Hedge or let it ride? Advice...

[Jason22]

<table><tbody><tr><td width="220">Future Wager</td> <td>12/07/08 01:07 ET</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="220"> bet 150.00 to win 4,500.00 </td> <td>Result: Pending</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table><tbody><tr> <td colspan="2">Odds to Win 2009 Super Bowl XLIII - Tampa FL</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="220"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td> 02/01/09(20:00 ET)
+3000
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[Jason22]

My first thought is...

Hope zona wins first half by 7 or so, and take Pitt -7 for 2nd half which would be -0 for the gm for about $1,500.

Really dont want to lay -270 on Pitt straight up.

 

[6er]

you do realize tho if you lose the 270 you would win 4 thousand?

 

[dirtymoose]

must hedge! A MUST! be smart and not greedy!

 

[James23]

You have to hedge - not sure how in this case - but you have to.

 

[I_Need_Money]

7 point teaser.
PITT -0 with Over 39.5

:toast:

 

[Jason22]

you do realize tho if you lose the 270 you would win 4 thousand?

I wouldn't bet just $270...Wouldn't be worth it to be honest....

Would be more like wager: $1,500 to win $550ish

 

[Jason22]

7 point teaser.
PITT -0 with Over 39.5

:toast:

Only problem is this provides more risk then just letting it ride...final score Pitt 24 Zona 10 would be no fun...

 

[zuman]

must hedge! A MUST! be smart and not greedy!

Totally agree. It's a no brainer.
Create a win-win outcome & hedge your bet on PIT (ML).

BOL with whatever you decide to do. :toast:

 

[billhill999]

Always hedge is situations like this.
It's a gamblers dream to lock in a guranteed profit on a game.
Foolish not to.
Shop around and see if you can get -240 Pitt m/l before game time.

 

[GimmeDattt]

I think honestly you have 3 options.

#1 a teaser with Pitt down to -0.5. Still risky though.
#2 waiting until half and hedging if they aren't up big. Again, risky.
#3 find a damn place to sell that ticket. SOMEONE will buy that ticket for $1,000 atleast. Just go to your local card club. I sold my Davidson NCAA tourny ticket there during the Wisky game for 1/2 the bet.


Actually after thinking about it your fine....

Lay $2600 to win a little over $1150. If cards win you go +$1400. If they don't you go + a little over $1,000.

DEF hedge it.

 

[crzbrave]

It depends, do you want to guarantee yourself a profit or let it ride and either win 4500 $ or 0 $ ?


Waiting till half and hoping for the EXACT scenario you would need/asking for is crazier then either one tho imo

 

[bigplay]

Not sure if this is what I would do, but it's an option:

Pit -260 $400 to win 153 (cover your bet)
Tease Pit-1 and over 40.5 $770 to win 700
Parlay Pit -7 under 46.5 (or 47) $200 to win 520

And hope for Pit 27-17, you could hit all 3 hedge bets. GL what ever you do.

 

[FearTheRaven]

bet 4k on Pitt ML, guarantee yourself some cash.

 

[6er]

bet 4k on Pitt ML, guarantee yourself some cash.

thats retarded.

if cards win he only win 500 bucks then.

i say if you wanna hedge just bet pitt ml to win back original bet and root for the cards.

either way i have a feeling you will just do what you want, so why we even respondinghno:

 

[Brotherwo]

Hedge.

In 2007 I had the Colorado Rockies to win the World Series at 45 to 1. I didn't hedge and then they got swept.....lock in a profit

 

[Mr_Mark]

<table><tbody><tr><td width="220">Future Wager</td> <td>12/07/08 01:07 ET</td> </tr><tr> <td width="220"> bet 150.00 to win 4,500.00 </td> <td>Result: Pending</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table><tbody><tr> <td colspan="2">Odds to Win 2009 Super Bowl XLIII - Tampa FL</td> </tr> <tr> <td width="220"> Arizona Cardinals </td> <td> 02/01/09(20:00 ET)
+3000
</td></tr></tbody></table>

dont hedge let it ride. its only 150.... if you do hedge and the cards win you will be so pissed. but if you let it ride you have a good chance at cashin in big. its gambling and its the super bowl there are no guarantee bets. look at what happen last year.... this year everyone has been counting arizona out and they rolled over philly and the panthers. their defense showed up big time in carolina. and philly played 1 good quarter against the cards, and like 2 good min in the 4th.... eagles defense got whomped on by arizona, and i think they have better DBs than the steelers.

BOL

 

[Snookslayer]

The moneyline is currently PIT -265. With the moneyline that high, hedging is going to eat up a lot of money...

X * (1/2.65) -150 = 4,500 - X

X = 3,376.03

So betting $3,376.03 on PIT moneyline would create a gauranteed profit of just $1,124 regardless of the outcome. I don't think I'd hedge that much. You could just hedge enough so you won't lose anything if PIT wins....

X * (1/2.65) = 150

X = 397.50

:howdy:

 

[MikRetSam]

let it ride...........they will win

 

[TomGshotput]

Only hedge on life changing amounts. Or bankroll changing amounts

Steelers moneyline would be the only play. It's why you took Arizona at 30-1 after all, isn't it? Only thing more improbable than the Cardinals winning the SuperBowl would have been being favorites in the Super Bowl

Anything other than the Pittsburgh moneyline is gambling, not hedging