Gallup Daily: Obama 47%, McCain 45%

[gtc08]

PRINCETON, NJ -- The Sept. 14-16 Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows Barack Obama regaining a slight, although not statistically significant, edge over John McCain, 47% to 45%, among registered voters, marking the first time since the week of the Republican National Convention that McCain has not held at least a one percentage point margin over Obama.

From a broad perspective, the race remains a statistical tie. But there has been a general drift towards Obama since McCain moved to a five-point lead over Obama through the weekend after the GOP convention.
Today's report includes two days of interviewing conducted after reports of the collapse of Wall Street financial institutions and changes in the stock market began to dominate the news on Monday. Gallup Poll Daily tracking data show that in each of these individual days (Monday and Tuesday) consumer ratings of the U.S. economy have become more negative. Similarly, in each of these individual days' interviewing, Obama has led McCain in election tracking. There is thus a correlation between the bad financial news and Obama's gains, although the data do not allow us to conclude definitively that there is a causal connection between the two. Throughout the campaign, Obama has generally held an edge over McCain when voters are asked who could best handle the U.S. economy, although McCain gained on the economic dimension in polling conducted immediately after the GOP convention. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

It is also worth noting that Gallup tracking shows the percentage of Americans who report being happy without a lot of stress has now fallen to the lowest level measured this year. -- Frank Newport​

(Click here to see how the race currently breaks down by demographic subgroup.)
Survey Methods
For the Gallup Poll Daily tracking survey, Gallup is interviewing no fewer than 1,000 U.S. adults nationwide each day during 2008.
The general-election results are based on combined data from Sept. 14-16, 2008. For results based on this sample of 2,787 registered voters, the maximum margin of sampling error is ±2 percentage points.
Interviews are conducted with respondents on land-line telephones (for respondents with a land-line telephone) and cellular phones (for respondents who are cell-phone only).
In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.

 

[RobFunk]

Yesss sir

 

[Redneckman]

No way Obama is ahead. He's behind in Colorado, and tied in Pennsylvania, but you loons believe he's truly ahead in the natty poll? :nohead:

 

[White_Tiger]

No way Obama is ahead. He's behind in Colorado, and tied in Pennsylvania, but you loons believe he's truly ahead in the natty poll? :nohead:

Bookmaker say so and they know something that you don't.

 

[BetIt]

No way Obama is ahead. He's behind in Colorado, and tied in Pennsylvania, but you loons believe he's truly ahead in the natty poll? :nohead:

You do realize the time frame of these polls you're citing are not the same time frame as Gallup....right?

Gallups are the 14th-16th

Colorado's poll came out Sunday
PA's came out Money

There may be a day of overlapping in PA...but i'm not even sure of that.

Also...the same polls you mention that cite those numbers also give

Obama a 66% chance to win in PA
Obama a 54.5% chance to win in CO

 

[Risk44]

You WILL MOST LIKELY NEVER SEE Mccain in the Lead again EVER.

Its Over Repubs.

 

[tocco05]

You WILL MOST LIKELY NEVER SEE Mccain in the Lead again EVER.

Its Over Repubs.

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged with John McCain attracting 48% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 47% (see recent daily results). Both men are viewed favorably by 55% of the nation’s voters (see trends). Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail updateis available.
McCain leads 58% to 38% among those who regularly shop at Wal-Mart while Obama leads 61% to 36% among those who don’t frequent the retail giant. Overall, Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year while McCain leads among those with higher earnings. Among white voters, Obama has the edge only among those who earn less than $20,000 a year and his advantage among those lower income white voters is just four percentage points (see crosstabs).

 

[Risk44]

Wednesday, September 17, 2008

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday is unchanged with John McCain attracting 48% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 47% (see recent daily results). Both men are viewed favorably by 55% of the nation’s voters (see trends). Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail updateis available.
McCain leads 58% to 38% among those who regularly shop at Wal-Mart while Obama leads 61% to 36% among those who don’t frequent the retail giant. Overall, Obama leads among those who earn less than $40,000 a year while McCain leads among those with higher earnings. Among white voters, Obama has the edge only among those who earn less than $20,000 a year and his advantage among those lower income white voters is just four percentage points (see crosstabs).

