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SU
PLAY: The Cubs are 12-0 SU since Jun 14, 2015 when Jon Lester starts as a home 140+ favorite when they lost in his last start.
team=Cubs and starter=Jon Lester and H and line<=-140 and s:L and date>=20150614
PLAY: The Pirates are 18-0 RL as a 140-plus dog off a road game when they won the last two games their starter started.
team = Pirates and 140 <= line and p:A and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20120519
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OU
UNDER: The Cardinals are 0-13 OU in franchise history when Lance Lynn starts at home in July.
team = Cardinals and starter = Lance Lynn and H and month = 7
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 145-105-10 OU +11.5% ROI this season.
(Astros, Royals, Marlins, Tigers, Braves, Brewers)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-110-18 +12.0% ROI)
(None Today?)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:
SU
PLAY: The Cubs are 12-0 SU since Jun 14, 2015 when Jon Lester starts as a home 140+ favorite when they lost in his last start.
team=Cubs and starter=Jon Lester and H and line<=-140 and s:L and date>=20150614
PLAY: The Pirates are 18-0 RL as a 140-plus dog off a road game when they won the last two games their starter started.
team = Pirates and 140 <= line and p:A and s:W and ss:W and date >= 20120519
------------
OU
UNDER: The Cardinals are 0-13 OU in franchise history when Lance Lynn starts at home in July.
team = Cardinals and starter = Lance Lynn and H and month = 7
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 145-105-10 OU +11.5% ROI this season.
(Astros, Royals, Marlins, Tigers, Braves, Brewers)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-110-18 +12.0% ROI)
(None Today?)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:
[h=2]
[/h]
FADE: The Giants (122-229 -29.2% ROI, but 11-1 L12.)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7
PLAY: The Cubs (996-598 +11.7% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
--------------------------------
UNDER: Marlins/Giants (462-230-36 +25.9%)
season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)
UNDER: Royals/Dodgers (76-47-11 +17.9% ROI)
H and total<=7 and 9 * tS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / tS(9 - starter innings pitched) <= 3.75 and tA(walks)>=4 and 2010<=season and SG<4
OVER: Royals/Dodgers (57-39-7 +12.7% ROI)
H and total<=7 and day=Sunday and STDSWHIP<=1.05 and conference=NL and SG>2
FADE: The Giants (122-229 -29.2% ROI, but 11-1 L12.)
(so:R1 = 3 or so:R1 = 4) and SG != 2 and 5 > SGS > 1 and s:SRA < 10 and 3 < s:SHA < 10 and s:SWA < 5 and 6 > s:SSO > 1 and starter rest < 17 and s:SPT > 56 and os:SRA < 8 and s:SHRA < 4 and os:SHRA < 2 and os:SPT > 69 and o:starter rest < 18 and p:hits < 12 and 0 < ss:SSO < 12 and ss:SPT > 66 and -8 < os:margin < 6 and tA(hits,N=10) > 6.8 and oA(LOB, N=10) < 18.5 and 1.4 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.8 and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.7
PLAY: The Cubs (996-598 +11.7% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
--------------------------------
UNDER: Marlins/Giants (462-230-36 +25.9%)
season > 2008 and H and 10 > month > 5 and SG < 4 and 5 > streak > -5 and 1 > tA(HR) > .7 and s:SRA < 6 and p:hits < 11 and 16 > op:hits > 4 and sss:SRA < 4 and rest = 0 and p:home runs < 2 and os:SSO < 11 and oss:SSO < 10 and os:SHA < 11 and 2 < oss:SHA < 11 and p:IT < 6 and p:LOB < 21 and s:SPT < 122 and ss:SPT < 119 and team != Rockies and team != Athletics and o:team != Blue Jays and (p:errors + pp:errors + ppp:errors + pppp:errors + ppppp:errors + pppppp:errors) < 10 and (op:errors + opp:errors + oppp:errors + opppp:errors + oppppp:errors + opppppp:errors) < 8 and (p:temperature < 91 or p:temperature = Indoors)
UNDER: Royals/Dodgers (76-47-11 +17.9% ROI)
H and total<=7 and 9 * tS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / tS(9 - starter innings pitched) <= 3.75 and tA(walks)>=4 and 2010<=season and SG<4
OVER: Royals/Dodgers (57-39-7 +12.7% ROI)
H and total<=7 and day=Sunday and STDSWHIP<=1.05 and conference=NL and SG>2
Record 11-8
Friday
[h=2]
[/h]
PLAY: The Rangers are 10-0 SU vs the Royals their L10 meetings, Under 8-2. (Added to SDQL plays)
<tbody>
</tbody>
Under 11-1 L12 meetings in KC.
