~Hårr¥THëHÄT~

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Week #17

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Bet - 4 Chiefs ...1% Of My Bankroll + Money Line -$205... 2 % Of My Bankroll WON

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New York Giants + 7 1/2 WON

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Jets + 3 1/2 WON

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My Bet -3 GB.. 3 % Of My Bankroll WON

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GB Money Line -$180 WON

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This teaser is a press from my win in week# 16 >7 point 2 team teaser NYG +14 1/2 with GB + 4 a Dime bet off a Nickle bet on week #16 WON

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7 point 2 team teaser[ with a option to press in wild card games] KC + 3 with NYJ +10 1/2 Nickle Bet WON

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Wild Card Games

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My Bet Pittsburgh - 10 WON

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My bet 7 point three team teaser with a win off of week #17 to a press> Pittsburgh - 3 & Houston + 3 1/2 & Seahawks-1 WON

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My Bet -8 Seahawks. WON

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My Bet -4 GB [Buying The 1/2 Point ] Betting the Money Line GB-$230 WON

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Two team 7 point teaser Seahawks-1 & Pittsburgh - 3 a press bet from week #17 that was my 2nd teaser win.WON

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Divisional Playoffs

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Dallas-4 [ buying a 1/2 point ] Thursday night bet] Lost

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Atlanta & 1st half -3 Atlanta WON

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ATLANTA> -$230 Money Line WON

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My Bet + 1 1/2 Pittsburgh WON

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7 point 2 team teaser on this game with Pittsburgh> NE -10 & PIT + 8 1/2 WON

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Last 3 weeks 16-1

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On to the Conference Games

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Split on the >Conference Games 2-2

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating >>>>- Atlanta has put up far more points per game (33.8 to 27.6) but New England defense is much better (just 15.6 points per game to 25.4 pts/g given up by Atlanta). Sets up as NE defense vs ATL offense .Defense wins games>The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders point spread> New England by 7... My opinion on score (38-31) New England
Posted by: Vincent Verhei NFL Football Outsiders on Jan 2017>>> Great Read !!!!!!

In their bad games, the New England defense gave up tons of catches to opposing No. 1 wide receivers, but those receptions were by and large on shorter routes. Meanwhile, all the other wide receivers were running low-percentage, high-reward deep routes through the Patriots secondary. There's a bit of a chicken-or-egg question to this -- is this the way opponents chose to attack the Patriots, or is this the way the Patriots defense forced offenses to play? -- but it's easy to visualize Julio Jones catching a lot of curls and crossers to draw coverage to himself, then Taylor Gabriel and Mohamed Sanu streaking by New England's lesser corners in one-on-one matchups for big plays. This is another reason Atlanta will need to go pass-wacky against the Patriots -- the more often they drop back to pass, the more chances they will have to hit on those low-percentage throws. This also jibes with what we wrote about Atlanta last week: the Super Bowl will likely decided by New England's ability to cover Taylor and Sanu.
The Falcons offense was the NFL's best in 2016 and should have a big edge over New England's defense, but the Patriots offense was second-best and should enjoy an even bigger edge against Atlanta's defense. In a game where the first team to punt likely loses, Atlanta will need to use all of its weapons to the best of their abilities to bring home the Lombardi Trophy.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

My record this season speaks for itself!!!!

 

[Blutarski]

Hey Harry I enjoy reading your write-ups during the season. Do you have any teams who may be undervalued against the point spread, to start the season? Any teams to stay away from?

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Hey Harry I enjoy reading your write-ups during the season. Do you have any teams who may be undervalued against the point spread, to start the season? Any teams to stay away from?

Not yet and two early for predictions Blutarski. Looking at stats during the exhibition games for stats and player performance ... most of all will be evaluating point spreads with money lines on 1st two games.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

The important part of placing sports wagers is your return on investment, also known as ROI. A sports bettor’s return on a investment is a calculation based on his winning percentage and the amount of money invested overall. In my opinion you should work out ROI[return on investment]based on how many games you wager on and how much bet per game. Like with any business understanding the return on your sports betting investment is key to maintaining a profit. Bankroll management[ I use Bob Martins money management system that works for me year after year]. Its called a press concept to learn, but a difficult one to keep in practice. All gamblers have a tendency to want to take a big risk in search of a big payoff, but sticking to a fairly rigid set of rules about your bankroll can keep you from blowing your budget based on a hunch or an emotional wager. Figuring out why you’re betting on NFL, whether it’s just for fun or as a way to make a living, is a big part of managing your bankroll. Quitting while you’re ahead is not the same as quitting.
Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

