Good info for newbies regarding 2 team nfl teasers.

[3pointdog]

I thought this info might be helpful... "they" say never play teasers in college football.. only in the NFL and only under these situations:

Taking favorites of -7.5 down to -1.5
Taking favorites of -8 down to -2
Taking favorites of -8.5 down to -2.5
Taking underdogs of plus 1.5 up to plus 7.5
Taking underdogs of plus 2 up to plus 8
Taking underdogs of plus 2.5 up to plus 8.5

hope this helps boyzzzz..

 

[indiana]

3/pt...........appreciate the info.........nicely done last week buddy..........continue your winning ways this week...........indy

 

[151FevaNation]

holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.

 

[d3nv3r]

Yep good advice.

Keep the number on one side (fav or dog) -1 and not +1, so you don't get juiced up the ass (opening line -7, tease to -2 or -1.5 and not +1). You lose too much value once you start turning favs into dogs.

 

[bookiereport]

exactly...only teasers that are profitable long term are listed by 3point

 

[john towers]

Thanks, you are always here to help.

 

[ROCCO V]

what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad

 

[DrINjuly]

what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad

The point is that there is only value when you cross the key numbers of 3 AND 7.

 

[3pointdog]

what about teasing 6.5 down to .5? How is that bad

its not that its bad... the point is to cross 7 and 3...

 

[pizza]

the bookies love parlay players

 

[ROCCO V]

the bookies love parlay players

Yep
and a guy who ran a book at casino in LV tell me most feared wager is two team teaser

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

I've seen some private analytical work by some really smart folks on teasing across 0 and how profitable it actually is....taking -3 to +4, etc.

 

[sunshine11]

How about Seahawks this week? At -13 so crossing the 10 and 7 are key numbers? 6.5 point teaser.

 

[bigwang]

holy shit 3pt you couldnt be more right about ncaaf teasers my man. I lost my shirt years ago trying that nonsense.

There was a guy here who guaranteed he would turn a profit entire NCAA fb season playing 13pt teasers. He tapped out and stopped posting them by mid season.

 

[ShortBusDriver7]

I realize the -13 and -14's look so enticing to tease down but taking +20 pts in an NFL game is a boatload. You have the opportunity for a backdoor as well if down 24-27 when the favorite is playing prevent D

 

[paulfmf]

3pt, Is this the same as the Wong System?

 

[3pointdog]

3pt, Is this the same as the Wong System?

I don't know, I'm sorry

 

[Green17]

3Point, thanks for your posts here regarding teasers.
Completely agree that the data suggests they should only be used in NFL and not CFB.

To summarize your first post of this thread, I believe the following has been shown to be the most profitable:
Use these in 6 point NFL teasers:
Home favorites of -7.5 to -8.5 (tease down)
Road dogs of 1.5 to 2.5 (tease up)

And yes, it is derived from the old Wong teasers also called Basic Strategy teasers.

GL this season

 

[rolltide]

DO NOT tease away favorites down ... historically there is a big diff b/w home fav and away fav teasers

AF -8.5 = 74.2%
AF -8 = 66.7%
AF -7.5 = 65.4%
_______________
HF -8.5 = 77.3%
HF -8 = 79.1%
HF -7.5 = 74.7%
.

 

[rolltide]

on the dog side not as big of a disparity b/w home and away but still a stronger play to just stick with home teams

AD 1.5 = 72.0%
AD 2 = 72.3%
AD 2.5 = 72.8%
_______________
HD 1.5 = 77.6%
HD 2 = 72.0%
HD 2.5 = 77.25


your goal here is to stick in those 75% parameters which is home dogs 1.5-2.5, home favs 7.5-8.5 but whatever you do just avoid the big away favs from a systems perspective.