Has A #1 Team Ever Been An 8.5 Point Dog...?

[TheShotDoctor]

Haven't Done Any Research, But I Don't Think So...

Not As Well As I Can Remember....& I've Been In This Game A Long Ass Time!



--ShotDoc--

 

[pathologist]

Crazy ass line to me

 

[8ate]

Arky lost by 1 pt...LSU went to to; Ole Miss won by 3..>>of course those 3 games on the road..>>but , still, Bammy has not been dominating...gl

 

[varkeyboy]

So what's the play?

 

[tmader7]

Yeah, Bama sux at home, winning by 10, 41, 40, 21 and 59 at home this season, scores in chron order. This game is shaping up to be a massacre gents.

~T~

 

[rowdyroddy]

below average pass D and only played 3 road games so far (LSU is only one of meaning)
but talk about bulletin board material,...

 

[tmader7]

I found 7:
http://collegefootball.ap.org/article/no-1-notre-dame-has-underdog-its-dna
Don't think there's an 8 or more out there.

~T~

 

[rolltide]

two recent ones, both involved bama:

notre dame was +10 as #1 vs bama in title game....#1 got killed

bama was #1 in sec title game vs tebow and lost as 10 point dog...we led into the 4th quarter then got smashed


i only searched for teams 9-0 or better and since both those were on neutral field i bet there are many more for #1's on road

 

[tmader7]

two recent ones, both involved bama:

notre dame was +10 as #1 vs bama in title game....#1 got killed

bama was #1 in sec title game vs tebow and lost as 10 point dog...we led into the 4th quarter then got smashed


i only searched for teams 9-0 or better and since both those were on neutral field i bet there are many more for #1's on road

That article I referenced above said the Irish were a 7 pt dog??? Fuzzy math I guess.

~T~

 

[SECplayer]

I believe it was 2 years ago when MSU traveled to Tuscaloosa and were 7-0. The line was around Bama -18 or more and Bama cruised to an easy cover. MSU hadn't played anyone at all that year like they have this year though.

 

[tmader7]

I believe it was 2 years ago when MSU traveled to Tuscaloosa and were 7-0. The line was around Bama -18 or more and Bama cruised to an easy cover. MSU hadn't played anyone at all that year like they have this year though.

Yeah, but was State No. 1??? I can't remember them ever being ranked 1 until this year, but hey, I'm only 54, about to hit 55, where "I can't drive!"

~T~

 

[SECplayer]

Yeah, but was State No. 1??? I can't remember them ever being ranked 1 until this year, but hey, I'm only 54, about to hit 55, where "I can't drive!"

~T~

No. They definitely were not #1. Was just mentioning the game from two years ago as there are some similarities. Msu wasnt #1 or even that close but were undefeated and everyone was surprised at the line when Bama was favored by so much. Bama rolled anyway. The more i think about it, the line might've been as high as 24.

 

[tmader7]

No. They definitely were not #1. Was just mentioning the game from two years ago as there are some similarities. Msu wasnt #1 or even that close but were undefeated and everyone was surprised at the line when Bama was favored by so much. Bama rolled anyway. The more i think about it, the line might've been as high as 24.

I have absolutely nothing against the state of Mississippi, the ride has been good for them. But all rides end at some point, and I think State's ride is gonna crash Saturday. JMO, but every once in a while, I'm dead nuts on.

~T~

 

[silver7]

MSU won't score more than 14, & that will be more than they've scored in the last 5 yrs. An avg of 6.8. Saban will show no mercy. Bet MSU tm total under, whatever it is.

 

[Leatherballs]

I talked to a guy at the betting window at the Bellagio and asked him about this game and why the spread was so high for Alabama. He said the real spread on the game based on his numbers is a Pick....but he said if they come out with Alabama at a PK or -3, they would be so lopsided on Alabama it wouldn't even be funny. So, they figured 7 would be a big enough number on Bama so they could get some Miss. State money. They want 50/50 action and this is the only number that would warrant getting even close to that on this game unfortunately. He said the lines makers thinking is to throw this number out there to get 50/50 action and to kill teasers in the event Bama wins by 14 or more and/or somehow Miss. St. knocks them off as they will have plenty of Bama teasers at -1 or -2.

 

[1osubucks]

two recent ones, both involved bama:

notre dame was +10 as #1 vs bama in title game....#1 got killed

bama was #1 in sec title game vs tebow and lost as 10 point dog...we led into the 4th quarter then got smashed


i only searched for teams 9-0 or better and since both those were on neutral field i bet there are many more for #1's on road

tide what are your thoughts on the bama game? number seems large which tells me bama ..

 

[outhousetim]

FYI my Power #'s on this game are far from even. Alabama deserves to be over a TD favorite. Not sure who you spoke to at the betting window, but the ticket takers are not the pros setting the lines. The guys I know in LV have this as a 6.5 point spread on up. Doesn't mean it's the right side, just means the line is near where it should be.

I talked to a guy at the betting window at the Bellagio and asked him about this game and why the spread was so high for Alabama. He said the real spread on the game based on his numbers is a Pick....but he said if they come out with Alabama at a PK or -3, they would be so lopsided on Alabama it wouldn't even be funny. So, they figured 7 would be a big enough number on Bama so they could get some Miss. State money. They want 50/50 action and this is the only number that would warrant getting even close to that on this game unfortunately. He said the lines makers thinking is to throw this number out there to get 50/50 action and to kill teasers in the event Bama wins by 14 or more and/or somehow Miss. St. knocks them off as they will have plenty of Bama teasers at -1 or -2.

 

[NukeTheBookies]

I talked to a guy at the betting window at the Bellagio and asked him about this game and why the spread was so high for Alabama. He said the real spread on the game based on his numbers is a Pick....but he said if they come out with Alabama at a PK or -3, they would be so lopsided on Alabama it wouldn't even be funny. So, they figured 7 would be a big enough number on Bama so they could get some Miss. State money. They want 50/50 action and this is the only number that would warrant getting even close to that on this game unfortunately. He said the lines makers thinking is to throw this number out there to get 50/50 action and to kill teasers in the event Bama wins by 14 or more and/or somehow Miss. St. knocks them off as they will have plenty of Bama teasers at -1 or -2.

I don't believe for one second that anyone with a clue thinks this game (which is at Alabama) should be a pick at Alabama. From any point of view, that's irrational. And that's not to say that Miss St isn't going to cover and/or win on Saturday, but this line should absolutely be -4 or higher, even if you give every situational advantage to Miss St.

The point is, setting this game at a pick or -3 would be laughable. Realistically, Alabama has about a 66%+ chance of winning based on many of the metrics. The line seems to suggest that's closer to the high 70's%. That ~12% difference accounts for the expected action on Alabama and the built in line-respect they get.

 

[Leatherballs]

Just was passing along what I was told. I agree whole heartedly the game should be Bama -7. Honestly, I thought -4.5 Alabama would have got the same amount of bets on both sides. The game is a pass for me because who knows what the hell will happen. If Dak is meant to win the Heisman, he has to somehow win this game. I know he is not 100% and Miss. States success is solely dependent on how well he plays.

 

[volcom-pike]

This late in the season? I doubt it.