The Golden Nugget has released odds on all 256 potential Super Bowl LII matchups available for betting at its sportsbook in downtown Vegas. The most likely Super Bowl matchup is the defending champion New England Patriots facing the Dallas Cowboys at 7-1, followed by the Patriots taking on the Green Bay Packers at 8-1. The Patriots are coming off an incredibly successful season in the eyes of bettors, tying the all-time-best against-the-spread mark at 16-3 ATS and going 17-2 straight-up. New England is the favorite across Las Vegas sportsbooks to win Super Bowl LII, with 3-1 odds at the Westgate Las Vegas Super Book. The Golden Nugget believes the least likely matchup is a New York Jets-San Francisco 49ers Super Bowl, putting the odds at 5,000-1. That is roughly equivalent to what some sportsbooks set the odds that Leicester City would win the Champions League in 2015-2016. In 10,000 simulations of ESPN's FPI, a 49ers-Jets Super Bowl didn't happen once.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

My betting system alters a win/loss records for the year. I base my record by my bank-roll. bankroll system I use is my money management. My Strategy is I do not bet same amount on each game. I press bets sometimes and play money line bets. Why I think win-loss record is overrated because in my option most gamblers bet sports do not bet the same on every game. If its contest or pools that's justified with a rating. My goal is at end of season to have 3x my bankroll or hoping more? /LOL !!
Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings. Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating,& The DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders rating. I use [is based on his model that factors in defense and offense statistics including points scored, points given up, win-loss record, and strength of games played and remaining. It indicates who is actually the better teams irrespective of record]. This should go without saying, but - I'll say it anyway. The system does not take into account injuries, weather conditions, yardage gained, the importance of the game, whether it was a Monday Night game or not, whether the quarterback's grandmother was sick, or anything else besides points scored and points allowed. This is why I choose to wait until at least after the 1st week of the NFL season before making my bet with predictions. My picks are free on Rx Form and always be just that... and way I see it when I win you win. Have a great following and some great acquaintances on this form over a couple years that follow my posts with picks and also bets. What you bet is your personal business and what bet is mine. Its not how much you bet, its all about winning. Ladies& Gentlemen of jury[ Rx members] My record speaks for itself !!!!!! Lets have a great season and just win !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Good Luck This Season Rx Members

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Hårr¥THëHÄT

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*** Yesterday is not ours to recover, but tomorrow is ours to win or lose. The price of success is hard work, dedication & motivation when you are handicapping games with betting success in the NFL

 

[tulah]

your one of the better cappers on this site.^!:. I'm looking forward to your plays. best of luck this season Harry :toast:

 

[bigwang]

Best of luck this season sir.

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

your one of the better cappers on this site.^!:. I'm looking forward to your plays. best of luck this season Harry :toast:

Thank You For Kind Words and support tulah !!! Look forward giving you my picks this season tulah....

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Best of luck this season sir.

Thank You big wang... lets just win !!!!!

 

[sbjon]

BOL Mr.HarrtheHat. Appreciate your posts!

 

[indiana]

Mr. H/hat......your thread is a must read each week...........looking forward to your thought's this season.........BOL with yours and your buddies action.........indy

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

BOL Mr.HarrtheHat. Appreciate your posts!

Thank you for your support sbjon !!! Lets just win this season!!!!

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Mr. H/hat......your thread is a must read each week...........looking forward to your thought's this season.........BOL with yours and your buddies action.........indy

Thank you Indy, long time friend and supporter on Rx!!... The Mr. H/hat> will be back after 1st week of NFL. Need stats Indy after 1st week games and best of luck to you this season!!!!!1 Lets just win my friend !!!!

 

[3pointdog]

harry, you stealing my tag line??? (which i stole from Al Davis..!)

Just win... its even in my signature!!

good luck to us this season Harry...!!

 

[ROCCO V]

harry, you stealing my tag line??? (which i stole from Al Davis..!)

Just win... its even in my signature!!

good luck to us this season Harry...!!

how about you let me steal some picks this year. Rocco

 

[vinnyvegas]

Best of luck as usual

keep winning