Im referring to as I have been all along about Gallup.. Besides Foxnews/Rasmussen Doesnt count..

 

[D2bets]

No way Obama is ahead. He's behind in Colorado, and tied in Pennsylvania, but you loons believe he's truly ahead in the natty poll? :nohead:

Those are bad and old polls. Tied in PA is a joke. Not a chance.

 

[Risk44]

No way Obama is ahead. He's behind in Colorado, and tied in Pennsylvania, but you loons believe he's truly ahead in the natty poll? :nohead:

Your screen name says it all.. :nohead: Your fellow Repubs were the ones Citing Gallup Everyday Mccain had the lead... Now they are gonna have to go find a new poll..

 

[D2bets]

A couple other national polls today:

<table style="width: 600px;" class="table-races" id="table-1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#cccccc">National</td><td bgcolor="#cccccc">Ipsos Public Affairs</td><td bgcolor="#cccccc">McCain 45, Obama 45, Nader 2, Barr 1</td><td bgcolor="#cccccc">Tie</td></tr></tbody></table><table style="width: 600px;" class="table-races" id="table-1" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="0" width="600"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">National</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Hotline/FD Tracking</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">McCain 42, Obama 45</td><td bgcolor="#e5e5e5">Obama +3</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[tocco05]

Im referring to as I have been all along about Gallup.. Besides Foxnews/Rasmussen Doesnt count..

If he doesn't have at least a 10 point lead come election day he has no shot at winning.

 

[tocco05]

