GreenThumbRacing Choices: Monday 9/14 Kentucky Downs

[GreenThumbRacing]

This is the card that was rained out on Saturday, over a $1,000,000 in purse money top jockeys,trainers,horses.
Livens up a Monday for sure.


My choices & analysis coming up soon:

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 1: Wesley Ward has two first timers 2 & 5. I see at least 5/6 contenders in here. Will await late scratches.

Race 2: The 5 will be tough to beat, but I see at least 3 that have a legitimate shot to do so.

Race 3: On paper it appears only the 1 or 8 can win this race.

Race 4: The 12 appears to be a standout

Race 5: The 3 appears to be a standout

Race 6: A nice wide open race, 1,4,7,8 are amongst my contenders.

Race 7: 5,6,8 are my top three

Race 8: 1,4,7 are my top three

Race 9: 4,6,11 are my top three

Race 10: 7,9,10 are my top three


Kent Desourmeaux riding today, I look for him to have at least two winners. Joe Bravo is riding a few also.

As always I'll narrow it down to just my top choice and key off of it once late scratches come in. Will be great weather today at beautiful Kentucky Downs.

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 1: 11-Siding Spring
$30Win/Place
$5 exacta box: 11/1; 11/2; 11/5; 11/6; 11/10; 11/12
$10DD: 11/1,3,12
$30DD: 11/5
$5Pick3: 11/1,3,12/1,5,7
$10Pick3: 11/5/1,5,7
$2Pick3: 1,2,5,6,10,12/5/1,5,7


As ALWAYS I'll be updating my results, not just the winners. Also I give in depth analysis of my wagers and updated +/- money results.
Thus ensuring the people who may follow see my good and bad days, it also shows you the integrity of the handicapper.

 

[Lt1]

Good luck GT

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 1 results: 11-10-5-6

My top choice won paying $13.40 $7.00 had the exacta $80.80

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

No choices for Race 2 due to being alive with 4 Daily Doubles.

Wagered: $291 collected: $404 exacta $306 win/place = + $419 even if I miss the DDs & Pick3's

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 2 results: 12-1-2-7

Hit the Daily Double five times it paid: $102.20 thus collecting $511 + $419 = + $930 for the day now pending 3 alive Pick3's for $5

1- paying $165.40 for $1
5- paying $1,496.80 for $1
7- paying $981.50 for a $1

No choices posted for race 3 either due to impending pick 3.

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 3 results: 1-7-5-3

My three choices in the pick 3 ran 1,2,3 of course the smallest one hit. But still off to a flying start today.
Collected $827 with my pick 3 + $930 = + $1,757 for the day

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 4: 12-Macho Brew
$30Win/Place
$10 exacta box: 12/2; 12/5; 12/6; 12/7
$20DD: 12/3
$10DD: 12/6,7,8,9

 

[Lt1]

Nice job GT

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Nice job GT

Thank you Lt1

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 4 results: 9-3-5-6

Bombs away here, Abel Lezcano at 30/1 my choice the 12 ran very poorly. That race cost me $200
- $200 + $1,757 = + $1,557

Will pass the 5th and gear up for the 6th

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

As I wrote at 9:33AM the 3 in race 5 looked to strong, but I'm not going to put out a horse that pays $5.60. We are always looking for value, now a few handicappers brag with such a winner.

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 6: 7-Trust Factor
$30Win/Place
$5 exacta box: 7/1; 7/4; 7/6; 7/9; 7/11 ($50)
$10DD: 7/4,5,6 ($30)
$5 pick 3: 7/4,5,6/3,5,6,7 $(60)
$2 pick 3: 1,4,6,9,11/4,5,6/3,5,6,7 ($120)

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 6 results: 11-5-1-4

My choice 7 was right there mid stretch then just faded. Just one positive side note our saver pick 3 is still alive

Wagered: $320 collected $0 * (pick 3 pending)

- $320 + $1,557 = + 1,237 * (pick 3 pending)

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 7: 5-Mission Driven
$50Win/Place

$2 Pick 4: 7th: 4,5,6 // 8th: 3,5,7 // 9th: 4,6,11 // 10th: 7,9,10 ($162)
$5 Pick 3: 7th: 4,5,6 // 8th: 3,5,7 // 9th: 4,6,11 ($135)

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 7 results: 4-2-5-8

My choice 5 was leading into final 1/16 but the weight of my fat ass was just too much to handle. My W/P bet in the crapper.
My saver pick 3 ends with the 3,5,6,7
My pick 4 & pick 3 goes on

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 8 no choice will be posted, I'm alive with 4 ending a pick 3 & continuing on in pick 4 & 3

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Race 8 results 11-3-7-4

One of my choices the 3 went off at 13/1 just got beat at the wire by of all jockeys Julien Leparoux.. That's racing

All my wagers are now down the toilet.


- $397 that included my $50WP in the 7th and my Pick 4 & 3

- $397 + $1,237 = + $840

 

[GreenThumbRacing]

Last race of the day for me.

Race 9: 4-Mongol Bull
$30Win/Place
$20 straight exacta: 4/1; 4/6; 4/11
$20 straight exacta: 1/4
$10 straight exacta: 6/4

$150 wagered