*****G-Man's NFL Conferene Championship Plays*****

[G-Man!]

Regular Season Final.. 110-71 (60.7%). + $11,680.00

Playoffs. WC Sides 5-1. +2100.00
Over/Under 0-1.-550. (included in week net$).
Futures. 0-2. -700.00

Year to date: 115-73. 61%
Curent Net. +13,090.00

Division sides. 1-3. -3210.00
Totals 0-1. -220.00 (Combined^. -3430.00)

Year to date: 116-77. (60%) . $+9,660.00

Sunday
3:00PM
Chiefs +3.5 VS Ravens. (Wait until update on injuries).
I WILL POST THE PLAY ON SUNDAY or before with injury update pending.

Ravens have everything going their way. They played the weakest playoff team - Houston.
In this game they are now playing the best.
Many are looking ahead to the SB with SF, mainly because Baltimore beat SF 33-19 in SF a few weeks ago. Thats a reason why the Ravens are favored today. They are the favorite to make it to the SB.
Not so fast My friend...<(Lee Corso)
That game was marred by a neck stinger on Purdy which took him out of the game and SF coughed up 5 turnovers. . Other wise SF likely wins that game.

KC has played well vs teams that have running QB's. Just ask Buffalo.
One concern here is that KC has 7 players that are ? for this game.
Most important is Safety Mike Edwards. He's suffering from a concussion.

Thuney (LG) is also ? Hes a big part of the O-line. So is OL Morris, who is another solid player. Missing those two could be a huge problem against the Ravens blitzes.
Check the injury status before game time..


6:30PM
San Fran -7 over Detroit. Will post units after injury updates. Check back <
SF lost 4 of their 5 games when Purdy, Samuel or McCafferty went out this year. The biggest loss was vs Baltimore, in which the Ravens shut down the two stars to under 100 yards combined with passing yards.
Kittle was the leading receiver with over 100 yds. McCaffery ran for 1126 yds.
SF had 5 int's and Purdy was suffering from a stinger in the game and left with Darnold replacing him.
SF was pathetic in those 4 games averaging only 17 points. None over 19.
The 5th loss was with backups vs the Rams in a meaningless game in week 18.
NOTE: Check statuus on Samuel before placing a bet.

Detroit has the worst passing defense of all the playoff teams! They faced the 2 lowest scoring NFC teams in the playoffs?
Now they're playing the #3 defense and the #2 offense in the NFL.

The Lions do have the surprising # 3 offense in the NFC. Only Dallas#1 and SF#2 was better after the season ended..
Lets not forget what SF did to Dallas(42-10)...while Detroit lost to Dallas by one point.

Dallas had 4 turnovers at SF.
The SF loss to Baltimore was a 5 turnover game by SF.

Detroit's last 5 road games were bad defensively as they allowed 24 to Minnesota, 28 to Da Bears, 28 at New Orleans and 38 at the Chargers . Only the last game with Dallas was the defense any good. And the Packers showed us how weak Dallas really was.

SF has the best defense (18 pts/gm) in the NFC and thats what wins this one.

 

[phdinsports]

Regular Season Final.. 110-71 (60.7%). + $11,680.00

Playoffs. WC Sides 5-1. +2100.00
Over/Under 0-1.-550. (included in week net$).
Futures. 0-2. -700.00

Year to date: 115-73. 61%
Curent Net. +13,090.00

Division sides. 1-3. -3210.00
Totals 0-1. -220.00 (Combined^. -3430.00)

Year to date: 116-77. (60%) . $+9,660.00

Sunday
3:00PM
Chiefs +3.5 VS Ravens. (Wait until update on injuries).
I WILL POST THE PLAY ON SUNDAY or before with injury update pending.

Ravens have everything going their way. They played the weakest playoff team - Houston.
In this game they are now playing the best.
Many are looking ahead to the SB with SF, mainly because Baltimore beat SF 33-19 in SF a few weeks ago. Thats a reason why the Ravens are favored today. They are the favorite to make it to the SB.
Not so fast My friend...<(Lee Corso)
That game was marred by a neck stinger on Purdy which took him out of the game and SF coughed up 5 turnovers. . Other wise SF likely wins that game.

