i am also thinking of the over...i picked Duisburg as they are definetely one of the top teams going for promotion...last year Aachen and Duisburg were the teams charging hard for promotion in second half of season,but were just a bit to far behind..now they will be both doing well..Cottbus will also be on top but has to find it s way in the season IMO, as relegated teams always have to do. their easywin last week was a bit of a surprise to me.
in team news the manager and new coach Wollitz had some contoversy resulting in the manager resigning during week...it should not affect the team to much, just shows the Cottbus still has to find itself a bit.
Dusiburg was strong at home last year, and i think they have the advantage again today.
Over looks good as Duisburg should do well anyway and Cottbus,which was a low scoring team in 1.Liga might have changed a bit.
last week s might already be an indication. Coach wollitz was coach for one of the highest scoring teams last year, so maybe he bring the trend over to Cottbus....
in team news the manager and new coach Wollitz had some contoversy resulting in the manager resigning during week...it should not affect the team to much, just shows the Cottbus still has to find itself a bit.
Dusiburg was strong at home last year, and i think they have the advantage again today.
Over looks good as Duisburg should do well anyway and Cottbus,which was a low scoring team in 1.Liga might have changed a bit.
last week s might already be an indication. Coach wollitz was coach for one of the highest scoring teams last year, so maybe he bring the trend over to Cottbus....
1-1 yesterday
Saturday
1. Bundesliga:
München- Bremen: München -0.5,-1 @ 1.85 and over 3 @ 1.83
München started with a 1-1 draw at Hoffenheim, while Bremen lost in a shocker at home 2-3 to Frankfurt.
München is well deserved the fav here. they will miss vanBommel with injury and Demichelis (they already played without him in Hoffenheim).
Ribery might play in 2nd half after injury, but dont count on that.
Still München lloked dangerous last week and with Klose, Gomez and Olic up front is very,very dangerous.
they are overcoming some defensive concerns with strong offense, especially in home games, which almost all ended in overs last year (different to away game, which had a tendency to the under).
Bremen looked very shaky last week. They are still dangerous on offense and Özil will step up for Diego in Midfield, but the defense is a mass as it was already last year. now they even have big injury problems on defense with Naldo still out and Boenisch still out..now Prödl is suspended and there are no more real options on defense left.
that s why i expect München at least to score twice with a good chance to get 3 themselves. München will press at home as usually and Bremen cant stand this at the moment..their only chance is offense, where BaYERN is also vulnurable.
Leverkusen- Hoffenheim: over 3 @1.95 !! 2 units!! and Leverkusen pk,-0.5 @ 1.89
Leverkusen started with a 2-2 at Mainz which they should have won, but ref made some very,very strange decisions.
They have shown again how dangerous they are on offense. Hoffenheim also played well and especially against offensive minded teams like Leverkusen will produce a lot of overs again like last year. still they have concerns on defense.
the over is the big play, but i also like Leverkusen for the pure fact that they are probably the only team in league which lkikes to play Hoffenheim. they won 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 away...dont know why but Hoffenheim seems to fit their game.
Stuttgart- Freiburg: Stuttgart -1 @1.99 !! 2 units!!
Stuttgart lost at Wolfsburg , but played very well . progrebnyak played great in his first game up front and makes this team very dangerous and a contender.
Defense looked solid.
Freiburg got a 1-1 vs. Hamburg, but IMO mostly because Hamburg didnt play well. Freiburg has injury problems on defense and if you give them pressure they will break down. this is what you can expect from Stuttgart at home with a strong offense. Also Freiburg is not very dangerous on offense and struggles to score..also not a promising factor for today.
i expect a 2-0 or 3-0 game.
Frankfurt- Nürnberg: Frankfurt pk,-0.5 @ 1.90
Frankfurt with surprising win at Bremen should be very confident at home for todays game against Nürnberg which started with a home loss and might struggle a bit to adjust to 1.Liga. Also Nürnberg not too dangerous on offense, so a goal might already be enough for Frankfurt.
Saturday
1. Bundesliga:
München- Bremen: München -0.5,-1 @ 1.85 and over 3 @ 1.83
München started with a 1-1 draw at Hoffenheim, while Bremen lost in a shocker at home 2-3 to Frankfurt.
München is well deserved the fav here. they will miss vanBommel with injury and Demichelis (they already played without him in Hoffenheim).
