This is it.
Hit my 25 unit play yesterday on KC and went 3-1 on the day with Packers and over.
KC and Houston were full of scores from turnovers but as I wrote up for that game, they (KC) have a far better defense at this point on the season. They actually held Houston to 10 points offensively, which would have kept the total under the 51, if you also didnt have just as many turnover points from Houston allowing KC to score 51. KC rolls next week,
Clemson +5.5 over LSU. 25 units.
Clemson ML +180. 25 units
Many will have good reason to bet either team in this one. Bottom line is who wins and covers?
Over the years Ive stuck to several capping factors that usually produce a winner ATS. Im my methods I usually ignore the rankings of the teams involved. It never means a thing except for the public that is a casual bettor and involved in Board squares at parties who make few bets per year. Thats just my opinion.
In this game Im looking for reasons that are compelling enough to expect a winning outcome. None of what Im saying is very revealing in print, but its path Im on in deciding who Im betting on.
First.
Level of competition both team played to get here.
LSU definitely played the softer schedule in my opinion. In Fact - Oklahoma was such a poorly prepared opponent. What was exposed in that game, was how slow all the DB's and LB's were for the Sooners. It was vivid - and when you dont see teams playing against other speedy teams, youre lost, in judging how good they are.
LSU would have struggled if they played Ohio State and likely would have lost. They re here because they played Oklahoma.
Clemson played a better bunch of teams and the last game against tOSU was a hard fought win. Lots of errors on the Buckeyes produced the loss for them, but make no mistake about how good Clemson really is. They held the Buckeyes to their lowest scoring game of the season. Also, Clemson actually scored the most points that the Buckeyes also gave up on the season. Those 2 factors cannot be ignored. Those facts are massive in picking the winner for this game today.
Second.
The main factor here is that Clemson does have the best defense in this game. When tested - by what may have been the best team in the bowl games, they did everything needed to win against Ohio State. They have no weak components. If Ohio State would have won that game, Clemson would still be better than LSU would have been against the Buckeyes.
LSU quarterback Burrows is fantastic but he wasn't always this good. He left Ohio State because he wasn't going to start. QB for Clemson has won 25 straight and takes no back seat to Burrows. There was no team that LSU faced this season with a quarterback as good as Trevor lawrence , but Clemson has has a good dose of the high caliber QB Fields on Ohio State.
Burrow wil have his moment - but in the end - it will be Clemson who takes all the marbles.
My Top College Game of the year for me. -Clemson.
Hit my 25 unit play yesterday on KC and went 3-1 on the day with Packers and over.
KC and Houston were full of scores from turnovers but as I wrote up for that game, they (KC) have a far better defense at this point on the season. They actually held Houston to 10 points offensively, which would have kept the total under the 51, if you also didnt have just as many turnover points from Houston allowing KC to score 51. KC rolls next week,
Clemson +5.5 over LSU. 25 units.
Clemson ML +180. 25 units
Many will have good reason to bet either team in this one. Bottom line is who wins and covers?
Over the years Ive stuck to several capping factors that usually produce a winner ATS. Im my methods I usually ignore the rankings of the teams involved. It never means a thing except for the public that is a casual bettor and involved in Board squares at parties who make few bets per year. Thats just my opinion.
In this game Im looking for reasons that are compelling enough to expect a winning outcome. None of what Im saying is very revealing in print, but its path Im on in deciding who Im betting on.
First.
Level of competition both team played to get here.
LSU definitely played the softer schedule in my opinion. In Fact - Oklahoma was such a poorly prepared opponent. What was exposed in that game, was how slow all the DB's and LB's were for the Sooners. It was vivid - and when you dont see teams playing against other speedy teams, youre lost, in judging how good they are.
LSU would have struggled if they played Ohio State and likely would have lost. They re here because they played Oklahoma.
Clemson played a better bunch of teams and the last game against tOSU was a hard fought win. Lots of errors on the Buckeyes produced the loss for them, but make no mistake about how good Clemson really is. They held the Buckeyes to their lowest scoring game of the season. Also, Clemson actually scored the most points that the Buckeyes also gave up on the season. Those 2 factors cannot be ignored. Those facts are massive in picking the winner for this game today.
Second.
The main factor here is that Clemson does have the best defense in this game. When tested - by what may have been the best team in the bowl games, they did everything needed to win against Ohio State. They have no weak components. If Ohio State would have won that game, Clemson would still be better than LSU would have been against the Buckeyes.
LSU quarterback Burrows is fantastic but he wasn't always this good. He left Ohio State because he wasn't going to start. QB for Clemson has won 25 straight and takes no back seat to Burrows. There was no team that LSU faced this season with a quarterback as good as Trevor lawrence , but Clemson has has a good dose of the high caliber QB Fields on Ohio State.
Burrow wil have his moment - but in the end - it will be Clemson who takes all the marbles.
My Top College Game of the year for me. -Clemson.