Golf input needed- 6 shot lead into final round a lock?

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forgive me for using the word lock, there is no such thing, just an attention getter. Martin Kaymer is taking a 6 shot lead into Sunday's final round of the BMW International Open and im thinking of taking him to win the tournament tomorrow. It is kinda chalky, but it is a 6 shot lead. What do you guys think? Is a 6 shot lead pretty secure? <table border="0" bordercolor="#000000" cellspacing="0" width="620"><tbody><tr><td align="center" width="55">
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No, it's not a guarantee, lock or anything along those lines.
 

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yes i know, no lock, no guarantee, i know those dont exist, forgive the use of the term, just an attention getter. Just wondering what % you give a 6 stroke lead of winning the tournament going into the final round?
 

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http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/sport/golf/article4187542.ece

From Times Online
June 21, 2008
Martin Kaymer extends lead in Munich
Martin Kaymer extended his overnight lead of five shots by one with a third-round 67 at the BMW International Open

(Angelika Warmuth)

Martin Kaymer extended his overnight lead of five shots by one with a third-round 67 at the BMW International Open
Times Online and Agencies

Martin Kaymer, of Germany, will take a six-stroke lead into the final round of the BMW International Open after producing another faultless display at the Eichenried course, in Munich, on Saturday. Kaymer’s five-under-par 67 gave him a total score of 198, 18 under par, and left his nearest rival, Charl Schwartzel of South Africa who shot a 66, needing to make the second biggest catch-up of the year if he is to win. A further stroke behind is a group of four golfers, including Paul Casey, of England, and Thomas Levet, of France, who both shot 67s.

Kaymer started the third round five shots in front after a second-round 63 that was played alongside his hero Bernhard Langer. The 23-year-old from Dusseldorf then showed that he did not need his mentor to extend his advantage. He shot birdies on the 6th, 8th, 9th and 11th holes, before sinking a 25-foot putt on the final green for his fifth birdie.

Victory would take Kaymer, who won the Abu Dhabi Championship for his maiden title earlier in the season, from tenth place on Europe’s Ryder Cup table to sixth. Nevertheless, the German is determined to keep his feet on the ground. “I didn’t make so many putts today, but I still played well and I’m looking forward to tomorrow,” Kaymer said. “I can’t let myself think about what it will all mean, though, I must just go out, hope I have a big crowd supporting me, and enjoy it.”

If he does win, Kaymer will have outdone Langer because this title is the only one of all the German tour events that the former Masters champion has not won. “I heard that he hadn’t won it, but that is nothing compared to what he has done,” Kaymer said.
 

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Well, it depends....If Tiger is 6 back and a no-name has the lead, it's not a very high %.

But in this case, I'd say it's 85%.
 

" Thanks for tip Bricktop "
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If you eat the chalk put a small wager on Casey to cover your ass. He;s the only golfer I can see making up those strokes on Sunday.

Good luck
 

powdered milkman
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LOCK............i think.........
 

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Kaymer is 5 over for the day and a couple golfers are all square in the back 9
 

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Great birdie on 13 for Kaymer, back tied for the lead. Will be a dogfight the rest of the way.
 

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forgive me for using the word lock, there is no such thing, just an attention getter. Martin Kaymer is taking a 6 shot lead into Sunday's final round of the BMW International Open and im thinking of taking him to win the tournament tomorrow. It is kinda chalky, but it is a 6 shot lead. What do you guys think? Is a 6 shot lead pretty secure? <TABLE borderColor=#000000 cellSpacing=0 width=620 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle width=55>

</TD><TD width=300></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Much better players have lost bigger leads. There are better situations than this chalky one for golf betting.
 

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Kaymer down 1 with the Par 5 18th to play. Not good for the chalk layers.
 

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Kaymer has an eagle putt to win. Long one...Looks like at least birdie for a playoff!
 

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Kaymer just missed the eagle, 2 feet left for birdie to tie. Great finish.
 

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wow, unreal. They are tied for 1st.

What kind of playoff will they do?
 

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Kaymer much better off the tee, in the fairway and far. Other guy in the bunker.
 

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