Ham's Wesnesday (13-4 +25.18 Units YTD)

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Well off to a good start. Up 25.18 units with only 1-4 unit plays. Almost had a perfect day but a nasty 3 ball at the end of Purdue hurt. O well. I like a few games today already.

Akron -6 -110
 

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Syracuse U 157

The games between these two team hasnt gone over 157 since they met in 1997. All the injuries to the orange may slow them down and/or limit their scoring ability. I like this game to be close and be a high scoring game but not this high.

The 2-3 can slow opponents down from time to time. Both of these teams like to run but I dont see this game going that high. Neither of these teams shoot FT very well. The orange at 63% and Prov at 67%. Which i love in unders.

May need to watch the fouls down the stretch once again as this game could be close.

Syracuse U157 (3 units -110)
 

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Duke @ Wake Forest

This game reminds a lot of the games in the past few days. What i feel are better road teams going in as dogs or almost picks and winning conference games.

Pitt @ WV
Texas @ Baylor
Ok @ OK St
Purdue @ Wisc

What do those teams have in common. Not necessary age but experience winning and playing on the road in conference. Duke has the same. The Blue Devils have taken five of the last six overall meetings. Henderson is starting to play real well and dukes Defence has been great of late, allowing 51.6 points and 35.7 percent shooting in conference play. Duke have notched impressive road wins @ Xavier, @ Purdue, @ FSU. Almost this same duke team went into UNC on a wednesday last year and beat them. This team also has shown some let down on the road before however.

Duke's pressure needs to stop the penetration by Teague. Him and Johnson scored 24 and 26 points against Duke in last years upset. If nothing else I think Coach K will have an answer for them. I trust the Dukies to go in there and shut down the guards.

Wake does have an advantage inside. Having McFarland at 7'0" and Aminu to bang inside. Duke has Zoubek who is 7'1" to counter but doesnt have all that impressive numbers either.

I think Singer is going to be the key in this game. He needs to hold his own inside on the defensive glass and score. The other thing I love is Duke is a very good free throw shooting team and that is always pivotal in road games like this.

I would not at all be shocked to see duke get beat in this game, thats why it is only a 1.5 unit play. Call it a hunch or whatever but I think they win tonight and go about it in a dominate way with defence first.

Watch the Dukies get it done tonight!

Duke -1.5 (1.5 Units -109)
 

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Akron @ Toledo

This is why I make myself do write ups. It makes me look deep into games. I thought Akron on the road here was a good play. They showed me something going into YSU last week and pounding them on the road in the second half. Toledo has lost some bad games this year and it looked like Akron was rolling while Toledo was struggling.

Not the case. The Rockets have struggled in road games, winning just one of their last 24 road games. Meanwhile, the Rockets have won 22 of their last 23 conference home games. The Rockets are averaging 56.1 points in road games compared to 65.6 points in home games. In the last three games, Toledo has held each of its opponents to under 37 percent shooting from the field. The Rockets rank fifth in the conference in field goal percentage defense, holding opponents to 39.9 percent shooting.

At home in conference play Toledo has dominated the boards, mostly thanks to Forward Justin Anyijong.In conference games, Anyijong is averaging 12.5 points and 9.8 rebounds a game. Anyijong also can hit long-range shots, shooting 9-of-17 from beyond the arc in his last eight games. Which provides match up problems for many MAC teams.

Akron is 1-2 on the road in conference notching a 10 point win at BG. As i posted in my review for Akron @ YSU, they shoot AWFUL on the road this year.

All this combined I love Toledo at home here. Especially getting 6. Rid the rockets!

Toledo +6 (3 units -103)
 

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Toledo isn't a good team either at home or away. Good Luck

Im aware I know 2 of the guys on the team. They are young and are a much tougher team at home. I dont see them getting blown out. This is their toughest home test this year though
 

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Ball St @ Bowling Green

Well after BSU lost Anthony Newell for the year I thought they were done. I bet against them twice and lost both times. Without Newell in the lineup they rely on everyone else to contribute. They have been playing solid defence and have been passing the ball brilliantly.

Their home game Jan. 25 against Toledo was a prime example. Ball State showed a productivity that hasn’t always been evident as it beat the Rockets 66-53. Ball State had four double-figure scorers, shot 52 percent from the field in the second half and racked up 15 assists on 23 baskets. The Cardinals even made 6-of-14 shots from the 3-point line.

I for one do not know how they are doing it but I cant bet against them now.

Bowling Green has lost its last 2 conference games at home, against Akron and Ohio, both by 7 points or more. Bowling Green relies on they FG% defence and has not scored over 60 points in its last 4 games.

This should be a slow it down game and be very precise. I do not expect a blowout here.

Ball St +7 (2.5 Units -110)
-too bad i didnt get 7.5 earlier, o well
 

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Loyola Chi @ Wisc Mil
Loyola doesnt travel well. 2-3 in conference on the road with wins over the 2 worst teams in the league. They do not defend the 3 ball well on the road in conference this year. Allowing these teams to shot....

@ UIC 8-16
@ Cle St 9-17
@ Wright St 8-20

Milwauke has great guards in Boyle and Smith who average 15 and 12 PPG. They have decent size on the inside with 2 guys at 6"7" and one at 6'8". They have played 2 bad games on the road and looking for a shot in the arm here at home against a weaker team.

Milwaukee went into Loyola and beat them by 14. Dominating the glass 32-27 and had 11 offensive rebounds. Mil shot 52% from the field. Smith and Boyle combined by 47 points.

I like Milwaukee coming back home and pounding Loyola tonight. The only thing that worries me about this game is cold shooting by Mil guards and that Loyola starts 4 seniors and junior, but that hasnt seemed to help them that much this year.

Wisc Milwaukee -5 (3 units -102)

also adding one more .5 units to Syracuse U157 (3 units -110)

so

Syracuse U157 (3.5 units -110)
 

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Summary

Syracuse U157 (3.5 units -110)
Wisc Milwaukee -5 (3 units -102)
Toledo +6 (3 units -103)
Ball St +7 (2.5 Units -110)
Duke -1.5 (1.5 Units -109)


looking at Kansas, pitt, and uconn but they look a little trappy to me
 

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