Great story

[Willye]

Im sure we all have a few of these friends well a buddy of mine has absolutely no clue about baseball couldnt tell you what divison teams are in he just bets on the era bets 500 a game boom or bust kind of guy, lol... So he will look at the eras add them up says its 7 and the total of the game is 9 he will bet the over because he thinks vegas has it high because they know better the guy has no clue about park factors or anything well yea he is up 20k in the past 2 weeks gotta love it

 

[MikeB]

I don't get the logic

Maybe I'm reading it wrong.....

Vegas sets the total at 2 over the combined ERA so he wagers the over? What if Vegas has the total at 3 over the ERA?...or 5?...

 

[Willye]

He bets the over

 

[Willye]

He never has bet baseball couldnt tell you what divisions the teams are in

No capping nothing just basic lookk at eras bet game

pitcher 1 era 2.05
pitcher 2 era 3.45

vegas sets total at 8

he bets over

i just thought it was a good story hes up 20k in 2 weeks

 

[Bourn]

Yeah that's a good story. So what if...

Era 4.07
Era 5.23

Total 8

 

[Willye]

Examples tonite

yankees vs royals

Young 5.76
nova 5.14

Vegas total 8

so he bet 500 on under

Miami vs milw

peralta 7.50
jose 4.28

Vegas total 7.5

500 on under

Oakland vs boston

Gray 4.84
bucholz 5.71

vegas total 8.5

he bet over lol

Wash vs det

Sanchez 5.87
straus 2.36

vegas total 7

he survives because it isnt 2 runs difference no bet

 

[Willye]

He dont bet it.. 2 runs or more difference its just amazing and when i tell you the guy doesnt no anything about baseball litterally he couldnt tell you what division soem teams are in


im waiting for the crash just hasnt happened he keeps piling up the money

 

[Bourn]

Lol his logic makes zero sense, but great to see him get on a run and win.

 

[Willye]

There is none lol its look on the era and just bet just figured id share lol he spends about 5 mins total handicapping if you want to call it that

 

[sparticus]

Good for him,that is funny tho,LOL!

 

[Enfuego]

Why did he bet the over on the Oak/Bos game?

 

[MattyMatt]

he spends about 5 mins total handicapping if you want to call it that

Right there with him, although I do know teams and divisions in all major sports lol.

Now if I can just get up $20k. Haha.

 

[Willye]

Why did he bet the over on the Oak/Bos game?

I just explained it all...

takes 2 mins to handicap the games lol

10.55

vegas total 8.5

over

 

[Willye]

Under toronto another big play lol

over texas also

 

[Willye]

Why did he bet the over on the Oak/Bos game?

Nvm shits confusing to me had under boston

 

[Willye]

And the bookie takes another bloodbath... Never knew it could be so easy

 

[Enfuego]

Nvm shits confusing to me had under boston

That's why I asked but in post 6 you said he had the over.

 

[FearTheRaven]

Lol. He should scoop out a large chunk of those winnings.

 

[Sports247]

If I understand this, you basically add up era and if its projected to win by 2 either way you bet opposite...kinda the theory oh that looks super easy I'm taking what should be the bad play based on era alone...so tonight would be under in Oakland Boston under in Pitt cincy over in Cubs Padres and under in Toronto Giants. All are difference in total and era by 2 and then opposite of what would win based on era

 

[CHOPTALK]

It's only crazy if it don't work