Playoffs Day 10
562 Charlotte Hornets -2 (bookmaker.eu)
-I think some way, some how the Heat will make adjustments.
-Hornets big guy F. Kaminsky is unlikely to replicate the type of success he had in game 3
MAJOR FACOTR = Kemba Walker shot 4-19, that is also unlikely to repeat itself
*Hornets a couple of ways to get the win tonight.
I fully expect Miami to control a vast majorit of this game, make no mistake about it.
-Hornets will have enough fire power and be capable of playing better 50/50 ball with the home court advantage/momentum
562 Charlotte Hornets -2 (bookmaker.eu)
-I think some way, some how the Heat will make adjustments.
-Hornets big guy F. Kaminsky is unlikely to replicate the type of success he had in game 3
MAJOR FACOTR = Kemba Walker shot 4-19, that is also unlikely to repeat itself
*Hornets a couple of ways to get the win tonight.
I fully expect Miami to control a vast majorit of this game, make no mistake about it.
-Hornets will have enough fire power and be capable of playing better 50/50 ball with the home court advantage/momentum
Playoffs Day 13:
Play Atlanta Hawks ML -130 (bookmaker.eu)
-Hawks are firing on too many cylinders and this team knows that it isn't worth jack if it cannot get a road win in this series, so I do not expect a lay down "let's take it back home" type of energy/performance
-Celtics have a lot of weapons, but it really seems that the Hawks now have found ways to contain those weapons - I just do not see the C's having enough to win.
-Hawks are shooting well and that should continue, there a lot of experienced guys on this Hawks team that can work through the crowd
-Too many guys to step up on the Hawks and end the series here; yes, I expect the Celtics to come out great, but I believe that do not have enough at the end of the day.
*unlike the Charlotte/Miami series, the Hornets were able to upset a mediocre team...the Celtics are an over performing team (at this point in their development)...the Hawks a veteran team that really is starting to look good.
Play Atlanta Hawks ML -130 (bookmaker.eu)
-Hawks are firing on too many cylinders and this team knows that it isn't worth jack if it cannot get a road win in this series, so I do not expect a lay down "let's take it back home" type of energy/performance
-Celtics have a lot of weapons, but it really seems that the Hawks now have found ways to contain those weapons - I just do not see the C's having enough to win.
-Hawks are shooting well and that should continue, there a lot of experienced guys on this Hawks team that can work through the crowd
-Too many guys to step up on the Hawks and end the series here; yes, I expect the Celtics to come out great, but I believe that do not have enough at the end of the day.
*unlike the Charlotte/Miami series, the Hornets were able to upset a mediocre team...the Celtics are an over performing team (at this point in their development)...the Hawks a veteran team that really is starting to look good.
NBA Playoffs, Day 29 5/15/2106
Play, 550 Toronto Raptors -4.5
Raptors came out flat in game 6, because they just are not that good of a team - whereas a good team would have played harder. Byombo disappeared in the second half of the last game in Miami, shooters that were once above average didn't show up mentally in game 6.
Now the Raptors head back to the Air Canada center where D. Carrol will most likely once again hit 3 or 4 timely 3-pointers, Byombo will dominate inside for more than 15 minutes ... The other star players will do there thing (one way or another).
The other horse in this race, the Miami Heat, they need two things to happen to win this afternoon: Wade must continue to play like he has AND G. Dragic has to score consistently throughout this game. Luol Deng can be a "X-factor" in this one.
My wagering opinion is that the shots fall often for the Raptors and the tiring Heat will fall behind for good. It looks like the Raptors gave 50% last time out, perhaps they were too cautious in giving the Heat their best punch in Miami.
Play, 550 Toronto Raptors -4.5
Raptors came out flat in game 6, because they just are not that good of a team - whereas a good team would have played harder. Byombo disappeared in the second half of the last game in Miami, shooters that were once above average didn't show up mentally in game 6.
Now the Raptors head back to the Air Canada center where D. Carrol will most likely once again hit 3 or 4 timely 3-pointers, Byombo will dominate inside for more than 15 minutes ... The other star players will do there thing (one way or another).
The other horse in this race, the Miami Heat, they need two things to happen to win this afternoon: Wade must continue to play like he has AND G. Dragic has to score consistently throughout this game. Luol Deng can be a "X-factor" in this one.
My wagering opinion is that the shots fall often for the Raptors and the tiring Heat will fall behind for good. It looks like the Raptors gave 50% last time out, perhaps they were too cautious in giving the Heat their best punch in Miami.
NBA Playoffs, Day 32 5/18
Play, 705 Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (bookmaker.eu)
Most people who have a stake in tonight's action seem to think that it is face that K. Thompson and S. Curry will have an amazing night, and Coach Kerr and his STATE will make all the necessary adjustments and win GM 2. I shared the same flawed reasoning (as some of you) in GM 6 between the Spurs and Thunders.
What if K. Durant and R. Westbrook have big games, what if they hit their shots with some consistency throughout most of this game. What if OKC comes back out what worked for them in the 3rd and 4th Quarters of GM 1. If that 'what if' comes true for the Thunder, than STATE may be in for a really tough game even if Thompson and Curry play at a very high level.
