Friday service play thread August 2, 2019

[bmd1803]

DR. CHUCK


Game: (953) New York Mets at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 2 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +105

View Analysis

Matz v. Williams

Matz just shut them out...opens as a -125 favorite and with 3 of 4 bet tickets backing the Metropolitans tonight...the line is closer to the dollar and a favorite flip! Getting a home team and a solid starter with a day in between the Reds insanity to be home and prepare! Pirates are value extraordinaire

Game: (967) Los Angeles Angels at (968) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 2 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)

View Analysis

Peters v. Clevinger

Indians since the start of 2017 season when Clevinger is off a performance similar to his last start...are 10-0 SU and RL at home winning by an average of 7-2 in those games. Dillon Peters is on the mound for the visiting Halos, and is a full on xFIP fade fella with his 3.04 ERA and damn near 6 xFIP at 5.94, and in his last 2 times out as a starter, he was more than just an opener going 5 and 4 innings. The Indians beat up on the Astros the other night, then got it back last night, but stay at home to face the Angels.

 

[sailfish]

DR. CHUCK


Game: (953) New York Mets at (954) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Aug 2 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +105

View Analysis

Matz v. Williams

Matz just shut them out...opens as a -125 favorite and with 3 of 4 bet tickets backing the Metropolitans tonight...the line is closer to the dollar and a favorite flip! Getting a home team and a solid starter with a day in between the Reds insanity to be home and prepare! Pirates are value extraordinaire

Game: (967) Los Angeles Angels at (968) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Aug 2 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Cleveland Indians -1.5 (-120)

View Analysis

Peters v. Clevinger

Indians since the start of 2017 season when Clevinger is off a performance similar to his last start...are 10-0 SU and RL at home winning by an average of 7-2 in those games. Dillon Peters is on the mound for the visiting Halos, and is a full on xFIP fade fella with his 3.04 ERA and damn near 6 xFIP at 5.94, and in his last 2 times out as a starter, he was more than just an opener going 5 and 4 innings. The Indians beat up on the Astros the other night, then got it back last night, but stay at home to face the Angels.

 

[sailfish]

DWAYNE BRYANTBASEBALL PLAYS

STREAKING! MLB TOTALS SYSTEM $$$$$
Game: (969) Detroit Tigers at (970) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Aug 2 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.5 (-105)

View Analysis

8:05 PM ET -- MLB

969 Detroit Tigers
970 Texas Rangers

PLAY: 1H UNDER 5.5 (-105)

BET SIZE: 4%

List Alexander & Lynn

4% play at 5.5 or higher
3% play at 5
No play below 5

DB's THOUGHTS:

Don't trust either of these bullpens (especially Detroit's), hence the 1H play here.

Detroit sends youngster Tyler Alexander to the mound. Alexander pitched well in two of his three starts. His last start was the roughest, when he allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in 4.1 innings in Seattle. The encouraging part was his 9/1 K/BB ratio.

Texas owns poor offensive numbers against lefties -- an 84 wRC+ (#28 of 30 MLB teams) and .30 BB/K (26th). I've mentioned several times this season how it is usually tough for a team when facing a lefty for the first time, and that should hold true in this one given how poorly Texas hits southpaws.

Texas' Lance Lynn faces a Detroit team averaging just 3.9 runs in road night games against righties. Lynn's 4.85 K/BB rate is #17 among the 132 starters who have tossed at least 50 innings this season.

Detroit's pathetic 73 wRC+ against righties is dead last in MLB, and its .26 BB/K versus righties is ahead of only the White Sox.

PLAY 1H UNDER.

 

[sailfish]

Seabass Mlb day : 400 cubs 400 cubs game over

 

[sailfish]

Miller locks

7:05 pm est mlb
boston red sox vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees (-128)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. Pittsburgh pirates

pick: New york mets (-110)

risk: 11 units

8:05 pm est mlb
detroit tigers vs. Texas rangers

pick: Texas rangers -1.5 (-134)

risk: 11 units

 

[ryangenero]

Football Jesus FREE CFL pick ( goes Sat : Calgary +pts) 56-18 so far football , 3-1 THUR

 

[sailfish]

KING CREOLE
2* LA Dodgers / San Diego under 9

 

[Pauliemitch]

Anyone have Steve Budin? I only ask because tonight he may be a Great Fade, and will help everyone! Thanks!

 

[sailfish]

Philly Guy - Phillies Mets Twins NYY

Augie J - Rockies

Champagne - Phillies

Dime Man - Indians Astros

 

[sailfish]

MLB(Bob Balfe)
7:05 PM EST
Rotation #965-966
Red Sox/Yankees Over 10.5 runs
Rodriguez/Paxton​

 

[MMfan]

[h=3]Mike Lundin [/h]TOP RATED 10* RED SOX @ YANKEES TOTAL
10* play on OVER
___________________________
8* play on NY Mets

__________________________
TOP RATED 10* MLB RUNLINE PLAY OF THE DAY
10* play on Houston Astros -1.5.

 

[B2B]

Pls let me know which one Faded or Faded them all.
thanks

 

[bmd1803]

Chris Jordan

1000* L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE in their home game against the San Diego Padres. As I release this play at 8 am Thursday, the number I see is Los Angeles -1' runs, -115.

 

[bmd1803]

Goodfella
3* CFL GOY
OTTAWA +7

2* Pittsburgh Pirates +105

 

[bmd1803]

Stats Analytics Sports

MLB

Risked 3 units to win 3.09 UNDER 10 +103 vs New York Yankees

Risked 3.39 units to win 3 OVER 9 -113 vs Cleveland Indians

Risked 3.36 units to win 3 UNDER 10 -112 vs Texas Rangers

Risked 3.36 units to win 3 UNDER 11 -112 vs Minnesota Twins

 

[bmd1803]

Rockdeman Sports

(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Boston Red Sox +123

 

[bmd1803]

Kevin Rogers

MLB - Chicago White Sox +170

The White Sox are coming off a rough homestand against the Marlins, Twins, and Mets by losing eight of ten games. Chicago travels to Philadelphia tonight to face the Phillies for a three-game interleague series. The Sox have won only two games since July 22, but both victories have come with Ivan Nova on the mound. Nova gets the start for the Sox tonight as the veteran right-hander allowed a total of two runs in his past two starts against Miami and Minnesota. I'll back Chicago as a heavy underdog here

 

[bmd1803]

Tony Mejia

MLB - Texas Rangers -1.5 runs (-140)

The Tigers are hopeful that rookie lefty Tyler Alexander can pick up his first victory but it's going to be a challenge against a Rangers lineup that scored five or more runs in five of their last six games to close July. Alexander has fared poorly in both his road starts and doesn't have much room for error since Rangers' ace Lance Lynn is taking the mound against Detroit and has won six of his last eight starts. Ride Texas -1.5 on the run line

 

[RobbieGould]

Seabass second update : 400 pirates , 400 Red Sox game under , 500 white Sox game over , 700 reds , 700 reds game under , 400 tigers RL, 500 Washington (WNBA)

 

[bmd1803]

Marco D'Angelo

4% Over 9 LAD/SDG