*****Georgia @ Oklahoma State*****

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--Georgia's Offense--
Last year, Georgia’s offense figured to be as dynamic as any in the country, but a series of injuries decimated the line and Richt was forced to employ a lineup featuring three freshmen and two sophomores. This year, Georgia’s offensive line is healthy, experienced and deep. The line is mature, the quarterback’s mature, so there’ll be nothing from a schematic point of view that should hold them back. "When it comes to quarterback play, in my opinion, you need to have an accurate passer, you need to have a great decision maker, you need to have a young man who can handle the pressure of the job," says coach Richt. "Joe Cox, who threw 2 TDs and no picks and 151 yards last season, really personifies all those characteristics." Having gone through the gauntlet of an SEC season last year, freshmen Cordy Glenn, Justin Anderson and Ben Jones made immense strides. Clint Boling figured to be a solid contributor on last year’s line, but after injuries to Vince Vance and Trinton Sturdivant, he blossomed into a leader. Add a healthy dose of rehabilitation to the numerous injured players, and suddenly this year’s line no longer resembles the patchwork unit Richt employed last season. Having that many guys with playing experience that know what they’re doing will prove to be invaluable in the run game and protecting QB Joe Cox. Strudivant’s knee is back to full health, and he appears to have a lock on the starting left tackle job. Boling slides from the left side to the right. Jones, who was one of Georgia’s most impressive freshmen last season, will be the starting center. Now we all know that Joe Cox won't post the numbers that Matthew Stafford did last fall, but he'll have a solid campaign and help A.J. Green reach his preseason goal of surpassing the 1,000-yard mark in receiving yards. There is no question that Cox will benefit from the presence of A.J. Green, a true star at the receiver position. As a freshman in '08, Green racked up 56 catches for 963 yards and eight touchdowns. This year's hot freshman is Marlon Brown, and he will benefit from the double coverage that Green commands.


--Georgia's Defense--
What can you say? We all know what SEC Defenses are made of and we all know what OSU will be facing here in this game. Even with the high-powered Offense OSU will be bringing, especially being at home in a new stadium and being all fired up, I just cannot see them being able to put up 35 or 40 points like a lot of people are thinking. Marcus Washington's return from shoulder surgery is overlooked by a lot of folks but now that he's 100 percent, the senior will prove to be one of the best run-stoppers on the team. Bryan Evans has finally found a home at free safety. Although he's probably not the hitter fans think of when it comes to this position for the Dawgs, Evans' speed and athleticism will probably allow him to lead the Bulldogs in interceptions this fall. There are six starters back, not including defensive tackle Jeff Owens, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in the first quarter of the 2008 opener. Owens, Geno Atkins and Kade Weston give Georgia three senior defensive tackles. There is experience through the middle of the defense, with Curran and Akeem Dent at linebacker and Bryan Evans and Reshad Jones at safety. Cornerback Prince Miller is another returning starter. The wealth of experience will make this defense better. ``We've been here, we've played in the big games, we know what it feels like to win,'' Owens said. "We have guys who are dependable backs and guys who know the defense from end to end". Rennie Curran is a stud linebacker who has a motor that never dies. He runs sideline to sideline, can cover receivers, blitz the quarterback and shed blockers. Curran was Mr. Everywhere for the Bulldogs with 115 tackles and three sacks last season.

--Oklahoma State Offense--
Hey, we know that OSU has a high-powered Offense and are going to be tough, especially against teams in their conference but we are talking about an SEC Defense in this matchup though. So lets go ahead and get some stats and pre-season hype out there right now. QB Zac Robinson, though somewhat unheralded because of all the other star power in the Big 12, threw for 3,064 yards and 25 touchdowns while completing 65 percent of his passes last year. He also rushed for 562 yards. RB Kendall Hunter is the league's top returning back, the only Big 12 rusher to average 100 yards per game last season. And Bryant is incredible, making numerous circus catches among the 87 balls he grabbed. Oklahoma State finished sixth in the nation in total offense, was ninth in scoring, fifth in passing efficiency and eighth in rushing offense. Also, they get almost everyone back with eight starters returning although they are having to work in two new guards and a new tight end along the front line. OSU now must replace two graduated starters in David Washington and Steve Denning who had a combined 63 starts at the guard position last season. The current depth chart has sophomore Jonathan Rush at left guard and fifth-year senior Noah Franklin at right guard. The Georgia opener will provide a difficult challenge for two new Cowboy linemen. And who will step up to help out Bryant at wide receiver? Other than Bryant, no returning wide receiver had more than three receptions last season. The Cowboys also will be breaking in a new tight end with the loss of Pettigrew and his 42 receptions.