Obama/Biden 207

157 Solid

50 Leaning
McCain/Palin 227

172 Solid

55 Leaning

Toss Up 104

104 Toss Up

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href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="IL" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Illinois"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/il/illinois_mccain_vs_obama-602.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Illinois Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="IN" oid="(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Indiana"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_mccain_vs_obama-604.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Indiana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="IA" oid="(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Iowa"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_mccain_vs_obama-209.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Iowa Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="KS" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Kansas"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ks/kansas_mccain_vs_obama-555.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Kansas Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="KY" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Kentucky"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ky/kentucky_mccain_vs_obama-578.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Kentucky Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="LA" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Louisiana"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/la/louisiana_mccain_vs_obama-606.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Louisiana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="ME" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Maine"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/me/maine_mccain_vs_obama-608.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Maine 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alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Maryland"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/md/maryland_mccain_vs_obama-610.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Maryland Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MA" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Massachusetts"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...massachusetts_mccain_vs_obama-575.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Massachusetts Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MI" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos" balloon="false" title="Michigan"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mi/michigan_mccain_vs_obama-553.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Michigan Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MN" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos" balloon="false" title="Minnesota"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_mccain_vs_obama-550.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Minnesota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MS" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Mississippi"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/mississippi_mccain_vs_obama-612.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Mississippi Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MO" oid="(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Missouri"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mo/missouri_mccain_vs_obama-545.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Missouri Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="MT" oid="(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Montana"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mt/montana_mccain_vs_obama-614.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Montana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NE" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Nebraska"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ne/nebraska_mccain_vs_obama-616.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Nebraska Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NV" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos" balloon="false" title="Nevada"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_mccain_vs_obama-252.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Nevada Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NH" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos" balloon="false" title="New Hampshire"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...new_hampshire_mccain_vs_obama-195.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Hampshire Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NJ" oid="(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="New Jersey"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_obama-250.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Jersey Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NM" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos" balloon="false" title="New Mexico"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nm/new_mexico_mccain_vs_obama-448.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Mexico Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NY" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="New York"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ny/new_york_mccain_vs_obama-343.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New York Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="NC" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="North Carolina"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...orth_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-334.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for North Carolina Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="ND" oid="(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="North Dakota"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../north_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-618.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for North Dakota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="OH" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos" balloon="false" title="Ohio"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_mccain_vs_obama-400.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Ohio Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="OK" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Oklahoma"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ok/oklahoma_mccain_vs_obama-620.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Oklahoma Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="OR" oid="(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Oregon"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/or/oregon_mccain_vs_obama-548.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Oregon Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="PA" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos" balloon="false" title="Pennsylvania"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../pennsylvania_mccain_vs_obama-244.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Pennsylvania Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="RI" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Rhode Island"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../rhode_island_mccain_vs_obama-622.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Rhode Island Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="SC" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="South Carolina"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...outh_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-624.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for South Carolina Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="SD" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="South Dakota"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../south_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-626.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for South Dakota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="TN" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Tennessee"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/tn/tennessee_mccain_vs_obama-572.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Tennessee Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="TX" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Texas"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/tx/texas_mccain_vs_obama-628.