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i gotta love reckless bets like this. than again, everyone and their moms and dads will be on the phillies today ML and everyone will say fade that because everyone is on that bet... but with this series, and being the playoffs, u have to use logic and sense over "gambling lines value"... this is the big dance. this isnt about gamblers lines or the value in the lines. teams are playing to win it all. phils are on a mission and rollin... no way the reds win here after looking lost the other nite. they are going home 0-2. yes, kev isnt a bad capper here, but have to continue rollin with the phils and not with anyone whose betting based on the juice of the reds. of course there is a lot of juice/plus money, they are HUGE under dogs! might be square equally huge under dogs with the twins

I swear I can't take it anymore. I really can't. you have to be the biggest IDIOT on the damn board. I see you posting this bullshit every single day and every single day I see you post it than lose your bets. how the hell do you still have a bank roll left?

the worst part is you continue to lose every day but still coming out swinging bashing the other side!
 

aka...shdw03
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BOL Kevy. Hope you cash this one. No insurance? haha
 

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I swear I can't take it anymore. I really can't. you have to be the biggest IDIOT on the damn board. I see you posting this bullshit every single day and every single day I see you post it than lose your bets. how the hell do you still have a bank roll left?

the worst part is you continue to lose every day but still coming out swinging bashing the other side!
@)
 

Rx Paper Chaser
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all over (no pun intended) it. Just look at how each team has hammered the opposing pitcher. Should jet, not just sail, over. Gl

~t~

fa sho t
 

i am an american aquarium drinker
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Only thing you need to know about the Reds chances tonight are Arroyo's numbers vs. left handed hitters (which Philly has tons of)

BAA .285 (.185 vs. RH, a diff of 100 points! you rarely see this from a starting pitcher)
OBP. 333
SLG .453

his OPS splits vs. LH is over .200 points greater!
game goes way over for one, Phils definitely a solid bet both in 5 and 9.
 

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It would be a mistake to over-value that masterpiece tossed by Halladay. The Reds are a team constructed to score runs in bunches...and they do. Further, with all due respect to Oswalt, he's no Roy, not that anyone else is right now anyway, and to think that this CIN team cannot put 3-4 on him in 6 is really dangerous IMO.

Comparatively, the Phillies can (and likely will, in my judgment) hit the ball well enough vs. Arroyo to piece-meal their own crooked number by 6.

Throw in another 3 innings, 18 outs, and these bats, and I think we'll have the other 1-3 runs to make the over a winner.

Just some thoughts, your mileage may vary.

This 7 run line is just begging for a 6-4 finish, lol.

Good luck men,

James
 

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Only thing you need to know about the Reds chances tonight are Arroyo's numbers vs. left handed hitters (which Philly has tons of)

BAA .285 (.185 vs. RH, a diff of 100 points! you rarely see this from a starting pitcher)
OBP. 333
SLG .453

his OPS splits vs. LH is over .200 points greater!
game goes way over for one, Phils definitely a solid bet both in 5 and 9.



A fair summation. Although admittedly, those numbers are not exactly Ruthian...but enough to plate some runs, no doubt. I counter with taking a look at Oswalts last 4 starts against a line-up that will be of a VERY similar composition.

I see runs on both sides...and still a dangerous play on either ML, nevermind RL.


James
 

degenerate gambler
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Just the response I'd expect from an idiot. If you even have balls, let your boyfriend suck them.

~T~

I'll let your mom suck them and your grandmother watch. I'll fight with you all day. I don't give a fuck. I don't have anything better to do.


Getting back to the thread, throw out all the #'s when it's the playoffs. Trends are for morons anyway.
 

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^ "trends" is a very ambiguous term.

If by " following trends is for morons" you mean: looking at a given team or player's recent performance(s) vs the identical team or foe and using info extracted from said "look" as salient criteria by which to place a wager is "moronic", I do not have a lot to offer you.

If for instance, you think it's "moronic" for I (and others) to choose the Yankees on a well-paying RL the last two night s because of what they've done to the Twins over the last 20 contests, I do not have a lot to offer you. I would point out though, that both wager's paid...although certainly neither were predicated on that fact/"trend" alone.

There are, of course, "trends" that offer more and less value when placing a wager...it helps to know which are which.

I would behoove anyone to take the time to position themselves behind a few that will help them break their book.

Have a good one,

James
 

aka...shdw03
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if this continues, its going to the rubber room...no need for that.

This is Kevy's thread, if there is a problem, please take it elsewhere.
 

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if this continues, its going to the rubber room...no need for that.

This is Kevy's thread, if there is a problem, please take it elsewhere.

HL, I have the deepest respect for Kevy and I apologize for the clutter I managed to get involved in. That being said, all I started out with is how can someone believe that any game in the playoffs isn't equally important to both teams and then the BS began. Again, my apologies to Kevy and the forum. BOLTA

~T~
 

RX Member
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HL, I have the deepest respect for Kevy and I apologize for the clutter I managed to get involved in. That being said, all I started out with is how can someone believe that any game in the playoffs isn't equally important to both teams and then the BS began. Again, my apologies to Kevy and the forum. BOLTA

~T~

Is that your baby in the avatar?? really cute!!! I swear to God she looks like me when I was a baby, really scary
 

aka...shdw03
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who'da thought...reds...lol

stayed away from the side, but played the over.
 

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This thing aint over but what a shitty fucking break for reds backers. bullshit play after play after play. I really hope they come back to win this thing.
 

Go Cubs Go
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Nov 22, 2008
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Missed your last two winners so I'll prolly jump on this one, sorry if that results in a loss haha... good luck my man

Like I said, sorry. This one's all my fault. 5 unearned runs on 4 errors... just unreal. Worst baseball game I've watched, especially in the playoffs. And FWIW, I watch 100+ Cubs game a year.........
 

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