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the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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i agree its an investment but one we are extremely likely to lose on

when government gets involved generally the market gets overpriced

just look at home prices for gods sake :)
 

Rx .Junior
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They will say anything to get this through..

They should call it a "Taxpayer Bend over and take it up the ass" plan.
 

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"7". - If you actually READ what the proposal is, you will quickly find out that it is an "investment" and not a "hand out" or "bail out". You don't need to be part of the secret club, you just need to know how to read... and do it.

I work in financial markets and the public's ignorance is disguisting. It isn't so much that you need a PHD to understand it all, you have to spend the 5 minutues to understand the deal.

The government is making a trade, much like you would trade cash for a stock. You put your 10,000 bucks into ETrade, and trade cash for Microsoft stock.

The government is trading the financial institutions CASH for distressed financial instruments. The reason why they can't sell them is because there is no market. The reason there is no market is because demand is down. The reason demand is down is because everybody is trying to deleverage at the same time. The reason everybody is trying to deleverage at the same time is because of capital requirements and ratio's.

The banking industry is actually heavily regulated. One of my friends at work used to do just that. He would travel across the country and audit banks.

The problem isn't that these instruments are worthless... they are far from it... the problem is that the potential buyers of these are other banks and hedge funds and they have no money.

It isn't that they don't have money, it is that they have to meet regulations, and the reason why they are having trouble with that is because they are seeing assets depreciate... It is making the whole thing spiral down... assets are deprciating... making them need more money... making assets depreciate further.

Look at Lehman... The CEO didn't want to see their distressed financial products because he said they were "undervalued". He didn't want to take heavy losses, but in the end it costed him big time... the 100 something year firm.

The governmen is not buying trash. These financial instruments are backed by housing. So far were are at ~ a 2% forclosure rate... A lot of subprime mortgages already have gone belly up... people are trying to stop wasting money...

These financial products the government is buying DO HAVE value. Warren Buffet bets the government WILL MAKE MONEY, and that is even expecting the government to not run the program smoothly ( they never do). Traders are expecting to reap 15-20% in this distressed market and even if the government made ANY positive returns it would be worthwhile... even if they broke even...

It would keep people in jobs, corporations paying taxes, citizens paying taxes, citizens spending money etc.

It is not a god damn bailout.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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you assuming government is going to responsibly oversee this buying of assets and assuming that government is able to price these things well which the financial markets currently aren't able to do so the taxpayer doesn't get the shaft

being a small government free market guy liberal hating guy i find that quite astounding to say the least :)

the whole problem with this situation is they tangled such a ugly web nobody knows who owns what etc.....so i guess its now up to government to sort it all out and put the taxpayer at risk...

to which is say screw that....
 

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Warren Buffet even took " government mismanagement" into account, and still believes the government will earn a profit. If they are buying things said to be 15-20 percent undervalued, he didn't say they would make 20 percent, but he bet they would make " a profit". A similar act was taken by Hong Kong said years ago and they did profit.

I disagree nobody knows the value of these instruments, it is that the demand is killed. The potential buyers would LIKE to buy these instruments, but they see their capital ratios effected as well. Just look at how Lehman unfolded with Dick Fold not wanting to unload... Look at Bear etc.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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we shall see how it all works out

i give it very very low odds we turn a profit....

warren is also assuming this will somehow miraculously save the economy :)

warren is a permabull.....for the most part....thinks everything will be just fine....

it will do nothing of the sort

for them to make a profit housing prices and the economy must respond positively

not continue to slowly fall into the abyss
 

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Warren Buffet even took " government mismanagement" into account, and still believes the government will earn a profit. If they are buying things said to be 15-20 percent undervalued, he didn't say they would make 20 percent, but he bet they would make " a profit".

Then Berkshire Hathaway should be buying the shit out of those undervalued securities. But they are not.

What they did buy was a stake in Goldman Sachs, who is in the market of selling those securities.

Here's a good take on it:
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2008/09/what_warren_buf.html
Without in any way impugning his motives, let me state the impact on Warren Buffett personally if the bailout is enacted.

