Futures to win BCS--just want to stir the s@#t a little

[droculus]

These are the only teams I think even have a chance. Who outside of TX and PSU has the best chance?
Tx +200
PSU +200
Bama +550
OK +1000
TxTch +1500
USC +285
UGA +900
Fla +800

Lets assume PSU or TX lose one game but not both. If they win out then they both play for the title. Agreed???

Bama at +550?? Remaining regular season schedule looks favorable but Could they beat TX or PSU if they make it?? Can they beat Fla or GA(again) in the SEC championship game? Possibly but I dont think so.

UGA/Fla at +900/+800??? Only one these can obviously make it. Fla beats UGA next week and wins the SEC championship game. Do they get in if PSU or TX slips up? Yes. Because USC will lose again.

USC at +285?? Think they still have a loss in them?? Slip up at Cal or ND??

TxTech at +1500?? They beat TX/OK/OK St and they have to play for the title. Would like to be getting about +5000 for this.

OK at +1000?? If TX loses (prob to TxTech is the only chance) and TxTch loses one of their games(which is likely) OK still wont get past TX for the Big 12 championship game right? I say no chance but Id like to here what you guys think.

My vote is with Florida if PSU or TX lose.

 

[Rolltideroll]

I think Florida is best value up there.Texas and Penn State at 2-1 is a horrible deal.

 

[sarcean]

If you want to take UGA or UF..you better do it before this Sat. The value of whichever team wins the cocktail party will go way down

 

[sarcean]

Alabama at +550 even though they are #2 in the BCS, computers, polls, and get in over PSU?

 

[HolyBuckeye]

Alabama at +550 even though they are #2 in the BCS, computers, polls, and get in over PSU?

Penn State has about 60% chance of going undefeated and Alabama has a little over a 25% chance. That's why.

 

[droculus]

I think Florida is best value up there.Texas and Penn State at 2-1 is a horrible deal.

Agree. I was trying to figure out best value and Florida looked most logical. They have a lot of team speed and look like a favorite to win SEC.

Sarcean-- Absolutely right. PSU/Tx at 2-1 aren't worth looking at with 4 games left in season. Man, wouldnt TxTech cinderella be nice. They would need a miraculous finish to the season but if they did it that would put them in the title game. But like I said I think the true odds of running that gauntlet are about 500-1. Maybe a small bet on them before they beat texas this weekend...(kidding--I see a very small chance TxTech wins)

 

[Furmanski]

Agree. I was trying to figure out best value and Florida looked most logical. They have a lot of team speed and look like a favorite to win SEC.

Sarcean-- Absolutely right. PSU/Tx at 2-1 aren't worth looking at with 4 games left in season. Man, wouldnt TxTech cinderella be nice. They would need a miraculous finish to the season but if they did it that would put them in the title game. But like I said I think the true odds of running that gauntlet are about 500-1. Maybe a small bet on them before they beat texas this weekend...(kidding--I see a very small chance TxTech wins)

The bad thing about TxTech is that they have to beat UT, Okie St AND OU (at OU) to get into the Big XII championship game. That will be an enormous task and almost not worth the price IMO, regardless of the fact it is +1500.

If UT, OU and TxTech all end up with 1 loss in the conference, you have to figure that UT and/or OU will be ranked higher in the BCS standings.