YTD 23-21
SIDES 13-12
TOTALS 10-9
Won with Denver and the OVER on Thursday night. My record does not look like much, but I've hit 17 winners out of the last 22 posts to get there. (17-5) One of my greater accomplishments here, all free, all the time.
I posted early Thursday afternoon:
"Bobcats are at home, fighting to get into the playoffs a huge game for them. Cats tied for the league lead in most ATS Home covers indicating good value.
Miami in the playoffs but plodding aimlessly".
Bettors are obviously undervaluing the Cats at home, 24-15 ATS(61.5%)tied for the league lead, while overvaluing Miami on the RD. 16-20 ATS(44%). Delving deeper we see that the Cats are winning their games in the HM FAV category by 6 points, while MIAMI is losing their games as a RD DG by 5. The line is 4 so we have excellent value with the Bobcats. Huge game for the franchise.
BOBCATS-4 (<)<
I'm a fundamental bettor, my first instinct was the The Cats at home fighting to get in to the playoffs versus a woobly already in the playoff Miami. Who do you think wants this game more? who needs it more? Bobcats. I then look at the ATS records in the primary positions HM FAV versus RD DOG and see if my instincts have been proven right, If the numbers validate my instinct then I have a bet. I Capp the whole card and usually come up with one game that validates my instinct.
I'm feeling good about myself, so I decided to ramble. Believe me when things are going bad, you'll hardly hear a peep out of me. Just wanted to share. GL
SIDES 13-12
TOTALS 10-9
Won with Denver and the OVER on Thursday night. My record does not look like much, but I've hit 17 winners out of the last 22 posts to get there. (17-5) One of my greater accomplishments here, all free, all the time.
I posted early Thursday afternoon:
"Bobcats are at home, fighting to get into the playoffs a huge game for them. Cats tied for the league lead in most ATS Home covers indicating good value.
Miami in the playoffs but plodding aimlessly".
Bettors are obviously undervaluing the Cats at home, 24-15 ATS(61.5%)tied for the league lead, while overvaluing Miami on the RD. 16-20 ATS(44%). Delving deeper we see that the Cats are winning their games in the HM FAV category by 6 points, while MIAMI is losing their games as a RD DG by 5. The line is 4 so we have excellent value with the Bobcats. Huge game for the franchise.
BOBCATS-4 (<)<
I'm a fundamental bettor, my first instinct was the The Cats at home fighting to get in to the playoffs versus a woobly already in the playoff Miami. Who do you think wants this game more? who needs it more? Bobcats. I then look at the ATS records in the primary positions HM FAV versus RD DOG and see if my instincts have been proven right, If the numbers validate my instinct then I have a bet. I Capp the whole card and usually come up with one game that validates my instinct.
I'm feeling good about myself, so I decided to ramble. Believe me when things are going bad, you'll hardly hear a peep out of me. Just wanted to share. GL
