Guy bets his wad on Apple (AAPL) getting crushed today

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[ Currently at $121, I'm watching it... ]

This trader bets it all on Apple getting crushed after earnings


Published: Jan 30, 2017 4:04 p.m. ET

Critical intelligence for the U.S. trading day



<article id="article" class="with-hero " itemscope="" itemtype="http://schema.org/NewsArticle" itemref="article-headline article-subhead"> <figure class="hero-figure has-caption">
MW-FE686_iphone_20170130070750_ZH.jpg
<cite>Getty Images</cite>
<figcaption></figcaption> </figure> By
ShawnLanglois

Social-media editor




Assessing the Donald Trump Show’s impact on markets will likely remain a top priority for most investors this week. For one desperate trader, however, the next few days are about all something else entirely: Apple’s earnings.
We first met F.S. Comeau back in April, when we interviewed the 30-something from Montreal for a story about WallStreetBets, a Reddit forum that rose to prominence over the past year for its irreverent and gun-slinging approach to playing markets.
Count Comeau among those that have experienced the lofty peaks and painful valleys of the group’s high-risk approach to trading. In fact, one particularly tough stretch landed him in the hospital with stress-related issues. That’s what hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of losses can do to a guy.
This Tuesday, he vows, will mark his last and boldest attempt to erase losses and reach market riches. In WallStreetBets lingo, his Apple AAPL, -0.52% bet — and our call of the day — is his “final YOLO.” For you non-millennials, that’s “you only live once!”

So what does Comeau do for his swan song?
Basically, he is using what’s left of his stash to bet big against Apple by buying put options that, according to Comeau, could net him upwards of a few million if his prediction holds true. But if Apple, which currently sits near $122, trades at $128 or above after the report — poof! — $240,000 gone.
Here’s a look at the trades:
<figure class="article-figure NS">
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</figure>

</article>
<figure class="article-figure NS">
<figcaption></figcaption> </figure> Comeau is nothing if not confident — maybe too confident in this moonshot, although that tends to play rather well among the WallStreetBets crowd.
“IT IS SIMPLY NOT POSSIBLE FOR APPLE TO SPIKE UP POST-EARNINGS,” Comeau wrote. “It didn’t happen to Google GOOG, -1.11% GOOGL, -0.91% , it didn’t happen to Western Digital WDC, -0.41% , Qualcomm QCOM, -0.88% or even Intel INTC, -1.67% or Microsoft (2%! Yay!) MSFT, -1.03% , despite excellent earnings (which Apple won’t have).”
Famous last words?
Go here for his entire 5,000-plus word post explaining why he’s quitting trading for good, how “the stock market is rigged” and how a drop of at least 20% in Apple shares on Wednesday will earn him back the fortune he’s lost in the trading pits. The iPhone maker is due to post its quarterly results late Tuesday.
Some called Comeau out for a being fool, others snickered and wished him luck, and then there were several others who bought into the concept of the trade.
“Maybe I’m an idiot, but after reading that entire post, I’m in for some Apple puts,” writes OcculusResurrectio. “Not YOLO-ing, but the logic is pretty sound.”
So, we’ll check back in with Comeau and the rest of the WallStreetBets crew on Wednesday morning, but for now let’s take a look at what traders should keep an eye on after the mayhem of the last few days. Stocks are under pressure so far.
 

Their undisputed masterpiece is "Hip to be Square.
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why is buying puts and selling calls? diversifying?????
 

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i clicked the 'here for his entire 5,000-plus word post'


copy and paste;


