point ill be suprisded if they dont make it all the way.

True Boston is the whole package but I think you could do just as good parlaying Boston in each series then buying 8/1 now. What happens if they lose a few games in the next month...get a big injury to Thomas or Chara...or Washington, New Jersey, etc. tears it up down the stretch?

 

[SportSavant]

5-0 detroit....

that makes me feel a touch better

the thing about the detroit to win divisiion wager is that the "RISK" amount is very high for llittle 'To Win'. this is what makes it such a proverbial "sweat".