The only two times I play it straight is with blackjack and suicide putts. That's a nonstarter. Instead I know things that can "explain" why I am today looking at a $200 plus overdraft fee.
I know that I am an overall (+) units handicapper. Not that I am perfect. I can go 2-10 on some days. But when you add it together, I'm definitely on the plus side.
That's one thing. The other is that I have multiple as many one loss parlays as winning parlays.
The second thing I know is why the first thing I know don't mean shit.
Wouldn't it be or isn't it a statistical propability that a person would be expected to have about an equal number of winning parlays as one-loss parlays?
I mean by definition when it comes down to one game there is a 50% chance of winning it. And I don't think it matters how many bets are in the parlay.
If you have a two team parlay that you win at least one game, there is a fifty percent chance you'll win the second regardless if it is the first game or last.
Likewise with a 10 team parlay, if you win nine of them it doesn't matter when the tenth game is played. You have a 50% chance of lighting up the entire board.
For me, I have about a 20% chance of winning that last game. I would say I've had five times more one loss parlays than winning ones.
That's my problem. That's my only problem, not this straight betting nonsense. If I would just have a 50/50 ratio between one loss and no loss parlays, I'm getting rid of my glasses, buying a new computer and perhaps even buying a new car and taking an exotic vacation.
You know exactly what's going to happen if I ever have a Level Three parlay that comes down to the last game. I'm gonna lose. You know it's going to happen. I don't know who and I don't know how, but I know I'll lose because I'm supposed to lose. That's just the way it works.