--Oklahoma State Defense--
Can OSU's defense pressure opposing quarterbacks without relying heavily on blitzes? With only 15 sacks last season, OSU had the Big 12's weakest pass rush. Can starting ends Jamie Blatnick and Ugo Chinasa develop into impact players? Can Richetti Jones finally become a force? Against OSU last season, Texas' Colt McCoy, Oklahoma's Sam Bradford and Texas Tech's Graham Harrell and Taylor Potts combined to complete 78 percent of their passes for 1,277 yards and 13 touchdowns. On 144 pass attempts, they were intercepted only once. Was OSU guilty of lousy coverage? For the most part, no. The primary problem was an inability to generate pressure in the pass pocket. If his rhythm is not disrupted, Georgia's Joe Cox is capable of hurting OSU with 15-yard throws all day long. The secondary was torched often last season - 267.7 yards per game - but too often, opposing wide receivers had time to get open because the lack of a pass rush enabled opposing quarterbacks to get comfortable in the pocket. OSU allowed 405.5 yards per game last season.

Bottom line is that Georgia returns more starters and lettermen than OSU from a team with a better 2008 record than OSU, and from a conference that was better than the Big 12. Last year Georgia outgained their competetion by about 75 ypg while OSU was 25 ypg. This is a testament to how good Georgia's Defense is versus how bad OSU's is. And, Georgia did all this while also dealing with injuries.To the tune of 44 times did a starter miss a game last season due to injury. Now they have 15 starters back from a 10-3 team, including many of those injured players that didnt play last season. I believe that Georgia has the better coaching staff in this matchup as well. Oh, and by the way, Georgia won the SEC title back in 2005 with a first year QB in D.J. Shockley. I really feel like Georgia's offensive line will be able to control the game and wear down OSU's defense. I say all that to say this; I am a Georgia fan but will probably stay away from this game. Not because I don't think Georgia can win here but because I very rarely bet on my Dawgs. It's just a personal rule I have always laid down for myself. I'm just throwing out a few things on this game that are sometimes easily overlooked. This game may go either way but one thing I definately can't see is it being a complete blowout in OSU's favor. By all means don't be afraid to take the points here (currently around 6.5 I think) and maybe even lay a little something on the ML. GL to everyone in whichever way you decide to wager.
 

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Great write-up and assessment here, natural . . .
beer.gif


Good point on the OSU TE, Pettigrew, too. He allowed for Bryant to get open as much as he did because defenses had to respect Pettigrew running routes underneath.

Great work here . . . .
 

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I think Georgia has a class advantage here but they also have the QB disadvantage. Georgia didn't play the high powered offenses that Oklahoma St faced. I think the Cowboys can score on anyone and with Zac Robinson's dual threat play and the line less than a TD the Bulldogs are going to have their hands full. That said Richt preforms well as a road dog. If the Bulldogs throttle down Robinson they can win this game. Good luck on your play as I like the dogs a little myself although I have not pulled the trigger.
Best Wishes
Buckeyemac
 

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love it, great writeup

this guy knows what he's talking about, emphasizing the experience on depth in the trenches more than anything else
 

