Clev/Orlando 4-1 to the OVER. Obvious play is to go with what is happening, OVER. But this is a KO game and KO games are notorious for going UNDER as offense is played close to the vest and defense rules. Going with the OVER is the logical thing to do, but emotionally I'm being pushed to the UNDER; its a KO game, the UNDER is due, etc etc.
If I bet the UNDER and it goes OVER, the negative psychological impact that will befall will not be worth it. This is a test of discipline.
PASS.
I love the UNDER and if it comes in UNDER; I can deal with a missed winner. Since I passed, there is always the bet on Thursday.
What will suck is if I bet UNDER and it goes OVER. I'll be "Fuck what was I thinking, everything objective (logical) said OVER and I went with the subjective (emotional). That is why I Pass, I don't need the drama in my head, its only a setup to chase.