KC has played well vs teams that have running QB's. Just ask Buffalo.
One concern here is that KC has 7 players that are ? for this game.
Most important is Safety Mike Edwards. He's suffering from a concussion.

Thuney (LG) is also ? Hes a big part of the O-line. So is OL Morris, who is another solid player. Missing those two could be a huge problem against the Ravens blitzes.
Check the injury status before game time..


6:30PM
San Fran -7 over Detroit. Will post units after injury updates. Check back <
SF lost 4 of their 5 games when Purdy, Samuel or McCafferty went out this year. The biggest loss was vs Baltimore, in which the Ravens shut down the two stars to under 100 yards combined with passing yards.
Kittle was the leading receiver with over 100 yds. McCaffery ran for 1126 yds.
SF had 5 int's and Purdy was suffering from a stinger in the game and left with Darnold replacing him.
SF was pathetic in those 4 games averaging only 17 points. None over 19.
The 5th loss was with backups vs the Rams in a meaningless game in week 18.
NOTE: Check statuus on Samuel before placing a bet.

Detroit has the worst passing defense of all the playoff teams! They faced the 2 lowest scoring NFC teams in the playoffs?
Now they're playing the #3 defense and the #2 offense in the NFL.

The Lions do have the surprising # 3 offense in the NFC. Only Dallas#1 and SF#2 was better after the season ended..
Lets not forget what SF did to Dallas(42-10)...while Detroit lost to Dallas by one point.

Dallas had 4 turnovers at SF.
The SF loss to Baltimore was a 5 turnover game by SF.

Detroit's last 5 road games were bad defensively as they allowed 24 to Minnesota, 28 to Da Bears, 28 at New Orleans and 38 at the Chargers . Only the last game with Dallas was the defense any good. And the Packers showed us how weak Dallas really was.

SF has the best defense (18 pts/gm) in the NFC and thats what wins this one.

The real reason the lost the 4 meaningful games was Silverback was hurt/out. As long as he's healthy Niners should role!

 

[MedicalMaryJ]

Hey GMan! Great playoffs so far. Just a little insight from my perspective since you have so many useful nuggets, I thought I would share a few of mine.

I would go over on NFC game. Don't think SF 18 points per game will hold up against the best Oline and slot Wr in the NFL. That is a deadly combination. Reminds me of the Pats back in their prime. I would take a good hard look at the stark difference in defense that Buff vs Balt is trotting out. KC wrs caught everything last week. Doubt that happens again. Hard to lay the -3.5 though. I think I'm going to tease the ravens to +3.5 and leave an open spot for the Superbowl.

Tough to go against DET. They have played with all the pressure against them, and now they play with house money. Either QB can shit the bed. Unfortunately for DET, GB was hotter than hot. They were suppose to make this title game. They would probably beat the lions if they played. Goff isn't Love. But the Packers OLine handled the SF Dline early, what are the lions going to do? I would probably go DET Team Total over in that game. DET has equal amount of weapons as SF does if Debo is out. Kittle Cmac Ayuik. Gibbs,.Laporta, St Brown. You can't tell me Purdy is that much better than Goff. Most would think so, but Goff has been here before. Purdy hasn't( last year CLEARLY doesn't count). Plus Goff is literally a whole different person when he's suppose to lose. House money Goff is a different breed. Just my two cents. Although the one thing that scares me in Shanny vs Cambpell. That could be a blood bath. Best of luck!!