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This is not a matchup that you can sink your teeth into but like Conan sometimes points out sometimes numbers are misleading. Let's look at the numbers.
LY Georgia's defense gave up 24.5ppg. In conference it looks a little different. In conference they went 5-3 SU and outscored their opponents 216 to 214 or .25ppg. Four conference teams scored more than their season avg against Georgia, Ala scored 41 while avging 30, LSU scored 38 while avging 31, Florida scored 49 while avging 43, and Kentucky scored 38 while avging 23. The only other high powered offense they faced LY was GT who beat Georgia 45-42 and GT avg'd 24ppg. The point I am making is that against teams who had capable offenses they all exceeded their season avg against the Georgia defense.
In terms of scoring defenses OSU gave up 28.1ppg. They gave a lot more yardage however.
Simply put I think the defense for Georgia is a little over rated when matched up against teams with capable offenses. I know a lot of us look at games differently and I am not saying OSU is 6 or more points better than Georgia. All I am saying that when you look at the real numbers for the games that most fit as comparisons for this matchup then Georgia will probably give up more points than a lot of people may think.
As far as the offenses, OSU has a definite edge in tried and proven players. Trying to predict how much Pettigrew's loss is going to effect the team is pure guess work. Sure he was good but so were Stafford and Moreno. From what I am seeing in the numbers up above OSU will get their points. For Georgia to keep up in that department it seems like a lot of people are trying to project an overwhelming running game and a far superior defense from Georgia. I am seeing an unproven offense vs. a proven offense, and a Georgia defense that doesn't fare as well against a capable offense like OSU's. Defensively, I see a lot of people saying a new DC for OSU will not necessarily help and that OSU is going to have to use gimmicks to contain the Geogia offense. I will say this, if OSU jumps out to an early lead and Georgia is forced to pass more than their original game plan called for, I think Georgia will lose. If Georgia can hang for the first half it gets better and better for them.
Again, I am not writing this to necessarily predict the ATS winner but merely to point out that any discussion of Georgia's defense needs to be broken down and looked at from different perspectives. I think Georgia will have to trade points with a superior offense to win and if their defense does as it did LY against teams that can score, they will have to score quite a few over their average to do so and on the road with an inexperienced QB. May be a lot to ask.
 

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great write up.....
 

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I have been all over Georgia since this line came out...

I have them winning this game...
 

Can't get right!
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Thanks everyone! Enjoy trying to bring my perspective on games when I can.

Romanowski, yes, this is the same write-up I had from before with a few more things added. Mainly some great points you had brung out about the teams. Good stuff bro!

russ1945....all those were and are points well taken my friend. Just feel like UGA has all the injuries out of the way to start off this year that had killed them last year. Had they had been healthy at the times of the Bama and Fla games, etc. I'm sure you wouldn't have seen quite so many points scored on them. Richt loves flying under the radar so to speak and being in the underdog role. I really feel a lot of people are going to be suprised this year by their play. GL to you this year my friend!
 

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I think another thing that shouldn't be taken lightly with this year's Georgia team is last year, on top of the 44 starts they lost to injuries, they also had 10 players arrested in 2008. You add on the preseason hype that this team was getting last season, and they were doomed from the very beginning. I really like this Georgia team despite the loss of Moreno and Stafford. I actually think they will miss Moreno a little more than Stafford. But I'm keeping an eye on the stable of RB's to see how they're performing in camp. I think the Georgia defense is what will surprise this year. With some of these big uglies back from injury, I don't expect teams like Bama and Florida to be able to run on this team like they did last season.
 

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GoSooners....I agree with you when you say they'll miss Moreno more than Stafford. But, I think they have a great mix of talent this year that will gel together quickly. Watch the improvement of the Defense!!
 

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We actually are practicing tackling during camp this year. Yeah tackling, crazy huh? CMR didn't tackle last year after so many kids went down due to injury and it showed.

UGA +6 and ML
 

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Georgiaboy....lol, yeah, I heard we were actually taking some tackling practice this year! I read a while back where Richt was not holding back this year on his drills; injuries or not. GL to ya this year my friend!
 

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Some Bulldog Buzzworthy Notes:

Sept. 5, at Oklahoma State

BUZZ: Georgia's rebuilt offense goes against a questionable Oklahoma State defense. If Georgia's defensive interior makes life tough for Oklahoma State RB Kendall Hunter, the Bulldogs could come away with the win.



Sept. 12, vs. South Carolina

BUZZ: A big game in the SEC East. Given what is left on the schedule, you'd think Georgia would have a tough time finishing second in the division if it loses to the Gamecocks.



Sept. 19, at Arkansas

BUZZ: The Razorbacks may be the biggest mystery team in the SEC. New QB Ryan Mallett looks like a great fit for coach Bobby Petrino's offense. But the Hogs' defense was awful last season.



Sept. 26, vs. Arizona State

BUZZ: A trap game, of sorts, as it comes between two intriguing SEC matchups. If Arizona State has found a quarterback, the Sun Devils' passing game figures to pose a test for Georgia's secondary.



Oct. 3, vs. LSU

BUZZ: This is the first truly big SEC game to be played this season. This is the first of huge back-to-back games for LSU, which plays host to Florida the next week.



Oct. 10, at Tennessee

BUZZ: New Tennessee coach Lane Kiffin gets his first test of the Bulldogs-Vols rivalry. Some offseason comments by Kiffin will add spice. Depending on Georgia's start, this game could be huge for the Bulldogs.
 