Three and a half years ago, my favorite uncle died after a short battle with cancer. Up until the moment he died, none of us even knew he was sick. Uncle Richard was a secretive man who lived a secretive life. He didn’t like to discuss his personal matters. We saw him once or twice per year, at family gatherings, where he usually stood alone in a corner, slowly drinking his brandy and seven-up.
I was one of the few people who took the time to go talk to him. Truth be told, I rather enjoyed his presence. He was a tenacious listener and he had the gift of always making you feel appreciated. After his wife died in her late 40s, I think he had some kind of breakdown, from which he never recovered. I know that he truly loved her and the rest of his life was spent living alone in something he sometimes described to me as an "unending fog." Our family invited him because, well, he was part of the family, and also because he was generous with his bottles of homemade wine, perhaps his only passion in life, or at least the only one that we knew of.
The day he passed away, I learned he was bequeathing me over 2.5 million dollars.
My uncle had never really had a career or a profession of any kind. He stuck to the usual odd jobs, being a trucker here, working in security there, even teaching at some point, but he would usually never last long. When he died, everyone was shocked at the fortune he had managed to amass. But my uncle was an ascetic and austere man: he lived in the same, tiny house he had built by himself for $10,000 decades ago, drove a car that was older than me and wore the same clothes quite possibly since his high school times, year after year. He preferred to repair rather than rebuy and still had that giant, clumsy television from the 80s instead of that shiny new LCD. All in all, it’s crazy to think what an average man, living an average life, can accumulate over 45 years of his life if he puts his will to the task.
He had no one to give his money to, I guess. No children, no wife and no friends that we knew of. I remember I was driving back from some boring class at some boring community college when I got the call. I was so “estomaqué” (stomached?) I had to pull over on the highway, first of all because I had no idea he had passed away or that he was even sick, second to ask the notary to repeat the amount he was reading to me. Up to that point, I myself had been drifting from a place to another, not unlike him, from a formation in accounting that led me nowhere to some useless telemarketer job. The call, from his will executor, changed my life completely.
With his legacy came one small letter, visibly scribbled quickly days before his death, if that, on a single sheet of paper (loose translation):
“Frank,
As a kid, I was told that life was a game. Now that I’m all grown up, I can tell you that life is indeed a game; just not a very fun one.
R.”



............


How's that for a final note? Looks like the loss of his wife really hit him? Loneliness is a killer.


http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/a...alcoholism-smoking-eating-say-scientists.html





as for the kid.............. good grief

here's one response to his thread;



This post is so WSB it's cringe-inducing.
Let's recap:

  1. OP claims he has bad luck
  2. Luck turns around with $2.5M inheritance
  3. OP immediately gets greedy, starts making reckless trades and then starts straight up gambling
  4. OP loses half a mil, keeps going a la sunk cost fallacy
  5. OP wins the 500k back. Doesn't cut and run, decides to keep gambling
  6. OP loses it all over again. And then a lot more.
  7. OP comes to WSB with 325k, more than most of us could dream of at this stage, and uses the same sunk cost fallacy and "foolproof due diligence" to justify gambling his last cash away
  8. OP then promises he'll stop gambling after this one last time where he gambles literally everything he has left
I don't know whether to laugh or be sad as fuck. All I know is that 325k buys a lot of tendies.
 

Their undisputed masterpiece is "Hip to be Square.
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^^^you asked to be approved...to view the thread? nice
 

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no, i pressed it and voila, opened. Oddly, trying again and a no go-- guess the mods at the site made it private
 

Their undisputed masterpiece is "Hip to be Square.
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ya, it's private now.

I like these bets...

I've got some QQQ from last week that I expect to go green because of AAPL...I don't like the end of day action in AAPL and the other top nasdaq's though.
 

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Apple up +2.09 after Close and going higher... easy come easy go
 

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he never had a plan. Unreal. 2.5million? the dude could have been the house and just sold calls..........
 
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[h=1]Apple Reports Record First Quarter Results[/h]



<input class="link-text" value="http://nr.apple.com/dE4z7C9E4c" tabindex="-1">







iPhone, Services, Mac and Apple Watch Set All-Time Records



CUPERTINO, California — January 31, 2017 — Apple today announced financial results for its fiscal 2017 first quarter ended December 31, 2016. The Company posted all-time record quarterly revenue of $78.4 billion and all-time record quarterly earnings per diluted share of $3.36. These results compare to revenue of $75.9 billion and earnings per diluted share of $3.28 in the year-ago quarter. International sales accounted for 64 percent of the quarter’s revenue.

