~Hårr¥THëHÄTS~ Pick & Bets For Sunday Week 12 NFL~

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

~This Is My Top Pick & Bet For Sunday~ Bills have played toughest schedule in the NFL, have top run game too; are much better from my stat's and analysis in this match-up. Total mismatch here. RB McCoy is out. **Bills are a run heavy team that averages 125.3 rushing yards per game. Our Power Rank> Bills + 17.... **Rushing Yards BUF>160.2 to JAC>89.3[WOW !!!!] Offense Points BUF> + 8 1/2.. Our Line BUF +9 To Win
Take The Bills and Never look back at betting window at -7 1/2 +>>Money line Bet-$330 Bills{ Will be a press in week lucky 13 NFL With a pick and bet] .

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Last weeks home loss was particularly demoralizing for this struggling squad of CIN, not scoring is second half against the Bills. Serious injuries to WR AJ Green and top RB Giovanni Bernard are demoralizing to this team. This is funny> Jacoby Jones, who is rehabbing from a knee injury, was involved in a brawl on a party bus early Monday morning and was hurt when he was hit over the head by a stripper wielding a champagne bottle LOL !!!!. will play} AJ Green, and their best running back, Giovani Bernard, are key factors in this match -up with injuries. CIN scored 12 points against Buffalo last week and they’ll be hard pressed to exceed that point total by any significant margin this weeks match -up against the Ravens. This very bad news against a Baltimore defense that ranks among the league leaders in just about every key defensive stats.

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John Harbaugh takes full reasonability about the penalty issue in last two games. John has addressed this issue in what have read in my research with different sporting news columns. John and the defense coach has talked to individual players on the defense squad that have caused a lot penalties with flags with films. John told these players there penalty's could cost them divisional winner. When Big John speaks behind close doors you listen/ LOL !!!... You will see a big change of the penalty issue in this up coming match-up. The Ravens betting line has been with markets in laying a big price for first place Ravens tied with Steelers in AFC North with John Harbaugh’s squad in this rivalry team. I am guessing that the bookies have dropped this line, because of penalties accrued by the Ravens. Falcco's passing rating with the running game of the Ravens in there last match-up games, also might have dropped this line. This is a real value at home with the Ravens -4

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My Power Rating > Power Ranking +3 Ravens.... Offense Points +2 Ravens....Total Yards> BAL>341.2 to CIN>332.8[ close] Defense Points> BAL> +2.. Our Line + 7 Win By BAL. Take the Ravens -4 Also my other bet> 2 team 7 Point Teaser> Bills +1/2 point & Carolina vs Oakland to 42 points and over Also > THREE TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS + 1/2 POINT & RAVENS +3 & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER

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~OFFICIAL BETS~

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BILLS -7 1/2

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BILLS MONEY LINE BET [ with a press on week 13]

-$330 BILLS

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RAVENS-4

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TWO TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS+1/2 POINT & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER

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THREE TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS + 1/2 POINT & RAVENS +3 & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER

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Hårr¥THëHÄT

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*** Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication & motivation when you are handicapping games with betting success in the NFL

 

[cgarn]

Good luck mr hat

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

~More Information From Different Handicappers~ ***COMPLEMENTS FROM ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

More information from different handicappers who like Sundays play . Just Can't receive enough information when picking a team to win.

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John Ryan
NFL | Jaguars vs Bills
Play on: Jaguars +7½ -

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Graded play on Jacksonville as they take on Buffalo in AFC action set to start at 1:00 PM ET. SIM algorithm shows a high probability that Jacksonville will lose this game by less than 6 points and have a chance to pull off the upset. Given this favorable projection I like making these types of DOGS combination wagers using the line and money line for maximum return on investment (ROI). In this case the optimal combination is to wager a 9* play on the line and a 1* play using the money line.
Technical Discussion Points Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 52-20 over the last 10 seasons good for 72.2% winners and made a nice 30 units/unit wagered. Play on road teams (JACKSONVILLE) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, in weeks 10 through 13. The following game situations match the SIM projections and my compiled research for the outcome of this game. Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. Bills are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Fundamental Discussion Points The Jaguars limited Detroit to just 14 yards on the ground last week but lost their third straight road game, two of them by one possession. Take Jacksonville Jaguars +7½

