Books can't make FSU that large of a favorite, they'd get overwhelmed with Louisville money from both sharps and joe's grabbing more than a FG with the home dog. In fact, making FSU any kind of favorite at all would be incredibly risky for them.
That said, Louisville will have played Charlotte and Syracuse, and people will also remember that Ole Miss's offense and tempo schooled FSU for a half, so I do expect the public to be all over Louisville.
FSU should be pretty vanilla and safe tomorrow, allowing lots of guys to rest coming off the short week and facing a depleted CSU roster. Don't think we'll be able to take away any kind of meaningful info from that game with respect to the upcoming spread.
If we take the Wisdom of The Crowd approach (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wisdom_of_the_crowd), i.e., the group is better than any single expert, the line should be about -2.5.
Average across all the responses was -2.6 (standard deviation).
Average across all the responses was -2.6 (standard deviation).
Power Ratings before this week's games pretty even, with home field adjusted Louisville is actually a small favorite.
Tonight's ass kicking will certainly help Ville's PR a bit. Don't be surprised if Louisville is a small favorite or Pick. This game will be lined within a FG either way, and probably closer to a PK.
Tonight's ass kicking will certainly help Ville's PR a bit. Don't be surprised if Louisville is a small favorite or Pick. This game will be lined within a FG either way, and probably closer to a PK.
