FIU should be favored by no more than 3 here..FIU ranks dead last in the NCAA in offense averaging only 196 yards per game. And now they are going on the road and giving nearly a TD? I don't think so...I wouldn't put too much weight in their win over Toledo last week. Toledo turned the ball over 4 times in that game. And FIU had only 12 first downs and 250 yards. North Texas is the play.
Good point regarding the turnovers and yes I was putting a lot of weight on the Toledo game. In my view it shows FIU has improved from last year, can win on the road and is going into this game with some confidence. North Texas on the other hand has been awful and is probably the worst team in D1.
But true it seems silly to bet on the worst teams in college football. But I've made more money betting on the Sun Belt, MAC and C-USA's than on the majors.
Keep in mind that North Texas has played KSU, Tulsa, LSU and Rice..Statistically these are all top 40 offenses. This is enough to make any Sunbelt team look bad..To compare with Florida Atlantic, who was picked preseason to win the Sunbelt, FAU got outscored by their 3 BCS opponents 106-13...Yet when they they went into Sunblet Conference play they were 3 point dogs to MTSU the other night and covered..North Texas won't look nearly as bad when they go into Sunbelt play than they were out of conference against BCS teams...This is why this game looks strange to people..It's almost always a much different story when teams play down to their own level. Believe it or not, North Texas is actually an improved team this year from last. And are picked to finish above FIU in conference this year. Yet are 1 touchdown dogs at home..