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[h=3]Alex Smart[/h]

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[h=3]Patriots vs Jets [/h]The Jets offense remains a very inconsistent unit, as was evident when they scored 6 points last time out vs the Rams with Bryce Petty making his first NFL start, and 3 points vs Arizona back in October, and have scored an average of just 17.2 ppg at home on the season. Both NYJ QBs - Bryce Petty ( 1 start) or struggling veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick on the down side of his career have provided ineptness to the extreme and I doubt the bye week will be a difference maker. Today against a New England defense that sacked Colin Kaepernick 5 times in the first half last week, and that has allowed just 18 ppg game overall, the Jets problems are highly likely to continue. The Jets saving grace this season, has been a fairly decent D, that has allowed an average of just 18.7 ppg as hosts. With an ultimate degree of respect for Pats super star QB Tom Brady and his explosive offense as well as New Englands stout D, I expect a very conservative approach to be the name of the game, for a Jets side that I am betting trys to slow this game down to a crawl via short passes and the run game, which will eat clock time. After going out west last week, to play SF and now back on the east coast this Sunday, I expect some fatigue from the Pats , and a not so explosive offensive performance. I am betting above combination, of forecasted events leads to a combined score that remains on the low side of the Total. From a league wide NFL database: Home teams against the total like the ny jets - after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games against opponent after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games have gone under 27 of the L/33 times.

Play UNDER 45 1/2

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Scott Spreitzer

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Cardinals vs Falcons I'm taking the points with the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday +6. When you look at the Cardinals' offensive and defensive numbers, you'd think they owned a better record than 4-5-1 SU. The defense continues to be underrated, partially due to a couple of injuries in the defensive backfield. But we expect Arizona to keep this one close throughout and maybe even steal a SU win. Carson Palmer has trouble against teams who apply decent pressure, but we don't expect much from the Falcon defense that ranks 31st against the pass and 28th in total yards per game. The Falcons have covered just two of their last 10 games at home and we will go against them here. I'm recommending a play on the Cardinals plus 6 points on Sunday

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Marc Lawrence

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[h=3]49ers vs Dolphins[/h]

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[h=3][/h]
Play - San Francisco 49ers
Edges - 49ers: 15-8 SU and 17-6 ATS away against AFC East opponents, including 15-2 ATS when not favored by 7 or more points. Dolphins: 0-6 ATS off consecutive wins when facing the NFC West. With the Niners 7-1 ATS in their last eight contests against the AFC East, we recommend a play on San Francisco +7.

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COMPLEMENTS FROM ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

 

[indiana]

Mr.H/hat.......solid info, appreciate the write up..........BOL with all your Sun. action.........indy

 

[TimmyRules]

MrHarry-just a little confused why you posted a write up on Jax when you like the Bills....

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

MrHarry-just a little confused why you posted a write up on Jax when you like the Bills....

Its not write up or my picks and bets. information from different handicappers who like Sundays games. I just post them. Who have there options on certain games not necessary on my picks and bets Timmy. Yes sometimes they agree with me and other times they don't... Timmy. just different options on there handicapping. My Official Bets Stand !!!!

 

[tulah]

Ravens get it done easily. Lets take that money :toast:

best of luck Harry

 

[zombiestoner]

Thanks for posting the info Mr Hat.

Good luck with your bets. FWIW I'm on Bills ML as well.

 

[uscmd]

Harry, I bet both of them, Buff and Balt, yesterday. I'm pleased to see you on both.

Best of luck!!

