Indiana isn't gonna vote for a Democrat. Mark it down. I don't care if Bayh is chosen or not. Indiana will not vote for Obama.
I really don't agree, and in any case McCain will definitely have to defend and spend resources there. I think Indiana 1. is trending more democrat 2. has quite a bit of untapped black vote. and 3. Bayh is very very popular there among dems, reps and indeps. Plus Indiana has quite a bit of its population bordering Illinois and getting Chicago news.
And once again, McCain has ZERO organization in Indiana. Not a single office. Obama/Bayh would be able to get out the vote like crazy.
If it's Bayh, I believe Obama takes Indiana. Mark it down.