#4 Duke @ #10 Purdue
Line: Purdue -2.5
Duke, the most well coached team in the country, is heading into Purdue for probably the biggest home game that I can remember for Purdue. Duke has versatile shooters and defenders all over the floor and play hard from whistle to whistle. Every single player on the team is willing to draw contact and take the rough charges. This is what is the difference in this game in my opinion. We all know Duke gets the benefit of the doubt on most calls no matter where they play and have been superb at getting into the bonus all year. This team is very deep with Singler, Henderson, Scheyer, and even Paulus who seems to have moved into the #2 point guard role.
The thing about this game is that Duke has played in games bigger then this before and will not be intimidated by a rabid Purdue crowd. Purdue on the other hand is a younger team with less experience. I do think they are going to be very good this year and I do realize that they only got beat by Oklahoma because Oklahoma dominated the paint but do not forget that Purdue shot the lights out from 3. That is going to be a tough task vs. a good defensive team in Duke. Last year Purdue struggled vs. teams with 4 good ball handlers who could beat them off the dribble, well this Duke team will have 5 good ball handlers on the court most of the time.
The bottom line is Hummel, Moore, and Grant are going to hit their shots but Duke is going to beat this Purdue defense off the dribble and get Purdue into foul trouble. Duke has the potential to take the crowd out of it quick although it would surprise me if they did. I like Duke to win it outright by 6.
Playing Duke +2.5 for 2 Units