Ribery might play in 2nd half after injury, but dont count on that.
Still München lloked dangerous last week and with Klose, Gomez and Olic up front is very,very dangerous.
they are overcoming some defensive concerns with strong offense, especially in home games, which almost all ended in overs last year (different to away game, which had a tendency to the under).
Bremen looked very shaky last week. They are still dangerous on offense and Özil will step up for Diego in Midfield, but the defense is a mass as it was already last year. now they even have big injury problems on defense with Naldo still out and Boenisch still out..now Prödl is suspended and there are no more real options on defense left.
that s why i expect München at least to score twice with a good chance to get 3 themselves. München will press at home as usually and Bremen cant stand this at the moment..their only chance is offense, where BaYERN is also vulnurable.
Leverkusen- Hoffenheim: over 3 @1.95 !! 2 units!! and Leverkusen pk,-0.5 @ 1.89
Leverkusen started with a 2-2 at Mainz which they should have won, but ref made some very,very strange decisions.
They have shown again how dangerous they are on offense. Hoffenheim also played well and especially against offensive minded teams like Leverkusen will produce a lot of overs again like last year. still they have concerns on defense.
the over is the big play, but i also like Leverkusen for the pure fact that they are probably the only team in league which lkikes to play Hoffenheim. they won 5-2 at home last season and 4-1 away...dont know why but Hoffenheim seems to fit their game.
Stuttgart- Freiburg: Stuttgart -1 @1.99 !! 2 units!!
Stuttgart lost at Wolfsburg , but played very well . progrebnyak played great in his first game up front and makes this team very dangerous and a contender.
Defense looked solid.
Freiburg got a 1-1 vs. Hamburg, but IMO mostly because Hamburg didnt play well. Freiburg has injury problems on defense and if you give them pressure they will break down. this is what you can expect from Stuttgart at home with a strong offense. Also Freiburg is not very dangerous on offense and struggles to score..also not a promising factor for today.
i expect a 2-0 or 3-0 game.
Frankfurt- Nürnberg: Frankfurt pk,-0.5 @ 1.90
Frankfurt with surprising win at Bremen should be very confident at home for todays game against Nürnberg which started with a home loss and might struggle a bit to adjust to 1.Liga. Also Nürnberg not too dangerous on offense, so a goal might already be enough for Frankfurt.
Saturday (7 games): Home teams -3 @1.95
this looks good for me as i see almost all home team in advantage
my general tendencies:
München : home win (chance for clear win)
Stuttgart : home win (chance for clear win)
Leverkusen, HAmburg, Frankfurt, Hannover: tendency for draw, but much better chance for home than away win
Köln: also chance for draw, but only game with better chance for away team, but i dont see a clear win here.
as i expect a max of two away wins, but probably only 1 i like this bet very much.
2. Liga
Berlin- Düsseldorf: under 2.5 @ 1.96 !! 2 units!!
Both teams have started with 3-0 win. both are capable on offense, but especially strong on defense. they both are coming up from 3.Liga,where they finished 1st and 2nd last year , but especially 1st and 2nd on defense in league. Both matches last year between them were ending 1-0 and i expect the same tight game today.
3.Liga
Osnabrück- Ingolstadt under 2.5 @ 1.85
Erfurt- Unterhaching: Unterhaching pk,+0.5 @1.85
this looks good for me as i see almost all home team in advantage
my general tendencies:
München : home win (chance for clear win)
Stuttgart : home win (chance for clear win)
Leverkusen, HAmburg, Frankfurt, Hannover: tendency for draw, but much better chance for home than away win
Köln: also chance for draw, but only game with better chance for away team, but i dont see a clear win here.
as i expect a max of two away wins, but probably only 1 i like this bet very much.
2. Liga
Berlin- Düsseldorf: under 2.5 @ 1.96 !! 2 units!!
Both teams have started with 3-0 win. both are capable on offense, but especially strong on defense. they both are coming up from 3.Liga,where they finished 1st and 2nd last year , but especially 1st and 2nd on defense in league. Both matches last year between them were ending 1-0 and i expect the same tight game today.
3.Liga
Osnabrück- Ingolstadt under 2.5 @ 1.85
Erfurt- Unterhaching: Unterhaching pk,+0.5 @1.85
