Going back to tracking this trend

[wallybell]

I haven't played it but if you had been betting the over on the largest consensus under on wagerline you would be making a lot of money. I posted this about a month ago to keep an eye on this and it is amazing how much these unders lose. Tonight the biggest three wagerline consensus unders all lost and the biggest under was San Diego/Arizona. Yesterday it was LA/Tampa which went over as well. Out of 7 days it has been losing at least 5. Most people don't like unders so when you see a bunch on an under it's usually bad news. In the last 7 days, the highest consensus under on there is 1-6 meaning if you played the over you would be 6-1. Maybe I will start posting it again.

 

[teazeman]

do it.

 

[wallybell]

Forgot to post but the biggest consensus under today was the under in the Pittsburgh/St. Louis game and it's went over the total in the 4th inning. Fading the biggest wagerline under you would be 7-1 the last 8. This has been a great fade all year and like this one most not close.

 

[King83]

does it work with over being the majority of the consensus?

 

[wallybell]

Yes but not as well as the unders. I think it is because people really don't like betting unders so when you see a bunch on an under watch out. This under consensus has been awful. I will keep an eye on it.

 

[wallybell]

Few more notes...the second highest consensus under was SD/AZ (went over in the second inning I think). Usually when an under on there has 60% or more on it, it goes over. Like I said, it's not just that the games go over but how soon they go over.