didn't post my write up on s.dakota st , but if you look they are the better shooting team by far, but what i really like is that they lost a couple of games by like 2 points then won, then played a warm up game and won and i just think they are finding their way here now, usually a pretty solid team, and i think are picked to be 1st or 2nd in their conf again
st johns tonight -5 what i think is scary here is that when you look into this game everything points to a st johns win and cover, yet this line has not adjusted , st johns averaging 80 a game to 62 for W.V., but st johns gives up 71, and WV gives up 62, so you have to account for the defense of WV here, so to truly look at it you have a 73-67 game which is not much room for error, but what does help is that st johns is a better shooting team, 46% to 38%, and from 2 50% to 42%, and from 3 38% to 29% , effective shooting % is 52.5% to 43.7%, St johns is going to have to control the tempo of this game if they do not they will not cover, they are averaging 11 more shots a game, and in the end if they do not have at least 5-6 more shots i do not think they will cover, but i think they will, i am hoping St Johns can get to 77+ tonight they do that i think they can cover , i see this a little closer than some, i have them winning by 9-10 here 78-68 , unless WV wants to play at a up tempo and looking at their past games this is not what they do
st johns -5 -115
gl 151
st johns tonight -5 what i think is scary here is that when you look into this game everything points to a st johns win and cover, yet this line has not adjusted , st johns averaging 80 a game to 62 for W.V., but st johns gives up 71, and WV gives up 62, so you have to account for the defense of WV here, so to truly look at it you have a 73-67 game which is not much room for error, but what does help is that st johns is a better shooting team, 46% to 38%, and from 2 50% to 42%, and from 3 38% to 29% , effective shooting % is 52.5% to 43.7%, St johns is going to have to control the tempo of this game if they do not they will not cover, they are averaging 11 more shots a game, and in the end if they do not have at least 5-6 more shots i do not think they will cover, but i think they will, i am hoping St Johns can get to 77+ tonight they do that i think they can cover , i see this a little closer than some, i have them winning by 9-10 here 78-68 , unless WV wants to play at a up tempo and looking at their past games this is not what they do
st johns -5 -115
gl 151
Liberty vs Charleston tonight, Liberty on back to back games, one where they got beat up on bad, and charleston as i said before their last game i think are finding theirself right now, i think Liberty is going to shoot much better tonight, after only scoring in the 50's they are going to want to put up some points, FAU is a different animal people, this final 4 team was able to get 14 of their 15 players to come back, that is rare in the NIL days, i would maybe like charleston tonight, but i am going to go OVER the total here 144 buying the half point , i was on charleston in their last game at Kent st, where they did shoot 45% and Kent shot 50% but COC shot 40% from 3, they have scored over 80 in their last 2 games, i think both teams will get close to 80 if not someone gets over 80 so i think the over is the play here tonight
OVER 144 -120 1 unit
OVER 144 -120 1 unit
tonight going with Incarnate word+1 vs Bethune cook ICW playing well, won 3 in a row then had some really close losses losing 80-90 to UTSA then losing 65-67 to a good Jax st team, i think they win this game by 4+, they shoot better, they won last year at home as a 1 point dog by 12, they shoot better from everywhere than cookman does, and again they average like 4-5 more assist than cookman , Bethune is avg 63 pts a game giving up 75, ICW is avg 73 giving up 79, and are committing like 4 fewer fouls , i have to take this,
ICW+1 1 unit almost a BIG play
ICW+1 1 unit almost a BIG play
adding a teaser Brown-pk/over 153 ark LR/ark st game 1 unit
and 1 unit play ..Xavier+4.5 1st half, this line has dropped from 10 to -8.5, Houston is tough, hard to bet against, but i am going with 1st half play here, because they are going to have to keep it close at half to have a chance here, crowd will be pumped bigtime, hoping to catch that early excitement
XAVIER +4.5 1st half 1 unit
and 1 unit play ..Xavier+4.5 1st half, this line has dropped from 10 to -8.5, Houston is tough, hard to bet against, but i am going with 1st half play here, because they are going to have to keep it close at half to have a chance here, crowd will be pumped bigtime, hoping to catch that early excitement
XAVIER +4.5 1st half 1 unit
adding a teaser Brown-pk/over 153 ark LR/ark st game 1 unit
and 1 unit play ..Xavier+4.5 1st half, this line has dropped from 10 to -8.5, Houston is tough, hard to bet against, but i am going with 1st half play here, because they are going to have to keep it close at half to have a chance here, crowd will be pumped bigtime, hoping to catch that early excitement
XAVIER +4.5 1st half 1 unit
and 1 unit play ..Xavier+4.5 1st half, this line has dropped from 10 to -8.5, Houston is tough, hard to bet against, but i am going with 1st half play here, because they are going to have to keep it close at half to have a chance here, crowd will be pumped bigtime, hoping to catch that early excitement
XAVIER +4.5 1st half 1 unit
well going against some money here on this one, Maryland has played 1 road game this year and Villanova held them to 40 points, Indiana is shooting 51% to 41% for Maryland, the 2 they are shooting 60% to 52% and the 3 neither team is shooting well both at about 24%, Indiana takes aboput 5 fewer shots a game but makes about 4 more i like that, i do hope they rebound well tonight...both teams are struggling ATS its bad, but i think Indiana gets one tonight, they are -2 right now, i have this as a 71-64 game
Indiana-2 1 unit
also i am on Washington+10 tonight big in CFB and over 57 in the liberty game
I am going to go against many tonight and the line has went up so i like that, i said last night i kind of favored U Conn, and i am going to take them +4 here -120 just feel U Conn is a solid team, i think
U conn+4 -120 Half unit
also OVER 72.5 TT U Conn half unit
and a teaser Brown-pk over 153 Srk LR
gl everyone 151
Indiana-2 1 unit
also i am on Washington+10 tonight big in CFB and over 57 in the liberty game
I am going to go against many tonight and the line has went up so i like that, i said last night i kind of favored U Conn, and i am going to take them +4 here -120 just feel U Conn is a solid team, i think
U conn+4 -120 Half unit
also OVER 72.5 TT U Conn half unit
and a teaser Brown-pk over 153 Srk LR
gl everyone 151
PLAYS
OVER 144 Liberty game
Over 140 Troy game
s.Dakota st-4
Indiana -2
st Johns-5
OVER 150 canisius/quinn
Xavier+4.5 1st half
ICW+1
half unit u conn+4
Over 72.5 TT u conn half unit
gl everyone
again big fb play on washington tonight
big lean to the over in the BYU game, they are -15 which is a lot , fresno st is not a bad team, but they are expecting a big win here, its low at 142-143, and i think they are seeing a 80-63 type of game, but i do think fresno st may get to 68, but BYU will get 85+ this should get to 153+ tonight, only fear is a really big win of 84-58
OVER 144 Liberty game
Over 140 Troy game
s.Dakota st-4
Indiana -2
st Johns-5
OVER 150 canisius/quinn
Xavier+4.5 1st half
ICW+1
half unit u conn+4
Over 72.5 TT u conn half unit
gl everyone
again big fb play on washington tonight
big lean to the over in the BYU game, they are -15 which is a lot , fresno st is not a bad team, but they are expecting a big win here, its low at 142-143, and i think they are seeing a 80-63 type of game, but i do think fresno st may get to 68, but BYU will get 85+ this should get to 153+ tonight, only fear is a really big win of 84-58
