German Weekend

[chriscol]

Friday

1. Bundesliga

No play

2. Bundesliga

Osnabrück- Wehen: Osnabrück -0.5 @2.03 !! 2 units!!

Osnabrück a solid home team and with a hugh home advantage in night games like tonight.There last home loss in night game was April 2005.
Wehen with 4 points from last 2 games not in last place anymore, but still struggling especially away,where they gained only 2 points in 6 games so far.

3. Bundesliga

Union Berlin- Sandhausen: Berlin -0.5 @1.80

Union the better team here and with 5 wins and 2 draws in 7 home games...should be a home win.

Regionalliga Nord:

Magdeburg- Cottbus: Magdeburg -1 @2.00 !! 2 units!!

Magdeburg unbeaten in last 8 and winner of 3of 4 home games playing for promotion this year, while Cottbus is not in the right level for this league having only 5 points from 12 games and being dead last.

BOL to all

 

[JohnMolson]

I'm pounding the Hoffenheim over..Good or bad idea Chris

 

[chriscol]

i think a good idea from first look. if you wait 30 min i ll come back with my plays and write ups.

Here quickly the lower league

3. Bundesliga

Offenbach- Regensburg: Offenbach -1 @ 1.96
Jena- Paderborn: Paderborn pk @1.94

Regionalliga West:

Köln- Lotte: Köln -1 @2.01 and over 3 @ 2.04

Regionalliga Süd

Pfullendorf- Freiburg: Pfullendorf -1 @2.09

BOL so far

 

[chriscol]

1. Bundesliga

Gladbach- München: under 3 @1.89

i expect München to won last 5 overall and are very solid since return of Ribery. But the main trend here is that they are absolutely controlling the games. In home games they run over the opposition leading to all 6 games going going over 3 , but in away games all 6 games have ended on 3 or less.
when you combine that witha bad Gladbach team, which has a bad home record 2 wins 4 losses with 4 of 6 home games going under (mainly due to lack of own offense), the under looks real good.
München should win, but i only will take them in a ML parlay if i find another team..-1 is too much in a away game which they will start controlling once taking the lead.

Leverkusen- Schalke: Leverkusen pk,-0.5 @1.99

Both solid teams bit Leverkusen in better form and with good history vs. Schalke at home. they are also a very strong home team.

Hoffenheim- Wolfsburg: over 3 @ 1.95 !! 2 units!!


Hoffenheim ist a fast running team and they need space for that..they have problems against defensive minded team, but against attacking teams where space is available games flying over.
Against offensive teams they played 2-5,4-1,4-5,5-2,3-1,4-1 and have reached 3 goals in 9 of 12 games.
Wolfsburg is even bigger to the over. 11 of 12 games have seen at least 3 goals, so perfectly fitting into Hoffenheim s scheme.

 

[TheBrainiac]

Like all plays but my main bet today is over in Hoffenheim game no doubt , I think we can see like 5 goals here .

 

[chriscol]

Berlin- Hamburg: under 2.5,3 @1.80

Berlin very solid at home this year and witha tremendous history vs. Hamburg (not loosing in last 11 years). still i see an open game where most important for both is not to loose due to the standings.
Both teams struggle on offense lately (Berlin whole season) and play much better defense lately. Berlin had only 3 games going over 3 this season and all were against very high scoring teams (München, Bremen, Wolfsburg). Hamburg welcome de jong back for today in defensive midfield which should help a defensive approach even more. a 1-1 or 1-0 looks very tempting here.

Just for info:
Dortmund- Frankfurt: no play

some trends have to give: Dortmund with only one win and 5 draws at home...usually plays home games under. Frankfurt dangerous lately in away games coming off two away wins. there games going over, but they have not won in 12 year at Dortmund.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

Like all plays but my main bet today is over in Hoffenheim game no doubt , I think we can see like 5 goals here .

there seems to come big money on the under...lines was one hour ago at over 3.25 2.05, now it s 3.25 @ 2.20 (3 1.95), but i like it even more.

Money was also coming hard against my Magedeburg play and still a solid 3-1 winner.

 

[chriscol]

it is an unreal football game and really fun to watch

Hoffenheim- Wolfsburg: 2-2 after 40 min ope:ope:

 

[JohnMolson]

:toast::aktion033

 

[JohnMolson]

How the fvk did Munchen piss away a 2-0 lead to that shit team

 

[chriscol]

not given penalty to Munich ....and two shots on goals by Gladbach in 2nd Half hno:

 

[chriscol]

Sunday

2. Bundesliga

Frankfurt- Freiburg under 2.5 ,3 @ 1.85

Fürth- Duisburg : Dürth pk,-0.5 @ 1.89

Ingolstadt- Nürnberg: Ingolstadt pk @ 1.91 and under 2.5,3 @ 1.95

under is close to a 2 unit play

Regionalliga Nord

Berlin- Kiel: Kiel -0.5 @ 1.93

Reionalliga Süd:

Unterhaching- Frankfurt: Frankfurt -0.5,-1 @ 1.96


unofficial Bonus play: i dont count these totals to my record but i really like it

2.Bundesliga total goals under 14 @ 1.95

i already played 2 unders and also lean in the Oberhausen and Fürth match to an under...i dont see a really high scoring game today and if we can get one 1-0 or 0-0 the under should hit.

 

[2white]

Good luck today Chris!

 

[chriscol]

what a strange day. 7 penalties killed the total. and two late garbage goals for Nürnebrg killed that under as well.
At least Frankfurt and Fürth came thru.

No play on Bremn-Köln for me...you just dont know which Bremen team will show up today..in can be a blow out or an upset.. Everything is possible.

 

[2white]

:wink:R u taking Roma tonite?

 

[chriscol]

:wink:R u taking Roma tonite?

it looks good..teams going completly different direction right now, but the derby might spark Roma, like the champ leagu ematches vs. chelsea.

i think they see the derby as a big chance while for Lazio it s important, but with their latest run not that important overall..this motivation difference might be enough for a derby.

i also tend to the over as these derbies often get heated with plenty of goals