 

[TimmyRules]

Its not write up or my picks and bets. information from different handicappers who like Sundays games. I just post them. Who have there options on certain games not necessary on my picks and bets Timmy. Yes sometimes they agree with me and other times they don't... Timmy. just different options on there handicapping. My Official Bets Stand !!!!


Thank you for the clarification and good luck on your bets!!

 

[919]

LeSean McCoy (thumb) will play Week 12 against the Jaguars.

There was never much doubt about his availability, and coach Rex Ryan said McCoy is "ready to get the majority of the reps." With Mike Gillislee (hamstring) out, he should see as much work as he can handle. McCoy is a solid RB1 play this week.
Source: Adam Schefter on Twitter
Nov 27 - 8:13 AM

 

[PeePee]

I would stay off his thread or anyone....if he specifically states so...there's plenty to go give smart comments on.

 

[THawk+]

Mr. Harry great info and breakdown as always...

Curious on how you played these as far as strength of plays goes. Curious on the teasers.
Always trying to learn + earn


Thanks Harry

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

More information from different handicappers who like Late Sundays Play

Little more information from different handicappers who like Late Sundays Play . Just Can't receive enough information when picking a team to win.

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Dennis Macklin [Handicapper] 67%>>>> Seahawks vs Bucs Seahawks -5 The Seahawks go as Russell Wilson goes and it looks like the former North Carolina State/Wisky product is almost 100% from his early season ankle problems. Seattle historically not a road monster but they've already beaten the Bills, Pats and Eagles with suitcase this year and face a Bucc team that is 1-6 ATS in their L7 homies (8-24 L32 as a home dog over many years) and have already given up 30 and 43 points in home losses to Atlanta and Oakland over the last month. Seattle 38-24.

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Sean Murphy [Handicapper] 62%>>>> Seahawks vs Bucs My selection is on the 'under' between Seattle and Tampa Bay at 4:05 pm et on Sunday. UNDER 46 >>>>The Seahawks offense made it look pretty easy in last week's home win over the Eagles. I expect them to face a little more resistance this time around, however.
Tampa Bay is rolling after back-to-back wins, allowing just 27 points in the process. I like the way this Bucs defense has evolved as the season has gone on, and I'm confident they can keep Seahawks QB Russell Wilson under wraps on Sunday afternoon.
Of course, the 'Hawks defense won't shy away from this matchup. They have also been getting better, and healthier, as the season has gone on, and come into this one with a chip on their shoulder to be sure.
The most recent meeting between these two teams came back in 2013 - a game that went 'over' the total, reaching 51 points by way of overtime. We're dealing with a much higher posted total this time, though, and I believe it will prove to be too high. Take the under

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Ray Monohan [Handicapper] 64%>>>> Patriots vs Jets >>>> Jets +8>>>>
The Jets and Patriots get set for battle and the Jets here have value.

While it's always tough to go against Tom Brady and the Patriots, New England is kind of banged up here. QB Tom Brady and TE Rob Gronkowski are both game time decisions with injuries. While they're likely to play, it's still not telling how close to 100% both of these guys are. The offense will be a step or two slower here as they simply are banged up and don't want any further injuries.

As for the Jets, their defense has been solid at home. New York has given up 18.8 points against, which is one of the lowest in the league.

Some trends to note. Underdog is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Patriots are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

Grab the points here. With the health of the Patriots, there is just too many questions.

Back the Jets.

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ASA [Handicapper] 61%>Panthers vs Raiders PLAY ON Carolina +3.5 over Oakland

Today we grab the value with Carolina over Oakland. The Panthers come into this game at 4-6 SU on the season and in desperate need of another victory. They have won 3 of their last four games and should have beaten KC in their lone loss. The Panthers come into this game with 10 days to prepare while the Raiders are off their Monday night game which was played in Mexico City. The Raiders are 10-2 this season but the two losses have come at home. Oakland clearly has a fantastic offense led my QB Carr but defensively they are last in the league in yards per play allowed. In fact, the Raiders average 393 yards per game but also allow 393YPG. The Panthers have been favored IN EVERY game this year but today's which clearly tells us 'VALUE' in the number. The Raiders focus won't be the same as the Panthers and we expect Cam Newton to lead his team to a road upset.

