It's a little hard to get behind your "system" if there are no parameters listed. Do you want others to blindly send in some money based on nothing but your "research"? I understand you back tested this, but what are the factors that determine a play....or no play?:think2:
So, breaking this game down further, you're taking one of the worst performing teams in baseball behind Washington and San Diego. So far so good. Now looking a little further, I see the Col. pitcher (morales) has an ERA of 6.00 and his counterpart (Cain) has an ERA of 5.27. What's worse is that Morales is averaging only 5.25 innings per start therefore the bully will be in for the remainder. Cain, on the other hand, is not much better.
He gets the hook after only 5.42 innings. What I'm saying, is the bullpens will figure significantly in this game. Both bully's are medicore at best, so the chance of some cheap runs is increased.
Personally, I have this game lined at Col.-120, 5-4, even allowing for S.F. home field advantage. It's too close for me to wager on, but I'll be pulling for you to hit your play. If you would like to reveal more of your backtested "system" you may have a few followers....