Going to fade the Marlins (6.14-6.23) 10 games, 3 series..

[gynecologist]

Marlins Fade Mid May 7-2 +1.74 units
Astros fade: 34-16 +2.98 units
Mets Fade 3-4-1 +0.48 units

+5.20 units this season..




This time I'm fading the Marlins again, 10 straight games..


Here is their schedule:

3 vs Cards
3 @ AZ
4 @ SF

I'm guessing Marlins go 2-8.. But even if they go 3-7 money will be made. Probably break even @ 4-6.
Who knows maybe we can get them to lose all 10?

Rough stretch vs 3 very good teams..


Fri: Westbrook/Fernandez
Sat: Lynn/Koehler
Sun: Nolasco/Wacha

Mon: Corbin/Turner
Tue: Slowley/???
Wed: Fernandez/Cahill

 

[baseballmvp25]

Lines will be very high for both series a couple loses will be alot of juice but i could see them go 0-10 lol

 

[phantom888]

jump on it early.

 

[gynecologist]

Starting off with a medium play.. Not sure how Westbrook will fare, his sinker looked good in a rehab start I hear.


0.4* Cards -1 -102

 

[pickinplays]

in a system like this with a 10 game fade just my 2 cents but you should use a flat bet

 

[pickinplays]

I remember when you did this back in 2010 with the Rays

 

[gynecologist]

Not a good start..


Wagers: 0-1 -0.41 units
Marlins record: 1-0
Marlins series: pending.



today
0.6* Cards -1 -166

This is a very important wager in this fade.

 

[gynecologist]

Wagers: 1-1 +0.19 units
Marlins record: 1-1
Marlins series: pending.

 

[gynecologist]

0.2* Cards RL +120
0.2* Cards ML -136


Cards win by 2+: +0.63 units
Cards win by 1: +0.19 units
Cards lose: -0.28 units

 

[5teamparlay]

7-2 MIAMI WINNER hno:

 

[gynecologist]

Cards pitcher was a bum..


0.4* AZ RL +100

 

[gynecologist]

1-3 -0.68 units

Marlins 3 hits and 3 runs. Can't cap that. This one not going so well thus far.

0.3* AZ -1 -131

 

[pickinplays]

I think in 2010 you did a month long tampa fade. Do you remember how that went?

 

[gynecologist]

http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=686178&page=3&highlight=rays

 

[gynecologist]

First post in that thread.


In case you are unfamilar with what I do here:

Basically what I do here is pick a team to fade or follow for a pre-determined amount of games.. No flat betting, unit amounts may and most likely will vary.. Also "NOT" limited to betting MLs, I will sometimes wager on RL and -1's..


PREVIOUS RESULTS:

2007 Season: Dodgers 9-4 +7.02
2007 Season: Giants 12-6 +7.91
2007 Season: Red Sox 4-2 +0.00
2007 Season: Mets 1-1 -0.46

2008 Season: Giants 7-6 +2.00
2008 Season: Red Sox 6-2 +3.65 Units
2008 season: O's: 3-5 -9.07 Units
2008 season: Rays: 6-3 +3.12 Units
2008 season Reds: 14-12 +1.18 Units
2008 season Red Sox :5-2 +3.79 Units
2008 season Mariners: 5-2 +3.43 Units
2008 season Royals: 9-3 +4.72 Units
2008 season Indians: 0-6 -9.49 Units
2008 season Pirates: 9-1 +7.24 Units
2009 season Padres: 1-3 -1.01 Units



2007 Season overall: 26-13 +14.47 Units

2008 season overall: 66-42 +10.77 Units

Overall: 93-58 +24.23 Units
​

 

[gynecologist]

1-3-1 -0.68 units


0.3* AZ -1 +102

 

[gynecologist]

2-3-1 -0.38 units

0.4* Giants -1 -125

Really important that I win this one so I can be back in the black.