Friday: Upset in the West

Search

Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2011
Messages
6,190
Tokens
St. Louis ML +178. One unit. Kershaw is the best, but Wainwright is in the conversation. In fact, Wainwright pitched better than Kershaw in September, and is a "big game" pitcher without doubt. He might be the better competitor despite Kershaw's usual dominance. St. Louis also has the much deeper bullpen although with Kershaw on the mound it may not be a factor. I also think in the playoffs you can throw off much of the regular season stats, as if it's a new season. Lester and Shields both got knocked around, Scherzer lost, and certain hitters all of a sudden get hot. The Dodgers were hot again in the 2nd half, but St. Louis ended the season 19-9, and didn't play the hopeless Rockies, Cubs, and D-Backs almost every game, like LA did. The Cards looked awful vs. Boston in the WS last year, but it seemed as if god was on the Red Sox side, getting every break and making every play when needed. (Did Ortiz sell his soul?) But other than that, St. Louis has been a club of overachieving, fielding well, playing smart. The Dodgers are the team under pressure, and have the mercurial Puig to handle. I also think the +178 is a bargain considering all factors of this game. Kershaw never loses? He got hit hard in his last game of last year's playoffs.
 

Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2011
Messages
6,190
Tokens
Even though the total is very low, it's tempting to consider the under. This could be a 1-0 or 2-1 game. Or the under in the first 5. But then again, one 3 run HR after a walk and a bloop single and your under is shot.
 

Member
Joined
Oct 8, 2009
Messages
2,782
Tokens
I don't think the Cards can win, but I think there is tremendous value in this line with Wainwright on the bump. It should be a good series. I think the Dodgers will win, but I think -175ish is way too high. The disparity isn't that large.
 

New member
Joined
Sep 26, 2011
Messages
1,438
Tokens
I don't think the Cards can win, but I think there is tremendous value in this line with Wainwright on the bump. It should be a good series. I think the Dodgers will win, but I think -175ish is way too high. The disparity isn't that large.

i feel like we've had this conversation before in person lol. i agree with everything here. -175 is just way too much. esp going against a winning Cardinals team with Wainwright. -145 at most imo
 

EV Whore
Joined
Apr 18, 2006
Messages
19,918
Tokens
+178 for a pitcher like Wainwright, who has a WHIP under 1 on the road this year and under 0.8 in his last 3 starts...is just too much value to pass up. And I hate Stl.

+1.5 -145 is worth considering with a total this low too...
 

"Who's winning?"
Joined
Sep 21, 2004
Messages
4,454
Tokens
hey, like checking out your plays, I live in NW Portland
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,917
Messages
13,575,193
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com