 

[MedicalMaryJ]

Edit

 

[fredo777]

Nice write up G-Man as usual . Thank you.
I'm shocked it's at KC+4. I can't pass up Mahomes with all his weapons at full strength.
I see him scrambling like a madman all over the field and making some big plays and
keeping the game close. I wouldn't be surprised if they win. I'm taking the Chiefs +4.
I'm betting more props in the Det-SF game. I don't trust Detroit's play calling and I
think there will be a lot of scoring with Det possibly getting a back door cover.
My bet is Over 51.
Good luck to all

 

[Loves2kickass]

Nice write up G-Man as usual . Thank you.
I'm shocked it's at KC+4. I can't pass up Mahomes with all his weapons at full strength.
I see him scrambling like a madman all over the field and making some big plays and
keeping the game close. I wouldn't be surprised if they win. I'm taking the Chiefs +4.
I'm betting more props in the Det-SF game. I don't trust Detroit's play calling and I
think there will be a lot of scoring with Det possibly getting a back door cover.
My bet is Over 51.
Good luck to all

From a book manager at Westgate. If the game was played during the regular season the line would be Baltimore -6. The reason it wasn't for this game is solely due to Mahomes in a playoff game. I'm not suprised its -4 at all. Baltimore is clearly the better team and are at home.

 

[G-Man!]

Hey GMan! Great playoffs so far. Just a little insight from my perspective since you have so many useful nuggets, I thought I would share a few of mine.

I would go over on NFC game. Don't think SF 18 points per game will hold up against the best Oline and slot Wr in the NFL. That is a deadly combination. Reminds me of the Pats back in their prime. I would take a good hard look at the stark difference in defense that Buff vs Balt is trotting out. KC wrs caught everything last week. Doubt that happens again. Hard to lay the -3.5 though. I think I'm going to tease the ravens to +3.5 and leave an open spot for the Superbowl.

Tough to go against DET. They have played with all the pressure against them, and now they play with house money. Either QB can shit the bed. Unfortunately for DET, GB was hotter than hot. They were suppose to make this title game. They would probably beat the lions if they played. Goff isn't Love. But the Packers OLine handled the SF Dline early, what are the lions going to do? I would probably go DET Team Total over in that game. DET has equal amount of weapons as SF does if Debo is out. Kittle Cmac Ayuik. Gibbs,.Laporta, St Brown.

SF should exceed the season averages on offensive scoring and get past the 33 avg Detroit gave up in the last 5 road games. Lean the over with you - but Detroit needs to get more than 17 to do it. CK weather forcast first .Could be a back door score....

You can't tell me Purdy is that much better than Goff. Most would think so, but Goff has been here before. Purdy hasn't( last year CLEARLY doesn't count).

Purdy was facing the best defense last year before he was injured in the beginning of the champioship game in Philly. That game showed that he was on his targets much like the whole season and the Eagles likely wouldnt stop him - he was 4/4 and went out minutes into the game.
I expect him to play far better against the worst pass defense (#31) of all the playoff teams and the Lions were no better at home last week allowing the Buc's roll up 391 yds in Detroit.
They suck on road games and traveling to SF, where it will be much like when Detroit went to Baltimore.. and lost 38-6.
Thats what this line is based on.. In Baltimore they were +3... - in SF they are +7. This one will be similar.
If Samuel isnt 100%, SF wins and covers.
If he plays at full speed SF should win by much more.

I posted that Kittle was good for 126 yards vs Baltimore - that could also tell me he will do as well vs the Lions. Now add McCaffrey and Samuel and look out...

Detroit road games were horrendous in the last 5 away as they were out yarded by 3 of the 5 teams and allowed 33 pts per game. Not good.. None were anywhere as good as SF. Showing what they did in the Dome at Home was NOT impressive with the Tampa game..

Plus Goff is literally a whole different person when he's suppose to lose. House money Goff is a different breed. Just my two cents. Although the one thing that scares me in Shanny vs Cambpell. That could be a blood bath. Best of luck!!

They weren't supposed to lose much - they were only the underdog three times all year until this week.
KC week one. Baltimore and Dallas <who we know is a choke team. All were road games.

The +7 Line is very generous for a team that was only a dog by +3,+3,+4.5 and the public is flooding in on them @ 66%!.
Vegas is driving the masses to Detroit...Much like when They drove Alabama bettors against Georgia 2 years ago inNational Champ Game.

BOL on all your plays. Thanks for the feedback. Many great points.