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Texas Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;34&apos;,&apos;TX&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="UT" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Utah"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ut/utah_mccain_vs_obama-635.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Utah Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;UT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="VT" oid="(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Vermont"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/vt/vermont_mccain_vs_obama-630.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Vermont Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="VA" oid="(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos" balloon="false" title="Virginia"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/va/virginia_mccain_vs_obama-551.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Virginia Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;13&apos;,&apos;VA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="WA" oid="(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Washington"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/wa/washington_mccain_vs_obama-576.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Washington Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;WA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="WV" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="West Virginia"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...west_virginia_mccain_vs_obama-632.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for West Virginia Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;WV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="WI" oid="(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="Wisconsin"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/wi/wisconsin_mccain_vs_obama-549.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Wisconsin Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;WI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area><area mc_name="WY" oid="(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos" color="#ff0000" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Wyoming"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/wy/wyoming_mccain_vs_obama-634.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Wyoming Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;WY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></area></areas><movies><movie oid="2RI" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Rhode Island" file="rectangle" x="551" y="134" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../rhode_island_mccain_vs_obama-622.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Rhode Island Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2MA" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Massachusetts" file="rectangle" x="551" y="99" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...massachusetts_mccain_vs_obama-575.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Massachusetts Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2CT" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Connecticut" file="rectangle" x="551" y="169" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...t/connecticut_mccain_vs_obama-527.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Connecticut Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2NJ" color="#0000ff" alpha="50" balloon="false" title="New Jersey" file="rectangle" x="551" y="204" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_obama-250.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Jersey Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2DE" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Deleware" file="rectangle" x="551" y="239" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/de/delaware_mccain_vs_obama-594.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Delaware Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2MD" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Maryland" file="rectangle" x="551" y="274" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/md/maryland_mccain_vs_obama-610.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Maryland Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2DC" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Dist. of Columbia" file="rectangle" x="551" y="309" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...t_of_columbia_mccain_vs_obama-935.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Dist. of Columbia Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2VT" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Vermont" file="rectangle" x="431" y="23" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/vt/vermont_mccain_vs_obama-630.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Vermont Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;VT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2NH" color="#606060" balloon="false" title="New Hampshire" file="rectangle" x="466" y="23" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...new_hampshire_mccain_vs_obama-195.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Hampshire Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="2HI" color="#0000ff" alpha="100" balloon="false" title="Hawaii" file="rectangle" x="14" y="320" width="31" height="31"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/hi/hawaii_mccain_vs_obama-598.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Hawaii Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3AL" balloon="false" title="Alabama" file="labels/Alabama.png" x="391" y="238"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/al/alabama_mccain_vs_obama-557.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Alabama Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;AL&apos;"><img 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href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ak/alaska_mccain_vs_obama-640.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Alaska Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;AK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;AK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;AK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;AK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;AK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3AZ" balloon="false" title="Arizona" file="labels/Arizona.png" x="126" y="211"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/az/arizona_mccain_vs_obama-570.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Arizona Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;AZ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;AZ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;AZ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;AZ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;AZ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3AR" balloon="false" title="Arkansas" file="labels/Arkansas.png" x="326" y="217"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ar/arkansas_mccain_vs_obama-592.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Arkansas Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;AR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;AR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;AR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;AR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;AR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3CA" balloon="false" title="California" file="labels/California.png" x="49" y="164"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ca/california_mccain_vs_obama-558.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for California Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;55&apos;,&apos;CA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;55&apos;,&apos;CA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;55&apos;,&apos;CA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;55&apos;,&apos;CA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;55&apos;,&apos;CA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3CO" balloon="false" title="Colorado" file="labels/Colorado.png" x="194" y="161"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/co/colorado_mccain_vs_obama-546.