Friday 9/8/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Pesos]

Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.

 

[Pesos]

CFB Trend Report Long Sheet

OHIO U (1 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) at S ALABAMA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 83-55 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at UCF (1 - 0) - 9/8/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Pesos]

CFB Trend Report

6:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games

8:00 PM
OHIO vs. PURDUE
Ohio is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio's last 11 games
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Oklahoma State's last 21 games
Oklahoma State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
South Alabama is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games at home
South Alabama is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

 

[Pesos]

Last 2+ years, MAC teams are 17-7-1 vs spread when facing a Big 14 team (2-2 this year). Purdue (+26) led Louisville 14-10 at half LW, but turned ball over four times (-1), were outgained 524-344 in 35-28 loss to the Cardinals Saturday. Last two years, Ohio U was 5-1 vs spread as a road underdog; since ’11, Bobcats are 20-11 vs spread in non-MAC games. Ohio has 13 returning starters; their OL has 69 returning starts. Favorites are 13-1 vs spread in Purdue’s last 14 home games; they’re 10-6 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Oklahoma State ran for 332 yards, threw for 308 in a 59-24 win over Tulsa LW, but Tulsa was 16-26 on 3rd down, ran 96 plays, so OSU’s defense needs some work. Since 2012, Cowboys are 3-8-2 vs spread as a road favorite. South Alabama was outgained 531-374 by Ole Miss LW in their 47-27 (+22) loss. Jaguars are 5-8 vs spread in last 13 games as a home underdog. USA has 11 starters back; its OL has only 39 returning starts. Sun Belt teams were 5-1 vs spread LW; since 2011, Sun Belt teams are 7-6 vs spread when facing Big X squads.

 

[Pesos]

CFB Tech Trends

OHIO at PURDUE...If Solich a dog note 8-2 mark in role past two seasons. Solich 2-0 vs. line against Big Ten since 2012. Purdue 4-10 vs. line at Ross-Ade in role since 2015 but that was all pre-Brohm, who was 11-6-1 vs. line as host at WKU.
Slight to Purdue, based on Brohm marks.

OKLAHOMA STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA...After just 5-9-1 as DD chalk the past three years, Gundy won first in role for 2017 vs. Tulsa. But Cowboys haven’t covered last 3 as non-Big 12 visitor. USA, however, on 6-15 spread skid since mid 2015, even as 2-1 as Mobile dog LY.
Slight to Oklahoma State, based on USA negatives.

 

[Pesos]

MLB

National League

Brewers @ Cubs
Nelson is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts; under is 11-4 in his last 15. He is 0-0, 6.35 in two starts vs Chicago this season. Brewers are 7-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-14-2

Lackey is 1-1, 4.76 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six. He is 1-1, 4.50 vs Milwaukee this year. Cubs are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-14-2

Milwaukee lost its last three games; under is 12-2-3 in their last 17 road games. Brewers are 0-5 in last five road series openers. Cubs are 8-4 in last 12 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Chicago is 5-1 in last six home series openers.

Phillies @ Nationals
Thompson is 1-1, 5.57 in four starts this season (over 2-2). Phillies split his two road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1-1

Scherzer is 2-0, 1.91 in his last six starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-0, 3.55 in two starts vs Philly this year. Washington is 9-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-6-3

Phillies lost four of last five games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Washington won five of its last six games; over is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Reds @ Mets
Former St John’s hooper Garrett is making his first start since May 20; he is 0-4, 12.90 in his last six starts. Over is 6-1 in his last seven. Reds are 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-8-1

Lugo is 0-2, 6.93 in his last five starts (over 9-3-1). Mets are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-4-3

Reds won five of last eight games; under is 3-1-2 in their last six games. Mets won four of last five games; over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.

Marlins @ Braves
Urena is 3-1, 3.62 in his last six starts; under is 8-4-3 in his last 15 starts. He is 1-1, 2.50 in three starts vs Atlanta this season. Miami is 9-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-4

Foltynewicz is 0-5, 9.00 in his last five starts; over is 7-3 in his last 10 starts. He is 2-0, 1.96 in three starts vs Miami this season. Atlanta is 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-12-6

Marlins lost 10 of last 11 games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine. Atlanta lost five of last eight games. Over is 5-1 in their last six games.

Pirates @ Cardinals
Williams is 1-1, 0.90 in his last three starts; under is 12-2 in his last 14 starts. He is 0-1, 10.38 in two starts vs St Louis this season. Pirates are 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-9-4

Weaver is 4-0, 2.08 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Cardinals split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-1-1

Pirates lost their last three games; under is 4-1 in their last five road games. Bucs are 1-5 in last six road series openers. Cardinals won five of last seven games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games. St Louis is 8-5 in last 13 home series openers.