Perez 3-9 team record L12 Road starts.
Hammel 4-14 team record last 18 starts, 3-9 L12 at Home.
Friday
[h=2]
PLAY: The Rangers are 10-0 SU vs the Royals their L10 meetings, Under 8-2. (Added to SDQL plays)
| SU: | 10-0 (2.20, 100.0%) | avg line: -125.8 / 115.5 | on / against: +$1,013 / -$1,041 | ROI: +77.2% / -100.0% |
|---|
<tbody>
</tbody>
Under 11-1 L12 meetings in KC.
Perez 3-9 team record L12 Road starts.
Hammel 4-14 team record last 18 starts, 3-9 L12 at Home.
[h=2]
[/h]
SU
PLAY: The Nationals are 14-0 SU since May 4, 2016 as a road favorite after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game.
team=Nationals and AF and po:BPRA > po:SRA and date>=20160504
PLAY: The Braves, Brewers, and Padres (996-599 +11.6%)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
PLAY: The Pirates (46-22 +24.7% ROI)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
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OU
UNDER: Cubs/Orioles (49-26-2 +24.7% ROI)
team = Orioles and H and date >= 20160709
UNDER: Giants/Padres (288-199-27 +12.4%)
H and REG and 6.5<=total<=8 and total/2<=STDSERA<=5.25 and total/2<=o:STDSERA<=5.25 and 1.25<=STDSWHIP<=1.55 and 1.25<=o:STDSWHIP<=1.55 and season>=2007
UNDER: Cardinals/Pirates (41-24-3 +20.4%)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
OVER: The Braves are 20-4 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.
team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612
OVER: D-Backs/Braves (78-50-5 +15.8% ROI)
team=Braves and date>=20160811
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 148-107-10 OU +10.8% ROI this season.
(Twins, Indians, D-Backs, Dodgers, Rockies, Cardinals, Mariners)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-115-18 +10.0% ROI)
(Braves, Nationals)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O
SU
PLAY: The Nationals are 14-0 SU since May 4, 2016 as a road favorite after they scored more runs off the bullpen than they did off the starter last game.
team=Nationals and AF and po:BPRA > po:SRA and date>=20160504
PLAY: The Braves, Brewers, and Padres (996-599 +11.6%)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
PLAY: The Pirates (46-22 +24.7% ROI)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
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OU
UNDER: Cubs/Orioles (49-26-2 +24.7% ROI)
team = Orioles and H and date >= 20160709
UNDER: Giants/Padres (288-199-27 +12.4%)
H and REG and 6.5<=total<=8 and total/2<=STDSERA<=5.25 and total/2<=o:STDSERA<=5.25 and 1.25<=STDSWHIP<=1.55 and 1.25<=o:STDSWHIP<=1.55 and season>=2007
UNDER: Cardinals/Pirates (41-24-3 +20.4%)
H and line > -150 and line < 103 and p:W and season = 2017 and total in [8 , 10.5 , 11.5]
OVER: The Braves are 20-4 OU at home after they allowed 12-plus hits.
team = Braves and H and 12 <= po:hits and date >= 20160612
OVER: D-Backs/Braves (78-50-5 +15.8% ROI)
team=Braves and date>=20160811
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 148-107-10 OU +10.8% ROI this season.
(Twins, Indians, D-Backs, Dodgers, Rockies, Cardinals, Mariners)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-115-18 +10.0% ROI)
(Braves, Nationals)
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and p3:O
Record 11-8
Friday
PLAY: The Rangers are 10-0 SU vs the Royals their L10 meetings, Under 8-2. (Added to SDQL plays)
SU: 10-0 (2.20, 100.0%) avg line: -125.8 / 115.5 on / against: +$1,013 / -$1,041 ROI: +77.2% / -100.0%
<tbody>
</tbody>
Under 11-1 L12 meetings in KC.
Perez 3-9 team record L12 Road starts.
Hammel 4-14 team record last 18 starts, 3-9 L12 at Home.