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Colorado Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;CO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;CO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;CO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;CO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;CO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3CT" balloon="false" title="Connecticut" file="labels/Conneticut.png" x="559" y="176"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...t/connecticut_mccain_vs_obama-527.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Connecticut Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;CT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3DE" balloon="false" title="Delaware" file="labels/Delaware.png" x="559" y="246"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/de/delaware_mccain_vs_obama-594.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Delaware Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3DC" balloon="false" title="Dist. of Columbia" file="labels/Dist_of_Columbia.png" x="559" y="316"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...t_of_columbia_mccain_vs_obama-935.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Dist. of Columbia Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;DC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3FL" balloon="false" title="Florida" file="labels/Florida.png" x="456" y="288"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/fl/florida_mccain_vs_obama-418.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Florida Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;27&apos;,&apos;FL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;27&apos;,&apos;FL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;27&apos;,&apos;FL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;27&apos;,&apos;FL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;27&apos;,&apos;FL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3GA" balloon="false" title="Georgia" file="labels/Georgia.png" x="424" y="235"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ga/georgia_mccain_vs_obama-596.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Georgia Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;GA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;GA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;GA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;GA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;GA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3HI" balloon="false" title="Hawaii" file="labels/Hawaii.png" x="26" y="326"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/hi/hawaii_mccain_vs_obama-598.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Hawaii Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;HI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3ID" balloon="false" title="Idaho" file="labels/Idaho.png" x="118" y="87"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/id/idaho_mccain_vs_obama-600.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Idaho Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ID&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3IL" balloon="false" title="Illinois" file="labels/Illinois.png" x="357" y="143"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/il/illinois_mccain_vs_obama-602.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Illinois Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;IL&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3IN" balloon="false" title="Indiana" file="labels/Indiana.png" x="386" y="145"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/in/indiana_mccain_vs_obama-604.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Indiana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;IN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3IA" balloon="false" title="Iowa" file="labels/Iowa.png" x="312" y="124"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/iowa_mccain_vs_obama-209.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Iowa Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;IA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3KS" balloon="false" title="Kansas" file="labels/Kansas.png" x="266" y="169"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ks/kansas_mccain_vs_obama-555.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Kansas Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;KS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3KY" balloon="false" title="Kentucky" file="labels/Kentucky.png" x="406" y="171"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ky/kentucky_mccain_vs_obama-578.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Kentucky Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;KY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3LA" balloon="false" title="Louisiana" file="labels/Louisiana.png" x="327" y="260"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/la/louisiana_mccain_vs_obama-606.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Louisiana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;9&apos;,&apos;LA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3ME" balloon="false" title="Maine" file="labels/Maine.png" x="528" y="45"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/me/maine_mccain_vs_obama-608.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Maine Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;ME&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MD" balloon="false" title="Maryland" file="labels/Maryland.png" x="559" y="281"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/md/maryland_mccain_vs_obama-610.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Maryland Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MA" balloon="false" title="Massachusetts" file="labels/Massachusetts.png" x="559" y="106"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...massachusetts_mccain_vs_obama-575.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Massachusetts Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;12&apos;,&apos;MA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MI" balloon="false" title="Michigan" file="labels/Michigan.png" x="393" y="100"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mi/michigan_mccain_vs_obama-553.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Michigan Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;17&apos;,&apos;MI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MN" balloon="false" title="Minnesota" file="labels/Minnesota.png" x="299" y="71"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_mccain_vs_obama-550.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Minnesota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;10&apos;,&apos;MN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MS" balloon="false" title="Mississippi" file="labels/Mississippi.png" x="360" y="241"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...s/mississippi_mccain_vs_obama-612.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Mississippi Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;6&apos;,&apos;MS&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MO" balloon="false" title="Missouri" file="labels/Missouri.png" x="324" y="172"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mo/missouri_mccain_vs_obama-545.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Missouri Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;MO&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3MT" balloon="false" title="Montana" file="labels/Montana.png" x="168" y="52"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mt/montana_mccain_vs_obama-614.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Montana Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;MT&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NE" balloon="false" title="Nebraska" file="labels/Nebraska.png" x="250" y="129"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ne/nebraska_mccain_vs_obama-616.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Nebraska Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NE&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NV" balloon="false" title="Nevada" file="labels/Nevada.png" x="86" y="135"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nv/nevada_mccain_vs_obama-252.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Nevada Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NV&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NH" balloon="false" title="New Hampshire" file="labels/New_Hampshire.png" x="474" y="29"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...new_hampshire_mccain_vs_obama-195.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Hampshire Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;NH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NJ" balloon="false" title="New Jersey" file="labels/New_Jersey.png" x="559" y="210"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nj/new_jersey_mccain_vs_obama-250.