exactly
I would go for the middle.
#1 even though you are off to a great start there is still a chance the game will go under.
#2 this is not a hedge.
You have a very real chance of winning both bets.
Thats a huge middle where the odds are pretty close to 50% that you will win both bets.
#1 even though you are off to a great start there is still a chance the game will go under.
#2 this is not a hedge.
You have a very real chance of winning both bets.
Thats a huge middle where the odds are pretty close to 50% that you will win both bets.
So u cap the game thinking they will score a lot of points and it goes over. Turns out halfway through you are spot on....ao because you were right halfway through you are going to bet opposite of what u thought?
If this is hits both bets 50% of the time u are not winning both 50% of the time...50% is not a good winning% considering vig. If there is a key injury or a blowout leading you to think 2nd half will play diff then great to have the middle.
Otherwise I dont like the 2nd half middle.
this leads u to eat away at the winners while still paying full value on the losers
This is correct. You bet the over because you thought it was a +EV play
Betting -EV plays to hedge/suck equity out of your +EV plays will just lead to more losing over time. I could probably explain that better but I think people get the point.
Unless you got your liferoll on the game and realize at halftime that was a bad display of money management, then by all means hedge away.
Here is the correct way to bet on sports...It is very earth shattering but nonetheless this is it.
1. Bet plays you think are +EV
2. Don't bet plays you think are -EV