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Bill Biles [Handicapper] 64% Chiefs vs Broncos>>Both these teams have above average to great defenses and have offenses that struggle to score points. This will be a low scoring defensive battle. Both teams will come to play as this game min huge in the AFC west.
Pick= Under 39

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Matt Fargo [Handicapper] 63% Panthers vs Raiders>>> Panthers +3½


Oakland pulled off yet another late win last week as it scored two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to defeat Houston in Mexico City on Monday. Now the Raiders have to prepare on short rest against a team many think is done but because of the weakness of the division, Carolina is still very much alive in the playoff picture. Oakland leads the AFC West by a game over Kansas City and Denver and while this is a big game for them also, playing at home has not been a huge advantage where they are just 2-2 on the season. The Panthers escaped last Thursday against New Orleans as they had a comfortable 23-3 lead going into the fourth quarter against the Saints but allowed 17 points in the final frame to win by just three points. The good news is that they have had some extra time off and while it may seem hard to believe, this is the first time all season they are an underdog. This is actually the first time since Week Nine of last season they are getting points. We have a favorable situation going against Oakland as we play against home favorites that are averaging 4.5 or more rushing ypc, after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game. This situation is 26-6 ATS (81.2 percent) over the last 10 seasons.

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Chase Diamond [Handicapper] 64%>> Seahawks vs Bucs>> Bucs +5½


This afternoon game has the 7-2-1 Seahawks at the 5-5 Bucs. Tampa Bay is just 1 game behind first the first place Falcons who are playing no push over today so Tampa will be fighting hard and for me this game is tough for Seattle to get up for after a few big wins and with a rematch with the Panthers on deck I can see them looking past the Bucs enough to keep this game very tight. 79% of the public bets are behind the road Seahawks yet we are seeing some lines drop telling me the sharp cash is on the home Buccaneers. Take Tampa plus the points.

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COMPLEMENTS FROM ~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

 

[fadetheaction]

Thanks for giving differing perspectives from other cappers. Your a class act Harry.

 

[john towers]

Great info, From who ever. Your plays no, In vegas no.

 

[Biz]

Outstanding job today.

Not only your picks, but the picks rom your buddies. Many winners posted here.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Results From My*Picks &*Bets For Sunday Week 12 NFL*

Results From My Picks & Bets For Sunday Week 12 NFL

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~OFFICIAL BETS~

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BILLS -7 1/2 Lost By The Hook

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BILLS MONEY LINE BET [ with a press on week 13] WON
-$330 BILLS

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RAVENS-4 WON

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TWO TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS+1/2 POINT & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER WON

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THREE TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS + 1/2 POINT & RAVENS +3 & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER WON

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Best Of Luck Next Weeks Guys

Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[tmader7]

Results From My Picks & Bets For Sunday Week 12 NFL

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~OFFICIAL BETS~

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BILLS -7 1/2 Lost By The Hook

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BILLS MONEY LINE BET [ with a press on week 13] WON
-$330 BILLS

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RAVENS-4 WON

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TWO TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS+1/2 POINT & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER WON

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THREE TEAM >7 POINT TEASER BILLS + 1/2 POINT & RAVENS +3 & CAROLINA VS OAKLAND TO 42 POINTS AND OVER WON

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Best Of Luck Next Weeks Guys

Hårr¥THëHÄT

Don't let some fool bug ya Harry, every forum has one and more. I got all your actions except the Bills -7+, but the Bank of Harry comes through again. Keep 'em coming, you guys are really pretty damn good at a time when the lines are sharpest. My congrats to you and your gang.

~T~

 

[mason456]

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