i had this discussion with a very sharp friend many years ago.
my opinion was that the lower the total or if the total gets bet
down with sharp money (especially if the favorite
is not an outrageously high priced favorite); then this benefits
the underdog as a random (lucky break) act has a better
chance of deciding the outcome as compared the same
game with more scoring. my friend was unconvinced and
felt that there was no difference or that it might favour the
favorite even more. we agreed to disagree.
i had this discussion with a very sharp friend many years ago.
my opinion was that the lower the total or if the total gets bet
down with sharp money (especially if the favorite
is not an outrageously high priced favorite); then this benefits
the underdog as a random (lucky break) act has a better
chance of deciding the outcome as compared the same
game with more scoring. my friend was unconvinced and
felt that there was no difference or that it might favour the
favorite even more. we agreed to disagree.
i really don't believe it favors anyone.the casino moves the number based on how much the public is playing on either side.as we all know the public is wrong most of the time so just go with your original capping and stay with it,more than likely you have the winner.its always better to go with your first instinct instead of the line change making up your mind for you