GAME 5 GUARANTEE INSIDE...

[THE SHRINK]

LOS LANGELES LAKERS PLUS 3 OR 3 1/2 DEPENDING ON YOUR NUMBER OF OUTS...

THE LAKERS HAVE NOT PLAYED WELL, BUT THEY USUALLY PLAY THEIR VERY BEST UNDER ADVERSITY...

IF TONIGHT'S GAME ISN'T ADVERSITY GALORE, THEN I AM NOT THE SHRINK...

P.S.

IF THE LAKERS DO NOT COVER, I WILL POST THAT I AM AN IDIOT 100 TIMES...

BEST OF LUCK,

THE SHRINK

 

[D2bets]

SHRINK, I don't get it....why bother to take the points? You've already guaranteed that the Lakers will win the title. So since we already know that they're going to win the game, why not take the ML +150 and win more? I'm very confused. Help me out there.

 

[winkyduck]

this is the 5th time a larry brown team has been UP 3-1 and he is 1-3 SU the last 4. hope it becomes 1-4.

i will say this:

Whoever wins tonight's game will win it all

obviously in the pistons win - they win it all. if the lakers win - you never know!

 

[THE SHRINK]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by D2bets:

SHRINK, I don't get it....why bother to take the points? You've already guaranteed that the Lakers will win the title. So since we already know that they're going to win the game, why not take the ML +150 and win more? I'm very confused. Help me out there.

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

THE REASON YOU TAKE PLUS 3 POINTS VS. PLUS $1.50 ML IS CALLED VALUE, AND IT'S TAUGHT IN ANY GAMBLING 101 COURSE...

I WILL BE HAPPY TO GO INTO MORE DETAILS AT OUR RX BASH IN VEGAS...

BEST OF LUCK,

THE SHRINK

 

[SubZaero]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR> Whoever wins tonight's game will win it all

obviously in the pistons win - they win it all. if the lakers win - you never know! <HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

huh??

 

[charliepeete]

kobe, the shrink have a few things in common?

 

[stormy7777]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by THE SHRINK:
LOS LANGELES LAKERS PLUS 3 OR 3 1/2 DEPENDING ON YOUR NUMBER OF OUTS...

THE LAKERS HAVE NOT PLAYED WELL, BUT THEY USUALLY PLAY THEIR VERY BEST UNDER ADVERSITY...

IF TONIGHT'S GAME ISN'T ADVERSITY GALORE, THEN I AM NOT THE SHRINK...

P.S.

IF THE LAKERS DO NOT COVER, I WILL POST THAT I AM AN IDIOT 100 TIMES...

BEST OF LUCK,

THE SHRINK<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

I totally agree. Lakers win outright.

-Stormy

 

[ChuckSims]

D2bets, -105 vs +150 is not that much. In a close game +3½ can be huge. Always take the points. I learned that in my Gambling 101 class.

 

[THE SHRINK]

CHUCK!!!

 

[ChuckSims]

SHRINK, the law of averages are on your side.

 

[THE SHRINK]

Chuck,

How many teams have EVER won 3 consecutive Home Games since the NBA went to the 2-3-2 format?

00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Z E R O !!!

That's a pretty good average to have on my side, don't you think?

[This message was edited by wilheim on June 15, 2004 at 05:59 PM.]

 

[stormy7777]

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by Chuck Sims:
D2bets, -105 vs +150 is not that much. In a close game +3½ can be huge. Always take the points. I learned that in my Gambling 101 class.<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>
Not that much? For a dime player with a base wagering amount, you would win 1500 versus 1000. If you are speaking in term of losing, then you are correct, 1000 verse 1050.
Anyways, I agree always take the points.

-Stormy

 

[OMNIVOROUS FROG]

Is this a history lesson? They used to play well under adversity. Just like they used to close people out every time. I do not think you can compare any Laker history to this team, well maybe with coach Rambis

Money is coming in on lakers, but it is the $L. Hedges? Motown by 10+...Best Wishes...OF

 

[OMNIVOROUS FROG]

Answer me this SHRINK, how many home teams have been in position to win the third straight. Wil can answer for you...OF <BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>Originally posted by THE SHRINK:
Chuck,

How many teams have EVER won 3 consecutive Home Games since the NBA went to the 2-3-2 format?

00000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
_Z E R O !!!_

That's a pretty good average to have on my side, don't you think?

<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

[This message was edited by wilheim on June 15, 2004 at 06:00 PM.]

 

[packer2012]

Hey Frogman,

Good to see you out hopping around!

 

[newbie666]

generally guarantees are printed, legal
and refundable...

what's the ""GUARANTEE IN HERE""

 

[THE SHRINK]

OF,

If Motown wins by 10 plus, I will buy you a dinner at any restaurant in the world...

If they don't win by 10 plus, l'll gladly accept a martini, ok?

 

[D2bets]

Shrink, I know all about value but there's no value in the 3.5 points if we already know that LA is going to win SU, right? I mean, you've already guaranteed it -- I believe it was called a "100% mortal lock" -- or something to that effect.

As an aside, I disagree that it is *always* a better value to take the points. Specifically, I think the DET ML's in both Games 1 and 2 offered a better value than the spread. And as it played out a ML 1-1 split in those games returned nearly twice as much profit per risk as going 2-0 on the spread, and if DET had pulled out Game 2 it would have returned, ohhh, around 9X as much.

 

[RobFunk]

no team has ever won 3 in a row at home. correct.

but the 89-90 pistons were the first to win all 3 on the road against the trailblazers

 

[packer2012]

Hey Frogman,

Don't forget to buy plenty of points!

HeHe!