Hawaii vs Nevada 10/16/2021

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Nevada is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Hawaii. Carson Strong is averaging 352 passing yards and 2.8 TDs per simulation and Toa Taua is projected for 101 rushing yards and a 63% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Hawaii wins, Chevan Cordeiro averages 2.83 TD passes vs 0.92 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.42 TDs to 1.18 interceptions. Dae Dae Hunter averages 118 rushing yards and 1.1 rushing TDs when Hawaii wins and 108 yards and 0.55 TDs in losses. Nevada has a 43% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NEV -14.5 --- Over/Under line is 60.5
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