GOY Openers

[BigdaddyQH]

You guys can look the lines up yourselves, but suffice it to say, a few things are obvious. Ohio State and TCU are favored in every game that they are lined in. 'Bama is a pick at Georgia. Next, there is not a lot of respect for Oregon out there. -16 at Colorado? A Pick at Stanford? Really? Check the line against Michigan State and tell me what you see. 5Dimes has the line at Michigan State -3 1/2.

The group I am with also think that the Nugget gives way too much respect to the Mississippi teams and not enough respect to Auburn. 'Bama opened at -3 1/2 at Auburn. We like Auburn, even though it is late in the season.

We thought that there were fewer people this year. It did not take very long to get our wagers down. We made about 20 wagers. Most were because we though the lines were ridiculous. Some of our wagers:

Michigan -14 vs Oregon State. This is Harbaugh's home opener and it could be after a loss to another Pac 12 team (Utah). Giving 14 points against what is possibly the worst Pac 12 North team? Thank you Santa.

Michigan State -1 vs Oregon. Obviously a game to middle. The line will climb to 3 or more.

Auburn -8 vs Miss. State. One of three games we faded Miss. State on.

Arizona +7.5 at Stanford. Zona can score. Stanford loses a lot of solid defensive players. Over a TD is enough for us.

Florida State pk at Georgia Tech. Florida State has too much defense. Tech will have already played games at Notre Dame, Duke, and Clemson. How much will they have left?

Auburn -4 vs Ole Miss. Really? Another visit from Santa?

Notre Dame -3 at Pitt. Notre Dame may be good or very good. Pitt looks like a 6 game winner.

Oregon Pk at Stanford. Another no brainer here. Stanford has no offense.

Michigan State +14 at Ohio State. The visitor has won the last two games outright. 11 points has been the biggest margin of victory in 5 years.

Auburn +3.5 vs Alabama. Saban has not done real well at Auburn. (2-2, 1-3).

 

[cloverleaf]

Just for the sake of debate..............

Agree:
Michigan -14
Florida State Pk
Michigan State +14

Disagree:
Arizona +7.5
Oregon Pk
Auburn +3.5

No dog in these plays so wish you success.................

 

[REDEYE]

I grabbed the Ducks + 3 1/2 against Mich St....a lot better then going to Vegas and getting pk

 

[GoSooners]

I grabbed the Ducks + 3 1/2 against Mich St....a lot better then going to Vegas and getting pk

The more info I gather on these two teams the more I like this play..

 

[REDEYE]

The more info I gather on these two teams the more I like this play..

its still up at Dimes GS

 

[GoSooners]

its still up at Dimes GS

I'm not a big GOY player, but I'll probably end up grabbing it since it is an opener. And the Ducks haven't been a dog in 3 years.

 

[cloverleaf]

I've never played a game of the year bet in my life.

Unless I have a gun at my head...doubt if I ever will.

Why? Not like college football teams change as the season develops.

Hell, to each their own...makes this frecken world go around.

 

[REDEYE]

this knucklehead believes its the holy grail of gambling... he says himself and his " associates " bet these big.... Couldn't be to bright of a group if this is the case

 

[GoSooners]

I've never played a game of the year bet in my life.

Unless I have a gun at my head...doubt if I ever will.

Why? Not like college football teams change as the season develops.

Hell, to each their own...makes this frecken world go around.

I can't blame you one bit there Clover..GOY's are tough peopositions. All we can do is take uneducated guesses on what we hope will happen 2 or 3 months from now.

 

[REDEYE]

I can see playing some key games with key #'s early in the season.. after that its a major risk...

 

[BigdaddyQH]

The later in the season, the bigger the risk. By the same token, the risk is just as big for the team that you fade as the team that you take. Again, it is all about risk vs reward. One of the games I took was Michigan -14 vs Oregon State. There were a lot of reasons for this, the biggest one being that Oregon State has a new HC, and very few good players returning. We also considered what would happen if Michigan lost a key player to injury in the Utah game. Well, their QB situation is nowhere near settled, so if they lost their starting QB, it certainly would not be nearly as catastrophic as say, Miss. State losing Prescott or TCU losing Boykin.

If you want to succeed in gambling, like anything else in life, you cannot play "not to lose". I see a lot of that in here. You must play to win. Now to each his own, but I believe that you must take advantage of every opportunity that is presented to you. Future injuries are a crap shoot. They can and do happen to anyone. Again everything tends to balance out in the long run. I believe in wagering assertively.

While we are on the topic, here is another interesting set of opening lines. Alabama at Georgia is a Pick. Georgia at Tennessee is a pick. Tennessee at Alabama is not. 'Bama is -10. That tells me that the guys at the Nugget are trying to outguess Joe Pub and not paying attention to the actual teams. I could see anything up to -7, but -10? I did not play the game. I just use these three games to illustrate how unorganized things seemed to be at the Nugget this year. Dropping some 35 games from last season and starting two weeks later than last season tells me that the Nugget does not want to take another loss, like they did last season. This whole GOY thing started many years ago at the Stardust. Then it moved to the Las Vegas Hilton, and then to the Nugget, it's current home. Neither of the previous two hosts did very well with it.