FYI: regarding Troys next game...
Ok, I thought I share a heads up for all of those who have all of a sudden bought into this Troy team based on their two big Upset victories...I would be careful if thinking of backing them in next weeks games...one reason is because of the hangover effect which we all know does exist after a Big Upset like this Missouri game...which BTW is the biggest upset in Troy schools history...
Troy will now be going on the road to play New Mexico State next week...Most Sun Belt polls had Troy finishing 2nd in the League behind N. Texas, but they also had New Mexico St finishing right behind them in third...
New Mexico next week will be playing their first home opener, so the crowd will be loud and excited of course, especially since they are expecting to have a solid conference year from the Aggies...The Aggies only return 3 starters on Offense, but they do return a solid RB and their duo QB tandom which they have been using for the last 3 years in QB Pierce and QB Dombrowski will once again be used to run the offense...QB Pierce is the passer of the duo and was one of last years most effecient passers in the nation with a 69% completion percentage...QB Dombrowski is the rushing threat of the duo...
The Aggies Defense though, is where the strength of this team will lie...They are returning 10 starters, which include the best LB corp in the League...Some have them as possibly the best overall defense in the league this year, and that is also why they are expected to finish so high in the conference this year.
Coming into this game vs Troy, the Aggies should find themselves sitting at 0-2 after facing California this week...If so, I expect that they will be a sizable dog at home in this one vs the 2-0 Troy Trojans...If so, I think NMST will have a lot of line value, and also very good situational setup edges on their side in this one...
Last year, the Aggies were only 3-9, but they lost 5 of those games by a TD or less...
Some pre-season publications have predicted for the Aggies to win this game vs Troy at home...but it was with the thinking that Troy will come in at 0-2 or 1-1 at best, of course losing to Missouri....That loss to Missouri didnt happen, but I am feeling that because of the win, Troy may be hurt with regards to the hangover(letdown) effect is concerned after such a monumental victory...as well as, being installed as a road favorite in this game on the road, to a very dangerous team who is also picked to finish 3rd in the league and playing its first home opener, seems to be a role they may not be able to handle to well...
I dont know, but I think that next weeks game vs this NMST team could result in a Troy defeat....It is hard for a team to get up to play another team, who they know finished 3-9 last season, especially after beating the likes of Marshall and nationally ranked Missouri...I think Troy may get a rude awakening in this one...and is in a good spot for a letdown...If they are favored by more than a TD, we better think about jumping on NMST fast...I see an upset or at least a close game in this one and having points with the home team, facing a team coming off a HUGE Upset win, should be very valuable commodity and should result in another loss by way of the "Hangover Effect"...Keep an eye on this one Gang...GL and Aloha CC.
BTW, please share your opinions of info on this one if you got any....thanks.