Friday Bet O The Day 5/29

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A Separate Reality
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PLAYOFFS 2008/2009
YTD 23-15 (60%)
SIDES 7-11 (38%)
TOTALS 16-4 (80%)


Lost last time out with Denver +6 on Wed.

This series is 4-1 to the UNDER. UNDER is 10-2 last 12 between these 2.

UNDER 208' (<)<

Will 103 show up again?
 

RX Cylon
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sure it LOOKS good, until they call 89 fouls again, and 63 points scored in 4th, if its a close game its going way over....only a denver blowout will stay under if lakers give up
 

A Separate Reality
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They shot 65 freethrows and 40 3pointers last game and they couldn't break 200.

KO game, cautious tentative offense and hightened defense by both teams tonight.

Both are tired, altitude drains the lungs.
 

A Separate Reality
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while that has yet to be proven in this series, it has been proven that women will drain the wallet.


run a mile at sea level, go to Denver run a mile after the Ho that took your wallet, tell me how your lungs feel.

:spanker:

spank her when you catch her.
 

A Separate Reality
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It took 24 out 24 freethrows to beat the UNDER a rare event, but hey it happens you can't win them all.

But that doesnt mean we can't try to win them all.

Loss breaks up a 6-0 Total run.


Won 16 out of last 21 in playoffs and 31 out the last 39 Totals here.(31-8) "No Brag Just Fact." (<)<


For those of you old enough to remember 1967s "The Guns of Will Sonnet"

In the show Walter Brennan played a crotchety old army scout searching for his son, a gunfighter on the run. Brennan’s character would tell people that he was a faster draw than his son and then add that it was “No Brag, Just Fact”.

Occamsrazor,the People's Capper, All Free, All the Time.

Motto I "Why charge for picks, I make more than enough money betting them myself."

Motto II "Spend some of your winnings, nothing sweeter than spending won money."

GL Always.



 

A Separate Reality
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Clev/Orlando 4-1 to the OVER. Obvious play is to go with what is happening, OVER. But this is a KO game and KO games are notorious for going UNDER as offense is played close to the vest and defense rules. Going with the OVER is the logical thing to do, but emotionally I'm being pushed to the UNDER; its a KO game, the UNDER is due, etc etc.

If I bet the UNDER and it goes OVER, the negative psychological impact that will befall will not be worth it. This is a test of discipline.

PASS.

I love the UNDER and if it comes in UNDER; I can deal with a missed winner. Since I passed, there is always the bet on Thursday.

What will suck is if I bet UNDER and it goes OVER. I'll be "Fuck what was I thinking, everything objective (logical) said OVER and I went with the subjective (emotional). That is why I Pass, I don't need the drama in my head, its only a setup to chase.
 
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Clev/Orlando 4-1 to the OVER. Obvious play is to go with what is happening, OVER. But this is a KO game and KO games are notorious for going UNDER as offense is played close to the vest and defense rules. Going with the OVER is the logical thing to do, but emotionally I'm being pushed to the UNDER; its a KO game, the UNDER is due, etc etc.

If I bet the UNDER and it goes OVER, the negative psychological impact that will befall will not be worth it. This is a test of discipline.

PASS.

I love the UNDER and if it comes in UNDER; I can deal with a missed winner. Since I passed, there is always the bet on Thursday.

What will suck is if I bet UNDER and it goes OVER. I'll be "Fuck what was I thinking, everything objective (logical) said OVER and I went with the subjective (emotional). That is why I Pass, I don't need the drama in my head, its only a setup to chase.

Don't Pass.
 

A Separate Reality
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I would have lost with the UNDER that I liked. PASS turned out to be the right call for me.

$*)
 

RX Cylon
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so fare EVERY knock out game , or potential knock out game has gone over except maybe 1 or 2 and a push
 

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