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Jersey Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NJ&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NM" balloon="false" title="New Mexico" file="labels/New_Mexico.png" x="184" y="216"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nm/new_mexico_mccain_vs_obama-448.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New Mexico Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;5&apos;,&apos;NM&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NY" balloon="false" title="New York" file="labels/New_York.png" x="486" y="87"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ny/new_york_mccain_vs_obama-343.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for New York Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;31&apos;,&apos;NY&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3NC" balloon="false" title="North Carolina" file="labels/North_Carolina.png" x="468" y="191"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...orth_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-334.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for North Carolina Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;15&apos;,&apos;NC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3ND" balloon="false" title="North Dakota" file="labels/North_Dakota.png" x="249" y="53"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../north_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-618.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for North Dakota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;ND&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3OH" balloon="false" title="Ohio" file="labels/Ohio.png" x="417" y="137"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_mccain_vs_obama-400.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Ohio Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;20&apos;,&apos;OH&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3OK" balloon="false" title="Oklahoma" file="labels/Oklahoma.png" x="274" y="210"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ok/oklahoma_mccain_vs_obama-620.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Oklahoma Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OK&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3OR" balloon="false" title="Oregon" file="labels/Oregon.png" x="64" y="73"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/or/oregon_mccain_vs_obama-548.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Oregon Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;7&apos;,&apos;OR&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3PA" balloon="false" title="Pennsylvania" file="labels/Pennsylvania.png" x="465" y="119"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../pennsylvania_mccain_vs_obama-244.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Pennsylvania Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;21&apos;,&apos;PA&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3RI" balloon="false" title="Rhode Island" file="labels/Rhode_Island.png" x="559" y="141"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../rhode_island_mccain_vs_obama-622.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Rhode Island Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;4&apos;,&apos;RI&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3SC" balloon="false" title="South Carolina" file="labels/South_Carolina.png" x="451" y="218"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...outh_carolina_mccain_vs_obama-624.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for South Carolina Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;8&apos;,&apos;SC&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3SD" balloon="false" title="South Dakota" file="labels/South_Dakota.png" x="248" y="92"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep.../south_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-626.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for South Dakota Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;5&apos;,&apos;3&apos;,&apos;SD&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/toss-up-change.gif" /></a></description></movie><movie oid="3TN" balloon="false" title="Tennessee" file="labels/Tennessee.png" x="392" y="195"><description><a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/tn/tennessee_mccain_vs_obama-572.html"><font color="#cc0000">Click Here for Tennessee Polls</font></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;1&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;2&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/dem-leaning-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;3&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img src="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/images/gop-solid-change.gif" /></a><br /><br /><a href="javascript:setVars(&apos;4&apos;,&apos;11&apos;,&apos;TN&apos;"><img 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State-by-State Changes Last 3 Months
<TABLE><TBODY><TR><TH>Date</TH><TH>State</TH><TH>Previous Status</TH><TH> </TH><TH>Current Status</TH><TH>RCP Electoral Count</TH><TH>RCP National Avg.</TH></TR><TR><TD>09/14</TD><TD>Minnesota</TD><TD class=leaning_obama>Leaning Obama</TD><TD>»»»</TD><TD class=toss_up>Toss Up</TD><TD>Obama 207 - McCain 227</TD><TD>McCain +2.1</TD></TR><TR><TD>09/13</TD><TD>Indiana</TD><TD class=toss_up>Toss Up</TD><TD>»»»</TD><TD class=leaning_mccain>Leaning McCain</TD><TD>Obama 217 - McCain 227</TD><TD>McCain +2.4</TD></TR><TR><TD>09/11</TD><TD>Florida</TD><TD class=toss_up>Toss Up</TD><TD>»»»</TD><TD class=leaning_mccain>Leaning McCain</TD><TD>Obama 217 - McCain 216</TD><TD>McCain +2.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>09/11</TD><TD>North Carolina</TD><TD class=leaning_mccain>Leaning McCain</TD><TD>»»»</TD><TD class=solid_mccain>Solid McCain</TD><TD>Obama 217 - McCain 216</TD><TD>McCain +2.5</TD></TR><TR><TD>09/11</TD><TD>Georgia</TD><TD class=leaning_mccain>Leaning McCain</TD><TD>»»»</TD><TD class=solid_mccain>Solid McCain</TD><TD>Obama 217 - McCain 216</TD><TD>McCain +2.5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Solid Obama Leaning Obama Solid McCain Leaning McCain Toss Up (Click Header to Sort)
State Obama (D) McCain (R) RCP Average RCP Status 2004 2000
Colorado (9) 47.3 46.7 Obama +0.6 Toss Up Bush +4.7 Bush +8.4
Ohio (20) 45.0 47.4 McCain +2.4 Toss Up Bush +2.1 Bush +3.5
Michigan (17) 47.2 45.2 Obama +2.0 Toss Up Kerry +3.4 Gore +5.2
Pennsylvania (21) 47.3 45.7 Obama +1.6 Toss Up Kerry +2.5 Gore +4.2
Virginia (13) 48.0 47.5 Obama +0.5 Toss Up Bush +8.2 Bush +8.1
Nevada (5) 44.6 45.6 McCain +1.0 Toss Up Bush +2.6 Bush +3.5
New Mexico (5) 47.0 44.7 Obama +2.3 Toss Up Bush +0.7 Gore +0.1
New Hampshire (4) 48.0 44.7 Obama +3.3 Toss Up Kerry +1.3 Bush +1.3
Minnesota (10) 49.0 44.3 Obama +4.7 Toss Up Kerry +3.5 Gore +2.4
Wisconsin (10) 47.0 41.7 Obama +5.3 Leaning Kerry +0.4 Gore +0.2
Florida (27) 43.5 49.8 McCain +6.3 Leaning Bush +5.0 Bush +0.1
Washington (11) 48.0 43.3 Obama +4.7 Leaning Kerry +8.2 Gore +5.5
Indiana (11) 43.3 48.0 McCain +4.7 Leaning Bush +20.7 Bush +15.7
New Jersey (15) 48.4 42.6 Obama +5.8 Leaning Kerry +6.7 Gore +15.8
Missouri (11) 43.7 50.3 McCain +6.6 Leaning Bush +7.2 Bush +3.3
Oregon (7) 48.7 42.0 Obama +6.7 Leaning Kerry +4.2 Gore +0.5
Montana (3) 40.0 49.0 McCain +9.0 Leaning Bush +20.5 Bush +25.0
Iowa (7) 51.5 41.8 Obama +9.7 Leaning Bush +0.7 Gore +0.3
Texas (34) 38.0 48.8 McCain +10.8 Solid Bush +22.9 Bush +21.3
North Carolina (15) 41.0 52.0 McCain +11.0 Solid Bush +12.4 Bush +12.8
Massachusetts (12) 51.3 38.7 Obama +12.6 Solid Kerry +25.1 Gore +27.3
Georgia (15) 40.3 53.7 McCain +13.4 Solid Bush +16.6 Bush +11.7
Mississippi (6) 40.3 55.0 McCain +14.7 Solid Bush +19.6 Bush +16.9
Kansas (6) 38.7 54.7 McCain +16.0 Solid Bush +25.4 Bush +20.8
Maine (4) 48.3 33.5 Obama +14.8 Solid Kerry +9.0 Gore +5.1
Kentucky (8) 38.3 54.3 McCain +16.0 Solid Bush +19.9 Bush +15.1
California (55) 51.3 38.7 Obama +12.6 Solid Kerry +9.9 Gore +11.8
Louisiana (9) 38.0 54.3 McCain +16.3 Solid Bush +14.5 Bush +7.7
Arkansas (6) 33.0 49.3 McCain +16.3 Solid Bush +9.7 Bush +5.4
New York (31) 52.7 39.7 Obama +13.0 Solid Kerry +18.3 Gore +25.0
Connecticut (7) 55.3 36.7 Obama +18.6 Solid Kerry +10.3 Gore +17.5
Tennessee (11) 36.3 55.0 McCain +18.7 Solid Bush +14.3 Bush +3.9
Alabama (9) 35.0 59.0 McCain +24.0 Solid Bush +25.7 Bush +14.9
Arizona (10) 37.3 49.0 McCain +11.7 Solid Bush +10.5 Bush +6.3
Illinois (21) 57.7 36.0 Obama +21.7 Solid Kerry +10.4 Gore +12.0

