Friday, September 11, 2009...my rated play so far this year.

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4* 0-0
3* 4-3 (+3.5 units)
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Last night's Georgia Tech meltdown killed me! :ohno:


I have one play for tonight, which is a 4* play, my highest rated play. I will usually have around 10 of these a season, and I have been very successful with these over the years (usually win 80-90% each year, a few years at 100%). I'm buying the hook as I always do...better to be safe than sorry.


4* Colorado -3 (.5 bought at -125)

BOL tonight to all!

Hookem
 

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ive always tried to avoid buying pts on bigger bets. i figure if you like it enough to bet a high amount on it, u should not be worried by .5 pts. Thoughts?
 

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i always do it....i hate gettin beat by the hook..ill pay the juice on the push rather than pay the juiceand the wager on the loss
 

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ive always tried to avoid buying pts on bigger bets. i figure if you like it enough to bet a high amount on it, u should not be worried by .5 pts. Thoughts?

I used to think the same. According to the outcome of my capping of the game tonight, I expect and hope to see Colorado win by 14-17 points - or more. In the past, I would never buy the hook because I had what I considered a "sure thing" sitting in front of me.

However, I think much differently now. Even though I am extremely confident in Colorado, I am still going to buy the hook. You and I both know shit happens on some games, and things are never what some may call a "lock" or "guaranteed." There are only plays that present good/great possibilities for winning, and even those lose sometimes. It's all about winning more than losing. I have won much more than lost on my 4* plays throughout the years, but always cautious of those few loses that do occur.

Therefore, I figure only ten dollars more for half a point is little money to risk considering the amount already at risk. Buying the hook has saved my ass a couple of times. Most of the time it is all for not, but (like I said above) better to be safe rather than sorry.

Just my opinion
 

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