Think of the mortgage securities market as the World Series of Poker...The best players in this World Series of Poker are the folks at Goldman. They hired Fischer Black and other geniuses back when the markets were first getting going. They have typically had the best squad of geeks around.

Buffett just bought a stake in Goldman. That stake would be a lot more valuable if there were actually a poker game--that is, if mortgage securities were still trading. Right now, they're not trading. So Goldman is sitting there ready to play and no one is ready to play with them.

Along comes Uncle Sam, who wants to take a one-hour lesson in poker and then sit down and play in the World Series with $700 billion in chips. And whaddaya know? Warren Buffett thinks Uncle Sam really has to get in the game.
 

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I wouldn't exactly call Warren a permabull. He was the one saying that we could NOT expect historical stock market returns of 7 to 10 percent per annum. That would mean by the year 2100 the dow would be at some riddulous number like 100,000. He was saying investors should be more happy to seek maybe a more modest 5% return... I believe those comments were in the Brk annual report in 2000ish. He has certainly been right thus far.

You know, if we were talking about human beings, working together, innovating, solving problems, capitalism, free markets I would strongly disagree with him. But if were were talking about America as she currently is, and our road to serfdom, I would say that he is being optimistic. If we go down the road to socialism with the Obama's and Hillary's of the world... we are fucked and the smartest, richest, best people will move to free-er and more prosperous lands. America is not "entitled" to being #1 as we have abandoned all of her principles.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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warren an elitest that is presented to the sheep as an everyman

the more he promotes all this socialist garbage

the less a chance future americans have at becoming the next warren buffet

if the system goes belly up warren loses billions
 

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Buffet hates wallstreet and financial services in general, but he has always strongly admired Goldman. Also, "trading" isn't the only thing I-bankers do.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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You know, if we were talking about human beings, working together, innovating, solving problems, capitalism, free markets I would strongly disagree with him. But if were were talking about America as she currently is, and our road to serfdom, I would say that he is being optimistic. If we go down the road to socialism with the Obama's and Hillary's of the world... we are fucked and the smartest, richest, best people will move to free-er and more prosperous lands. America is not "entitled" to being #1 as we have abandoned all of her principles.

the more warren promotes policies such as this and the more bills like this that are passed

the bigger the chance i leave this country and let the liberal commies do whatever the fuck they want to destroy themselves

i hear ya
 

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Tiz- Warren lives in the same 700,000 dollar house, drives the same old American car, eats at the same damn steak house in Omaha...

The media isn't tossing Buffet out there for some dog and pony show... He isn't "their chosen one", he is the richest man in the world.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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who the fuck cares what he does in his daily life dude

he's a obama supporter and for putting the average joe six pack taxpayer at risk to help out the banks in a time of need so he can make money in goldman sachs and his berkshire stock doesn't tank
 

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the more warren promotes policies such as this and the more bills like this that are past

the bigger the chance i leave this country

i hear ya

I love America, I am proud to be an American, I think the history of America ( not taught in school) is a success story, a wonderful one, we ran an experiment never seen in the world called freedom. Free markets, freedom of religion, speech, press, etc. I am so proud of the Patriots that fought off oppressive government in 1776, and I worship the sons of liberty.

With that being said, this isn't what they were fighting for. This isn't what they wanted. The US has grown into a huge buracracey and the US government has taken on all kinds of projects that are not the role of government...

If Ireland, Australia or any other country decided they wanted to be the freedom capital of the world... I wouldn't hesitate to move there and start over.

Do you by any chance know the history of thanksgiving Tiz?
 

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I believe the Hillary/Obama support goes on to his personal beliefs. His charitable beliefs, but Buffet doesn't claim to be a market nor political guru or god. I still have a hard time understanding his liberal views.
 

the bear is back biatches!! printing cancel....
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bottom line c-gold the entrepeneurs of the 1940s to 1990s gained massive amounts of wealth

now they are promoting socialism to continue to hold and concentrate more of this wealth

while us the new american's get the shaft with high deficits and have less a chance of becoming them in this rigged socialistic economy
 

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