“We’re thrilled to report that our holiday quarter results generated Apple’s highest quarterly revenue ever, and broke multiple records along the way. We sold more iPhones than ever before and set all-time revenue records for iPhone, Services, Mac and Apple Watch,” said Tim Cook, Apple’s CEO. “Revenue from Services grew strongly over last year, led by record customer activity on the App Store, and we are very excited about the products in our pipeline.”

“Our outstanding business performance resulted in a new all-time record for earnings per share, and over $27 billion in operating cash flow,” said Luca Maestri, Apple’s CFO. “We returned nearly $15 billion to investors through share repurchases and dividends during the quarter, bringing cumulative payments through our capital return program to over $200 billion.”

Apple is providing the following guidance for its fiscal 2017 second quarter:


  • revenue between $51.5 billion and $53.5 billion
  • gross margin between 38 percent and 39 percent
  • operating expenses between $6.5 billion and $6.6 billion
  • other income/(expense) of $400 million
  • tax rate of 26 percent

Apple’s board of directors has declared a cash dividend of $0.57 per share of the Company’s common stock. The dividend is payable on February 16, 2017 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on February 13, 2017.

Apple will provide live streaming of its Q1 2017 financial results conference call beginning at 2:00 p.m. PST on January 31, 2017 at www.apple.com/investor/earnings-call/. This webcast will also be available for replay for approximately two weeks thereafter.





  • <figure class="pdf-item-icon"></figure> Consolidated Financial Statements
    View PDF
  • <figure class="pdf-item-icon"></figure> Data Summary
    View PDF



This press release contains forward-looking statements including without limitation those about the Company’s estimated revenue, gross margin, operating expenses, other income/(expense), and tax rate. These statements involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ. Risks and uncertainties include without limitation the effect of competitive and economic factors, and the Company’s reaction to those factors, on consumer and business buying decisions with respect to the Company’s products; continued competitive pressures in the marketplace; the ability of the Company to deliver to the marketplace and stimulate customer demand for new programs, products, and technological innovations on a timely basis; the effect that product introductions and transitions, changes in product pricing or mix, and/or increases in component costs could have on the Company’s gross margin; the inventory risk associated with the Company’s need to order or commit to order product components in advance of customer orders; the continued availability on acceptable terms, or at all, of certain components and services essential to the Company’s business currently obtained by the Company from sole or limited sources; the effect that the Company’s dependency on manufacturing and logistics services provided by third parties may have on the quality, quantity or cost of products manufactured or services rendered; risks associated with the Company’s international operations; the Company’s reliance on third-party intellectual property and digital content; the potential impact of a finding that the Company has infringed on the intellectual property rights of others; the Company’s dependency on the performance of distributors, carriers and other resellers of the Company’s products; the effect that product and service quality problems could have on the Company’s sales and operating profits; the continued service and availability of key executives and employees; war, terrorism, public health issues, natural disasters, and other circumstances that could disrupt supply, delivery, or demand of products; and unfavorable results of legal proceedings. More information on potential factors that could affect the Company’s financial results is included from time to time in the “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of the Company’s public reports filed with the SEC, including the Company’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 24, 2016 and its Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended December 31, 2016 to be filed with the SEC. The Company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements or information, which speak as of their respective dates.

Apple revolutionized personal technology with the introduction of the Macintosh in 1984. Today, Apple leads the world in innovation with iPhone, iPad, Mac, Apple Watch and Apple TV. Apple’s four software platforms — iOS, macOS, watchOS and tvOS — provide seamless experiences across all Apple devices and empower people with breakthrough services including the App Store, Apple Music, Apple Pay and iCloud. Apple’s more than 100,000 employees are dedicated to making the best products on earth, and to leaving the world better than we found it.
 

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fake story

certainly possible

I posted only the 1st paragraph . The whole entity was elaborate , sprinkled with history and fantastic due diligence. Took time to write that.


all fiction?....a 6th floor creative, brilliant John Hopkin's mental patient?..................
 
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Man... I keep talking about buying into Apple, and just never do. Kicking myself.

Currently at $153
 

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