I will take the 9 points with OKC, since I believe they have a legitimate chance to win the game. Obviously, it is expected from most likely 95% of the sports world that STATE wins this game - I am part of the majority, too. Still, it's not like Warriors were caught off guard by the Thunder, like they just went 7 games and won and double overtime against the Mavericks...the Thunder are playing at very high level (in my opinion, the highest) and they have already been tested in these playoffs.
Play, 705 Oklahoma City Thunder +9 (bookmaker.eu)
Most people who have a stake in tonight's action seem to think that it is face that K. Thompson and S. Curry will have an amazing night, and Coach Kerr and his STATE will make all the necessary adjustments and win GM 2. I shared the same flawed reasoning (as some of you) in GM 6 between the Spurs and Thunders.
What if K. Durant and R. Westbrook have big games, what if they hit their shots with some consistency throughout most of this game. What if OKC comes back out what worked for them in the 3rd and 4th Quarters of GM 1. If that 'what if' comes true for the Thunder, than STATE may be in for a really tough game even if Thompson and Curry play at a very high level.
I will take the 9 points with OKC, since I believe they have a legitimate chance to win the game. Obviously, it is expected from most likely 95% of the sports world that STATE wins this game - I am part of the majority, too. Still, it's not like Warriors were caught off guard by the Thunder, like they just went 7 games and won and double overtime against the Mavericks...the Thunder are playing at very high level (in my opinion, the highest) and they have already been tested in these playoffs.
NBA Playoffs, Day 27, May 23rd
Play, 5/23 714 Toronto Raptors +6.5 (bookmaker.eu)
Here are the top reasons (after very careful thought), that I am wagering on the side of Toronto:
-something can be said for having the most talent in a series (the Cavs), and something can be said for playing with a lot fire in the heart (the Raptors). If you read the Corey Joseph interview, this guy is playing pissed off and that sentiment will find its way throughout the locker --> hopefully onto the court.
-Statistically the Cavs were kept in check. If you watched the Lebron post game interview, when asked why he didn't score in the paint he replied, 'because I good looks from outside the paint.' A little red flag came up in my mind that said, hey Biyombo and Co. did a good job of keeping these guys out of the paint and they didn't have as wide open shots from 3 ... missing a ton.
-Raptors need a couple of guys to beat you..."X" factor was Biyombo if he is quite tonight then the two star guards MUST be dominant offensively, but wait! that is not enough, either D. Carroll + another player have to play consistently well.
*Easy way of saying this is that they need to be "firing on ALMOST all cylinders," which I trust that this will happen as it had in the past at the Air Canada Centre in big games.
-Cavs have to make adjustments to win this game, I don't think so...they have to play better and they have. Did they forget how to play basketball, because they left Ohio...NO. This is going to be an old school basketball game, two teams playing good basketball.
*Look, Toronto was in the GM 1 & 2 for the first half, in GM 3 they stuck to what works...why can't they do that again. The question the entire time was if Toronto had the energy to withstand all 48 minutes...now we know the answer.
*****6.5 is just too much to give a team that has 50% chance of winning, and a team that I believe can win SU.
Play, 5/23 714 Toronto Raptors +6.5 (bookmaker.eu)
Here are the top reasons (after very careful thought), that I am wagering on the side of Toronto:
-something can be said for having the most talent in a series (the Cavs), and something can be said for playing with a lot fire in the heart (the Raptors). If you read the Corey Joseph interview, this guy is playing pissed off and that sentiment will find its way throughout the locker --> hopefully onto the court.
-Statistically the Cavs were kept in check. If you watched the Lebron post game interview, when asked why he didn't score in the paint he replied, 'because I good looks from outside the paint.' A little red flag came up in my mind that said, hey Biyombo and Co. did a good job of keeping these guys out of the paint and they didn't have as wide open shots from 3 ... missing a ton.
-Raptors need a couple of guys to beat you..."X" factor was Biyombo if he is quite tonight then the two star guards MUST be dominant offensively, but wait! that is not enough, either D. Carroll + another player have to play consistently well.
*Easy way of saying this is that they need to be "firing on ALMOST all cylinders," which I trust that this will happen as it had in the past at the Air Canada Centre in big games.
-Cavs have to make adjustments to win this game, I don't think so...they have to play better and they have. Did they forget how to play basketball, because they left Ohio...NO. This is going to be an old school basketball game, two teams playing good basketball.
*Look, Toronto was in the GM 1 & 2 for the first half, in GM 3 they stuck to what works...why can't they do that again. The question the entire time was if Toronto had the energy to withstand all 48 minutes...now we know the answer.
*****6.5 is just too much to give a team that has 50% chance of winning, and a team that I believe can win SU.
NBA Playoffs, Day 32 May 28th
Play, Oklahoma City Thunder on the Money Line -155
Why not? They were competitive in Game 6 (note: I did back this game up a bit with GSW Series WIN +250, before Game 5). This is the biggest game of the series (obviously), OKC has risen to the occassion...if you are on STATE then you a strictly going by gut. I am not in love with this game, but it is worthy of action.
Play, Oklahoma City Thunder on the Money Line -155
Why not? They were competitive in Game 6 (note: I did back this game up a bit with GSW Series WIN +250, before Game 5). This is the biggest game of the series (obviously), OKC has risen to the occassion...if you are on STATE then you a strictly going by gut. I am not in love with this game, but it is worthy of action.