Well the good news Texas has won 10 straight vs KC. The bad news Perez sucks! Hammel stinks also. Have a gut feeling KC wins because both pitchers stink. And the under is 11-1 last 12 in KC
First 2 plays for me.
1) Royals -112 ML
2) Under 9.5 -105 KC
Well 6-5 padres let me down late. Plus a few dollars.
Record 17-13
Saturday
SU
PLAY: The Mariners are 17-0 SU as a road favorite by more than 130 off a game as a favorite when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than four on the season.
team = Mariners and A and line<-130 and p:F and o:STDSERA>4 and season >= 2011
FADE: The Dodgers (62-98 -31.1% ROI)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5
PLAY: The Brewers & Braves (998-600 +11.6% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
FADE: The Royals are 0-11 SU their L11 vs the Rangers
team=Royals and o:team=Rangers and date>=20160723
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OU
UNDER: Twins/Astros (164-82-7 +26.5% ROI)
STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3
UNDER: The Indians are 1-20 OU on the road after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run since Apr 25, 2016.
team=Indians and A and p:AF and p:HR=0 and date>=20160425
UNDER: The Rays are 1-14 OU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they played extra innings.
team = Rays and A and p:ADX and date >= 20100702
OVER: The Cardinals are 17-3 OU as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.
team = Cardinals and D and p
and p:SII < po:SII and date >= 20150711
OVER: The Rangers are 15-2-3 O/U since Sep 08, 2015 when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite when they won in his last start after they scored first.
team=Rangers and starter=Cole Hamels and s:W and s:SF>0 and date>=20150908
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 152-111-11 OU +10.4% ROI this season.
(Rays, Phillies, Cardinals, Yankees, Rangers)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-117-18 +9.3% ROI)
(Marlins, Giants))
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and
Record 17-13
Saturday
SU
PLAY: The Mariners are 17-0 SU as a road favorite by more than 130 off a game as a favorite when their opponents starter has an ERA of higher than four on the season.
team = Mariners and A and line<-130 and p:F and o:STDSERA>4 and season >= 2011
FADE: The Dodgers (62-98 -31.1% ROI)
s:SO > 9 and s:W and A and season > 2005 and -185 <= line <= -110 and conference = o:conference and starter rest < 10 and rest = 0 and SG<3 and month<9 and 10>=total>=7.5
PLAY: The Brewers & Braves (998-600 +11.6% ROI)
H and (s:SO + os:SO) > 18 and s:SHRA != 2 and p:runs != 3 and op:runs < 9 and os:fly balls > 3 and os:fly balls != 6 and o:team != Cubs and (p:walks + op:walks) < 13 and op:triples < 2 and p:doubles < 5 and 17 > op:hits > 2 and (tA(at bats@team,N=6)<36.5 or tA(at bats@team,N=6)>36.7) and tA(o:at bats@team,N=6)>31 and (tA(SHF,N=8)<26.3 or tA(SHF,N=8)>26.5)
FADE: The Royals are 0-11 SU their L11 vs the Rangers
team=Royals and o:team=Rangers and date>=20160723
------------
OU
UNDER: Twins/Astros (164-82-7 +26.5% ROI)
STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3
UNDER: The Indians are 1-20 OU on the road after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run since Apr 25, 2016.
team=Indians and A and p:AF and p:HR=0 and date>=20160425
UNDER: The Rays are 1-14 OU on the road after a game as a road dog in which they played extra innings.
team = Rays and A and p:ADX and date >= 20100702
OVER: The Cardinals are 17-3 OU as a dog off a game as a dog in which they scored in fewer innings than their opponent.
team = Cardinals and D and p
OVER: The Rangers are 15-2-3 O/U since Sep 08, 2015 when Cole Hamels starts as a favorite when they won in his last start after they scored first.
team=Rangers and starter=Cole Hamels and s:W and s:SF>0 and date>=20150908
OVER: Teams with Starting Pitchers who start on the Road with an ERA over 3 and less than 4 are 152-111-11 OU +10.4% ROI this season.
(Rays, Phillies, Cardinals, Yankees, Rangers)
A and STDSERA > 3 and STDSERA < 4 and season=2017
OVER: Teams on at least 3 str8 Overs (158-117-18 +9.3% ROI)
(Marlins, Giants))
date>=20170420 and p:O and p2:O and