 

[MLB]

I like Kittle over 58.5 receiving yds for the game.

Probably playing more props in the Det/SF game because I don't trust either coach. Shanahan can get too cute at times and Campbell's gambling nature could put Detroit in a big hole early.

My favorite prop for this game is over 4.5 sacks

 

[exploited17]

From a book manager at Westgate. If the game was played during the regular season the line would be Baltimore -6. The reason it wasn't for this game is solely due to Mahomes in a playoff game. I'm not suprised its -4 at all. Baltimore is clearly the better team and are at home.

Regular season and playoffs are a completely different season.
I got no strong opinion though. I lean KC.
Ravens defense might be a bit too strong though.
Interesting to see if KC blitzes Leemah or tries to keep him in the pocket.
Probably just watching. Much better opportunities in basketball imo.
I like to enjoy the playoffs unless I really feel there is an opportunity and I think there might be in the SB. But who knows.
GL all

 

[G-Man!]

Chiefs +4 10 units
ML +180 5 units
Chiefs+3 (ev). 1st Half. 3 units

 

[indiana]

G/man......BOLwith your action buddy.....indy

 

[vinnyvegas]

GL GMan. Appears KC injuries are not of concern. My fear is the guys you mentioned, Thuney out, and others listed last I’ve seen turns this into a Bills scenario where they just kept falling off field and patch work kept occurring to no avail. I haven’t seen official status yet of all, other than Thuney out. Certainly hard to go against KC as Dogs. GL today buddy.

 

[G-Man!]

Chiefs +4 10 units
ML +180 5 units
Chiefs+3 (ev). 1st Half. 3 units

G/man......BOLwith your action buddy.....indy

Thanks Indy !

GL GMan. Appears KC injuries are not of concern. My fear is the guys you mentioned, Thuney out, and others listed last I’ve seen turns this into a Bills scenario where they just kept falling off field and patch work kept occurring to no avail. I haven’t seen official status yet of all, other than Thuney out. Certainly hard to go against KC as Dogs. GL today buddy.

Thanks Vinny.

Choices are mostly based on who played who to get here.

Ravens played a soft team -Houston. Chiefs payed the better team by-far away -Buffalo,
Lions played an average team -Tampa, while SF played a better team with GB.

In common opponent games when team played starters - SF was superior to Detroit with common opponents.
SF crushed Dallas and easily beat Tampa,. while Detroit lost to Dallas and struggled with Tampa.
Both Det/Tampa games were close in stats. Turnovers were the difference for Det wins.

Lions lost to GB while SF beat GB.

Moving this game to SF is advantage to SF.
Lions are bad in ways games.

Detroit lost to Balt 38-6
SF lost to Balt 33-19 on 5 turnovers.

 

[JohnnyMags]

That's a lot of wisdom .... Good Luck Bud hope you nail it today as usual

 

[G-Man!]

SF -7. 15 units
SF -4. 1st Half., 5 units

 

[ballerhanz]

Big play. Good luck

 

[vinnyvegas]

SF -7. 15 units
SF -4. 1st Half., 5 units

Love it

 

[XENO]

Bol G go sf

 

[G-Man!]

Chiefs +4 10 units............................W+1000
ML +180 5 units................................W+900
Chiefs+3 (ev). 1st Half. 3 units.......W+300

SF -7. 15 units.........................L-1650
SF -4. 1st Half., 5 units...........L-550

W+2200.
L-2200.
Day total. 3-2. +0.00

Year to date: 119-79. (60%) . $+9,660.00

 

[fredo777]

Nice write up G-Man as usual . Thank you.
I'm shocked it's at KC+4. I can't pass up Mahomes with all his weapons at full strength.
I see him scrambling like a madman all over the field and making some big plays and
keeping the game close. I wouldn't be surprised if they win. I'm taking the Chiefs +4.
I'm betting more props in the Det-SF game. I don't trust Detroit's play calling and I
think there will be a lot of scoring with Det possibly getting a back door cover.
My bet is Over 51.
Good luck to all

2-0. I'll take it.