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this game boils down to one thing - okie lites defense. If they do anything on D they win and probably handily. UGAs secondary is mediocre at best, and the O will look to run, run, and run more. Richt is a very conservative coach. Teams with spread Os have given UGA a lot of problems in the past and now they are nowhere near as good on O. The SEC is like Tiger Woods - they psych out their opponents on rep most of the time. If OSU isnt scared of UGA coming out, they should win. OSUs new DC is damn good too. FWIW
 

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this game boils down to one thing - okie lites defense. If they do anything on D they win and probably handily. UGAs secondary is mediocre at best, and the O will look to run, run, and run more. Richt is a very conservative coach. Teams with spread Os have given UGA a lot of problems in the past and now they are nowhere near as good on O. The SEC is like Tiger Woods - they psych out their opponents on rep most of the time. If OSU isnt scared of UGA coming out, they should win. OSUs new DC is damn good too. FWIW


Good insights. There are definite concerns for both teams and even special teams could play big in this one. This game, the Ore/Boise game, and the VT/Ala game all involve highly touted teams with some flaws. You could probably replay all of these games two months from now with different results in all of them. It is all about what is going to come down on week one and which teams can overcome their flaws or capitalize on their strengths. If this game were being played in Georgia it might be a completely different scenario so where the games are being played are a definite factor, in all three of those games. Week one 2009 has some of the best matchups I have seen in a while for a week one. Some of these games will impact rankings and maybe even the BCS bowl picture.
 

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Georgia is going to surprise some folks this year. IMO, just speaking strictly on returning talent, the wrong team is favored. Obviously travel and opening day intangibles are factored in, but this game will be won by the Dawgs. The only debate in my mind is ML or take the points for insurance.

Last year, by Georgia's standards, they were an average football team; meaning that they beat the teams they were supposed to beat and lost to the teams they were supposed to lose to (not referring to line at gametime, but in retrospect to "good teams" vs. "bad teams").

The crazy thing about Georgia is that they have an incredible record in true road games under Mark Richt. One of the Georgia fans can help me out if I'm off here, but it's something like 29-4. Normally I don't like betting on teams traveling across the country or even half-way across the country (USC is an exception to that rule), but this Georgia team also qualifies for exception status for me.

OSU put up some good numbers last year, but they struggled mightily against the best teams they faced.

Weak OOC (Washington State, Houston, Missouri State, Troy), Avg. MOV = 30

Vs. Bottom of Big 12 schedule (Texas A&M (2-6), Baylor (2-6), Iowa State (0-8), Colorado (2-6)), Avg. MOV = 26.75

Vs. Top of Big 12 schedule (Missouri (5-3), Texas (7-1), Texas Tech (7-1), Oklahoma (7-1)), Avg. MOV = -13.75 (+5, -4, -36, -20)

I would put Georgia in the same category as the last of the three groups referenced above. So the question is, has OSU improved their assets more than Georgia has to suggest that they'll win by a TD or more? I don't see it.

-ETC
 

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Uga 2009/2008

I think another thing that shouldn't be taken lightly with this year's Georgia team is last year, on top of the 44 starts they lost to injuries, they also had 10 players arrested in 2008. You add on the preseason hype that this team was getting last season, and they were doomed from the very beginning. I really like this Georgia team despite the loss of Moreno and Stafford. I actually think they will miss Moreno a little more than Stafford. But I'm keeping an eye on the stable of RB's to see how they're performing in camp. I think the Georgia defense is what will surprise this year. With some of these big uglies back from injury, I don't expect teams like Bama and Florida to be able to run on this team like they did last season.

Also, their road schedule was a killer last year. That alone made it silly to give them their preseason #1 consideration. They will definitely miss Moreno more than Stafford as I expect them to have a run-oriented offense behind their terrific OL. UGA could be a sleeper this year to fool the experts.
 

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this game boils down to one thing - okie lites defense. If they do anything on D they win and probably handily. UGAs secondary is mediocre at best, and the O will look to run, run, and run more. Richt is a very conservative coach. Teams with spread Os have given UGA a lot of problems in the past and now they are nowhere near as good on O. The SEC is like Tiger Woods - they psych out their opponents on rep most of the time. If OSU isnt scared of UGA coming out, they should win. OSUs new DC is damn good too. FWIW


I understand what your saying but our secondary should be much better because we get back Jeff Owens DT. Every team in the country's secondary isn't that good when you can't get a pass rush.
 

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