~Hårr¥THëHÄT's~ Picks & Bets With Power Ratings For Week # 9 Of The NFL

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The public has been moving this line big time, in my option on the Raiders based on two facts> One> they will play with less penalties than last week with 23 penalties. I don.t personally think so because it tells me there is very little discipline with the defense coaching staff as well as the players. Also Oakland leads the pack with 86 penalties compared to 66 average with other teams. Two> Oakland's offense is ranked No. 4 Derek Carr thinks he is on fire with there offense. [Article from Andy Benoit MM/QB with Peter King "also apparent on film: there are snaps almost every week when Carr doesn’t read the field clearly or patiently. The pace with which he makes his reads can be erratic. At times Carr goes too fast, abandoning good reads before open receivers materialize. Other times he stays on bad reads too long, which leads to other open receivers being missed. These are critical mistakes that cannot be captured by any statistical metric, no matter how “advanced.” And they’re the types of mistakes that you almost never see from a Tom Brady, a Drew Brees or a Ben Roethlisberger"]. Oakland has won on there last 2 road games @ Jacksonville 33-16 and covered 2 points &@ Tampa Bay Buccaneers at a pick. But look at low rated caliber teams that they beat. Three weeks ago they played KC at home and lost 26 -10 + 2 I believe. I really have to say Oakland is overrated from my analysis of this match-up game, Denver has won there last two home games by 10 + points and covering the spread as a chalk. Books in Vegas had this opening line at Denver -2.5 and was quickly bet by the public to a pick em. Denver is now a 1 or 1 1/2-point underdog at the books. So what do public squares really know, nothing in my option//LOL !!! LOL !!! Don't kid yourself sharpies & wales are still on the fence pole looking for that edge in this game by line movement & money line.
Trevor Siemian, can run which should help against a Raiders' defense that is ranked No. 25 in points. Broncos' defense is allowing a league-best 63.6 QB rating against, while the Raiders' defense has allowed QB's to post a 94.7 QB rating so far this year. If Siemian can establish a good running game against No. 25 ranked defense could be major factor in this match-up. I Also think from some insider stats that Denver will dominate line of scrimmage on the offense that will help Trevor Siemian is some what of a passing game? Well Ladies and Gentleman of the jury LOL !!!! [ Rx members] you have a top-ranked offense (Oakland) going up against a Top-ranked defense (Denver). DeMarcus Ware returns to the lineup with Von Miller which is another strong factor in this game. In this match-up I personally would rather go with a veteran Denver defense over the young Oakland offense. Some more stat's that I found in my research from different sources including Sporting News and ***The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders > "that Denver has gone 14-5 SU in the past 19 games". "The Raiders are just 7-7 SU in predicted close games (when the line is +3 to -3), while the Broncos are outstanding at 10-3 SU". "The Visitor is 14-0 ATS in Oakland games of late". "The Raiders have dropped 2 of 3 in the Coliseum losing the ypp battle by 0.9, 2.6 and 1.8."
Our Power Rating by Smitty Smitty Ryann> Power Rank OAK> 15 to DEN> 9 ...Defense> OAK> 14.2 to DEN> 29.4 WOW !!!!.. Offense> OAK>27.0 to DEN> 25.7 [Very Close on this rating] Point Spread Margin + 3 1/2 Denver... If the Broncos are going have a chance win on Sunday night it will be all defense. They are fifth in the NFL in yards allowed and only giving up an average of just 17 points a game, very impressive to me. My bet Broncos +1 1/2[ In our option Denver will win straight up].
Philadelphia Eagles at New York Giants Eagles are 1-3 on the road also doesn't help here playing the G- Men at home. The Giants are coming off their bye week which will help from some probably injuries. I have to fade the veterans of the G-Men in this important divisional game and continue their winning streak with a cover. Stats From different sports sources of my research > G-Men are 6-2 SU in their last eight games after a bye. total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road .Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants. Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants. Our Power Rating > Power Rank> +3 1/2.. G-Men Offense> NYG> 23.2 to PHI>26.2[ close but not almost] ...Defense>NYG>21.2 to PHI> 17.4... Point Spread Margin> + 5 G-Men. My Bet Giants - 2 1/2 at home
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins> Betting the Over At 44 total points
Green Bay On The Money Line -$ 310 [ About 3-1 on the money]
7 Point> 2 Team Teaser GB -7 To Even & Giants - 2 1/2 To + 4 1/2


~Hårr¥THëHÄT~
Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication & motivation when you are handicapping games with betting success in the NFL


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Mr.H/hat.........great write up, much appreciated.........love the Den play............BOL with all your action this week.............indy
 

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Thank you HarryD.
Always look forward to your threads.
GL Sunday NFL.
 

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I'm gonna tail u on the Denver play.
best of luck this weekend. :toast:
 
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Thank you all for your replies and support & Good luck to all of you this Sunday on your picks and bets. Lets all make some money!!!!!!
 
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Harry, what plus $ ML are you pressing today?
I was going to press Denver but not at +$101, so I will not be pressing this week. I will start with a new press if I win the money line bet with GB -$310 and look for game next week on my pick with a plus margin bet with GB money line if I win. I will keep you informed next weekGooch. I also am leaning on Monday Night Games with a spread bet with if I can get -6 1/2 or less on Seattle, also on the Quarterback issue with Buffalo? With there injuries of there defensive line. I am not really concerned with Buffalo's offense just the Quarterback issue my friend.
 

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I was going to press Denver but not at +$101, so I will not be pressing this week. I will start with a new press if I win the money line bet with GB -$310 and look for game next week on my pick with a plus margin bet with GB money line if I win. I will keep you informed next weekGooch. I also am leaning on Monday Night Games with a spread bet with if I can get -6 1/2 or less on Seattle, also on the Quarterback issue with Buffalo? With there injuries of there defensive line. I am not really concerned with Buffalo's offense just the Quarterback issue my friend.
Many thanks for the response. GL
 

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GL Harry, got your Giants and over Miami in a tease with another play. May money from heaven fall upon us like manna!

~T~
 
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Green Bay needs to play some D!
> YOU GOT THAT RIGHT !!!! > StevieRay... I really need win on Broncos +1 1/2 which is my key game with right up. I have most money bet on that game. 2nd largest bet with was G-Men. All rest of my picks with bets were in smaller domination's. I use a lot of money management in my bets. If I win the money line bet with GB which I think I lost would have been a press bet in week# 10 &...... teaser I had with G-Men & GB which I think is lost also too. You can't win them all brother!!! that's why they call it gambling/LOL!!! To me its going into play-offs with a winning bankroll SteveRay !!!
 

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Broncos time to start playing for you ! They still in it if can score here
 

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Harry, don't know what possessed me to pick and choose the G-Men and over rover Miami but I did and owe ya. Too busy cooking salmon and sides for relatives to get to that Oakland/Denver game, thank God. GL and I'll be looking for the plays.

~T~
 

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Hey Harry if you cook and you like scallops pm me an address and I will overnight you Bay scallops.the season just opened and there candy . I will gladly over night them cant says thanks enough
 

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Hey Harry if you cook and you like scallops pm me an address and I will overnight you Bay scallops.the season just opened and there candy . I will gladly over night them cant says thanks enough
I think Harry prefers shrimp cocktail
 

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