he has won non majors coming from behind. Im not trying to defend him, I dont particularly like or dislike him. personally I sold my +440 to win from before round 3 on him at -460 to lose before round 4 and bought Immelman +155 to win. has nothing to do with this stat, it was I honestly felt that Immelman was being underrated and Woods was being overrated at that point. Woods was 6 back and I didnt see signs of cracking from Immelman who has a nice swing and isnt an unaccomplished player.
but I dont believe you are barking up a good tree.
if he is what 6 back like this one, a comeback wont happen much. being behind is also ( like this week) an indicator he is not on his game which would explain a noncomback.
most of those 32 were ones where he was more than 2 shots back. comebacks wont happen that much from there.
if in the next major he is 1 or 2 back going into round 4, I hope you dont believe him not to win is free money based on this, which is a very small sample size.
it is worth some consideration when capping, as many things are. but "Tiger cant come back" is no reason to make or not make a bet by itself. consider the next situation, not a trend that is dubious when making bets.