 

[D2bets]

If he doesn't have at least a 10 point lead come election day he has no shot at winning.

Keep spinning and dreaming. :missingte

 

[tocco05]

Keep spinning and dreaming. :missingte

It's called the Bradley effect. Trust me, it will have an impact.

 

[D2bets]

It's called the Bradley effect. Trust me, it will have an impact.

Keep dreaming and spinning. :missingte

"Bradley effect":
1. Was 30 years ago.
2. Wasn't a national election where the candidates are far more known and considered.
3. Polling is better now.

You're counting on racism to pull you through now. Classic.

 

[tocco05]

Keep dreaming and spinning. :missingte

"Bradley effect":
1. Was 30 years ago.
2. Wasn't a national election where the candidates are far more known and considered.
3. Polling is better now.

You're counting on racism to pull you through now. Classic.

I'm not counting on anything. I am just saying it will have an effect. I don't make the rules, I just play by them.

 

[D2bets]

Monday, August 11, 2008

The Persistent Myth of the Bradley Effect

Many commentators -- the preponderance of them conservative but also some liberals -- take it as an article of faith that the current polling numbers overstate Barack Obama's position because of the so-called Bradley Effect: the notion that some material number of voters will lie about their intentions to pollsters, claiming that they will vote for a black candidate when in fact they will vote for the white guy.

A fairly typical example comes in the form of a blind quote from a Democratic strategist this morning at The Politico:

A huge challenge for Obama, insiders say, is simply determining how much skin color will matter in November. Race is nearly impossible to poll – no one ever says “I’m a racist” – and no campaign wants it revealed they are even asking questions on the issue.

“It’s the uncertainty that kills me – we know it’s going to be factor, but how big a factor?” asks a Democratic operative with ties to the Obama camp. “How do you even measure such a thing?"​

Is there really so much uncertainty as this "operative" implies? Black candidates run races every cycle for the Congress and for the Governor's Mansion, and academics have spent copious time dissecting those results. And while we've never before had a major party nominate a black man for President, we did just finish an exceptionally competitive primary campaign in which a black candidate ran against an extremely popular white candidate with more than 35 million voters participating.

As we have described here before, polling numbers from the primaries suggested no presence of a Bradley Effect. On the contrary, it was Barack Obama -- not Hillary Clinton -- who somewhat outperformed his polls on Election Day.

The table below reflects 31 states in which at least three separate polls were released within 14 days of that state's primary or caucus. We compare the final trendline estimate from Pollster.com against the actual results from that state:

On average, Barack Obama overperformed the Pollster.com trendline by 3.3 points on election day.

There are some important differences by region. Using regions as defined by the US Census Bureau, Barack Obama overperformed his polls by an average of 7.2 points in the South. This effect appears to be most substantial in states with larger black populations; I have suggested before that it might stem from a sort of reverse Bradley Effect in which black voters were reluctant to disclose to a (presumed) white interviewer that they were about to vote for a black candidate.

Obama also outperformed his polls in the Midwest and the West (although there is not much data to go on in the latter case). The one region where Hillary Clinton overperformed her numbers was in the Northeast, bettering the pre-election trendline by 1.8 points. Recall that the Bradley Effect phenomenon describes covert rather than overt manifestations of racism. It may be that in the Northeast, which is arguably the most "politically correct" region of the country, expressions of racism are the least socially acceptable, and that therefore some people may misstate their intentions to pollsters. By contrast, in the South and the Midwest, if people are racist they will usually be pretty open about it, and in the West, which is nation's most multicultural region, there may be relatively little racism, either expressed or implicit.

