Highest Pittsburgh total all year was 44.5, they havent still given up 330 yds game

Search

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
and some 47.5's out there. What a joke. Way too high.

Actually should be fun watching this matchup.
 

New member
Joined
Nov 19, 2007
Messages
13,884
Tokens
Cards wont get 50 rushing yards. They will be throwing all day.
 

New member
Joined
Feb 1, 2005
Messages
7,373
Tokens
Everyone I see has 47, no 47.5
Maybe some rinky dink books have 47.5
Would be all over u47.5 if it was there.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
2,932
Tokens
Didnt they give up 300 yards vs Tenn????????????????????
 

powdered milkman
Joined
Aug 4, 2006
Messages
22,984
Tokens
its a SB ice........teams have no next week........when they are behind and lay down like they do all year they wont in a SB.....they have been adding 3 points to SB lines for 30 years now...........i agree even 44 seems smidge high but by maybe a point its ok
 

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
its a SB ice........teams have no next week........when they are behind and lay down like they do all year they wont in a SB.....they have been adding 3 points to SB lines for 30 years now...........i agree even 44 seems smidge high but by maybe a point its ok


I agree and I was prepared for that plus the public loves too bet the over angle on big TV games but this total should be 40/41. Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high.
 

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
Everyone I see has 47, no 47.5
Maybe some rinky dink books have 47.5
Would be all over u47.5 if it was there.

I hear ya. Keep looking. I dont see many but I found one so far. The Mirage in town has it also, may have too take a ride down there.

47 is a key number.
 

powdered milkman
Joined
Aug 4, 2006
Messages
22,984
Tokens
I agree and I was prepared for that plus the public loves too bet the over angle on big TV games but this total should be 40/41. Its waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too high.
nah these teams good weather reg season 43 or so......its ok
 

The Great Govenor of California
Joined
Feb 21, 2001
Messages
15,972
Tokens
Ice,

You need to rethink your posistion, you like over 47 today. Pitt has played nobodys all year
 

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
Look I am not saying I love the bet, god knows my plays with totals werent anything special this year in NFL but line movement wise I am saying this will never hit 47.5 again so if you like under bet it now. 47 is somewhat a key number. Look for it and if you can find it bet it. That is what I have did. No way this should 47.5.

Steelers havent allowed 4 yards per play this year, only one team has ever done that in the modern NFL. Their defense is incredibile. No way
 

Rx. Senior
Joined
Nov 8, 2007
Messages
5,490
Tokens
based just on offense/defense matchups 40.5 would be about right. The chance of points off turnovers could put it close to 435. Is the SuperBowl effect really worth that much?
 

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
based just on offense/defense matchups 40.5 would be about right. The chance of points off turnovers could put it close to 435. Is the SuperBowl effect really worth that much?

That is exactly what my math model says and I havent been this far off a NFL total all year I imagine. I added the 3 extra or so for public SB bias, etc and still way too high.
 

powdered milkman
Joined
Aug 4, 2006
Messages
22,984
Tokens
bet under 47 for all you can then if it should be 43(with biases) figured in..........books come SB sunday as you know will most likely be on your side
 

Rx Wizard
Joined
Oct 25, 2005
Messages
11,731
Tokens
bet under 47 for all you can then if it should be 43(with biases) figured in..........books come SB sunday as you know will most likely be on your side


That is what I want but really need the extra .5 point. 47.5 is what I am in for pretty big right now but want more and think those days are long gone. Want to play back most of it over 44 or so. That is at least the plan though.

I had under 48.5 and over 46.s az/philly game today but lost money being heavy on the under. Looking for the same type thing. We shall see.
 

New member
Joined
Oct 29, 2006
Messages
3,375
Tokens
That is what I want but really need the extra .5 point. 47.5 is what I am in for pretty big right now but want more and think those days are long gone. Want to play back most of it over 44 or so. That is at least the plan though.

I had under 48.5 and over 46.s az/philly game today but lost money being heavy on the under. Looking for the same type thing. We shall see.


Just be careful Ice. This Cardinal offense is on a mission.

Pitt will score its share of points too.

ON TO TAMPA!
 

New member
Joined
Feb 1, 2005
Messages
7,373
Tokens
What happens in the game is irrelevant. Will have no problem covering u47.5 (-110). Can already get over 47 +105 and I reckon it will get better. 47 side is worth about 7.5 cents according to Pinnacle drop down menu, so It' already good.


Just be careful Ice. This Cardinal offense is on a mission.

Pitt will score its share of points too.

ON TO TAMPA!
 
Last edited:

New member
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
14,280
Tokens
Arizona will throw throw throw and Pitt will too....SB's just tend to have a lot of points usually. I think I'd have made it 45/46, but this is not too far off. 40/41 way too low.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,859
Messages
13,574,238
Members
100,878
Latest member
fo88giftt
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com