HUH? 10.5 runs with David Wells & Rodrigo Lopez on the mound??? what am i missing?
Lopez last game vs BoSox, he tossed a 3 hitter in 8 innings, giving up nothing but a solo bomb. He is also 10-4 3.54 ERA lifetime vs. Sox.
Wells has an extremely consistent starter, giving up 3 runs or less in many of his starts. Wells lifetime ERA vs. Orioles is 4.1
If you add the ERA vs. opponent of each pitcher together, it is 3.54 + 4.1 = 7.64 runs. This is far below the 10.5 line on the board.
The potential holes in this play is that the BoSox pen will give up a lot of runs, or Lopez doesn't show up because he's been torched a couple times, including his last start. I know, Sox have been putting up 7 runs + very consistently at home.
But i foresee a close game, a possible pitching duel in this spot. 10.5 runs is A LOT of runs to lay against 2 strong starters. an 8 or 9 line would make me think, but this one is too high.
Bet it!
Lopez last game vs BoSox, he tossed a 3 hitter in 8 innings, giving up nothing but a solo bomb. He is also 10-4 3.54 ERA lifetime vs. Sox.
Wells has an extremely consistent starter, giving up 3 runs or less in many of his starts. Wells lifetime ERA vs. Orioles is 4.1
If you add the ERA vs. opponent of each pitcher together, it is 3.54 + 4.1 = 7.64 runs. This is far below the 10.5 line on the board.
The potential holes in this play is that the BoSox pen will give up a lot of runs, or Lopez doesn't show up because he's been torched a couple times, including his last start. I know, Sox have been putting up 7 runs + very consistently at home.
But i foresee a close game, a possible pitching duel in this spot. 10.5 runs is A LOT of runs to lay against 2 strong starters. an 8 or 9 line would make me think, but this one is too high.
Bet it!