The good news for Barack Obama is that, among the Northeastern states, only New Hampshire appears to be competitive -- and Obama would gladly trade a Bradley Effect in New Hampshire for a reverse Bradley Effect in a state like North Carolina. (Pennsylvania, it should be noted, is also defined by the Census Bureau as being in the Northeast, but in terms of political demography, it shares far more in common with the Midwest).

So why do we keep hearing so much about the Bradley Effect? Apart from the fact that it is a good way to fill column space on a slow news day, it seems that there are three or four reasons why the myth perpetuates itself:

1. Misunderstanding the Bradley Effect. Denying the existence of the Bradley Effect does not mean denying that some people vote on the basis of race. I have no doubt that some people will vote against Barack Obama because he is black. Indeed, I suspect that almost all of us either know such people, or know people who know them (friends and relatives of friends). I also have no doubt, by the way, that some people will vote for Barack Obama because he is black.

But the Bradley Effect is not an argument about whether people vote based on race. It's an argument about whether people will lie to pollsters. So long as race-based voters are honest about their intentions, Barack Obama's position is no worse than it appears to be in the polls.

2. Confusing Past with Present. There is fairly strong academic evidence that the Bradley Effect used to exist back in the 1980s and early 1990s. However, the evidence is just as strong that it does not exist any longer. The people who vouch for the existence of the Bradley Effect are not wrong so much as they are relying on dated evidence.

3. Confusing Exit Polls with pre-Election Polls. Unlike the normal, pre-election polls, exit polls conducted on the day of the election did substantially overstate Barack Obama's margins throughout the primaries. This is something to keep in mind at about 5 PM on November 4, when Matt Drudge and Jim Geraghty begin to leak exit poll results. It is not anything to worry about now, when we are trying to forecast the outcome from pre-election polling.

Nor is it clear the the discrepancies in the exit polls have anything to do with race; John Kerry, somewhat infamously, also underperformed his exit polls. The mechanics of conducting an exit poll are rather haphazard, involving a bunch of college kids and temp workers running around outside a polling place with clipboards and attempting to pass out survey forms to every Nth voter who leaves the ballot booth. This is not much easier than it sounds, and introduces a lot of human error and other forms of sample bias. For this reason, exit polls are not really intended to be used as they so frequently are in the panicked hours before ballot counting begins -- the results need to be calibrated and weighted, and exit polling firms rely on comparing their polls against actual voting results in order to do so.

4. Cherry Picking Results. The notion of the Bradley Effect gained a lot of currency after the New Hampshire primary, when Hillary Clinton did much better than anyone expected and won the state. However, the 8.9-point gap separating the pre-election polls and the actual results in New Hampshire represented only the seventh-largest error in the primaries. There were bigger discrepancies in Iowa, South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia, Wisconsin and Mississippi, all of which favored Barack Obama. These discrepancies did not receive as much attention as New Hampshire because they did not change the outcome of the election. But mathematically speaking, they were just as important.

A related phenomenon is that the media often cherry-picks polling results within a given state. The Zogby poll that had Barack Obama ahead by 13 points in California received widespread attention; the SurveyUSA result that had Clinton 10 points ahead did not. Over the course of the primaries, polling results that had Barack Obama performing well generally made for better copy, since until at least mid-February, Obama was considered the underdog. But an informed reading of the polls, such as the Pollster.com method, reveals that Clinton did not overperform in states like California and Ohio nearly so much as the media tried to imply.

-- Nate Silver at 6:50 AM

 

[tocco05]

We shall see.

 

[Willie99]

guys, we have a dog fight, that's all we know for sure

the polls are trending towards BO since the Wall St shit hit the fan on Friday, party of sitting President takes a hit

The stuff that matters:

economy, if things continue to be as negative as they have been, big advantage BO

debates

turnout, traditional Republican advantage

race, how many people will not vote for an AA on election day. This appeared to be an issue during the primaries, as Obama usually didn't do as well as his polling numbers suggested