Padres @ Diamondbacks
Lyles allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (92 PT) in his first San Diego start. San Diego’s first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Corbin is 5-0, 0.76 in his last five starts; over is 7-3 in his last ten starts. He is 2-1, 3.86 vs San Diego this year. Arizona is 9-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-12-4

San Diego won six of last nine games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. Padres are 7-14 in road series openers. Arizona won its last 13 games; over is 3-0-1 in their last four home games. Diamondbacks are 16-6 in home series openers.

Rockies @ Dodgers
Marquez is 2-2, 5.72 in his last five starts; under is 8-0-1 in his last nine. Rockies are 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-6-4

Darvish is 0-2, 7.07 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Dodgers are 1-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-2-1

Colorado lost seven of their last 11 games; under is 8-4 in their last 11 games. Dodgers lost 12 of their last 13 games; under is 4-2 in their last six home games.

American League

Tigers @ Blue Jays
Farmer is 1-2, 14.18 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Detroit won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Stroman is 1-1, 4.23 in his last five starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Toronto is 8-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-11-1

Tigers lost six of last seven games; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Detroit is 11-11 in road series openers. Toronto lost five of last six home games; under is 5-1 in their last six games. Jays are 4-9 in last 13 home series openers.

Rays @ Red Sox
Archer is 1-1, 3.04 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. He is 1-0, 2.92 in two starts vs Boston this year. Tampa Bay is 7-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-7-5

Pomeramz is 4-1, 3.00 in his last six starts; over is 10-6-1 in his last 17 starts. He is 1-1, 6.08 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this season. Boston is 10-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-11

Tampa Bay is 6-4 in its last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven road tilts. Rays are 15-8 in road series openers. Red Sox are 6-4 in their last ten games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Boston is 15-9 in home series openers.

Orioles @ Indians
Miley is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts; his last four starts stayed under. Baltimore is 8-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-14-2

Carrasco is 3-1, 2.14 in his last five starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Cleveland is 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 18-7-2

Orioles are 10-4 in their last 14 games; their last three games went over. Baltimore won its last four road series openers. Cleveland won its last 15 games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 home games. Indians are won their last seven home series openers.

New York @ Texas
Tanaka is 3-0, 2.14 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four starts. New York is 6-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-2

Perez is 6-0, 3.15 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 8-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-12-3

New York won four of last five games; their last six road games went over. NY is 12-11 in road series openers. Texas won six of last nine games; over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Rangers are 13-9 in home series openers.

Twins @ Royals
Santana is 2-0, 4.10 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-2 in his last 11 starts. He is 1-1, 5.68 in three starts vs KC this season. Twins are 10-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-7-6

Kennedy is 0-4, 9.56 in his last seven starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Royals are 5-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-16-4

Twins lost four of last seven games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Royals won four of last seven games (over 5-2).

Astros @ A’s
McHugh is 3-0, 1.08 in his last three starts (under 7-1). Houston is 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-3-1

Cotton is 2-0, 4.32 in his last three starts; under is 6-4-1 in his home starts. Oakland is 4-7 in those home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-1

Astros won their last seven games; under is 8-4-1 in their last 13 games. Houston is 16-6 in road series openers. Oakland lost eight of its last nine games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. A’s are 5-11 in last 16 home series openers.

Angels @ Mariners
Nolasco is 1-0, 5.75 in his last six starts (over 4-1-1). He is 1-0, 4.07 in four starts vs Seattle this season. Angels are 5-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-15-4

Leake allowed two runs in seven IP (105 PT) in his first start for Seattle. Over is 3-1-1 in his last five starts. Mariners’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Angels won six of last nine games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight. Halos are 3-6 in last nine road series openers. Seattle lost its last three games (under 3-0). Mariners are 2-8 in last ten home series openers.

Interleague

Giants @ White Sox
Moore is 1-1, 3.20 in his last four starts; under is 6-4-1 in his last 11. Giants are 3-10 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-18-5

Giolito is 2-1, 2.25 in three starts this season (under 3-0). All three of his starts have been at home (Sox 2-1)— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-1

Giants are 3-10 in their last 13 games; under is 11-6 in their last 17 games. SF is 3-9 in last 12 road series openers. White Sox lost eight of last ten games; under is 10-3 in their last 13 home games. Chicago is 10-13 in home series openers.

Record with this pitcher starting


National League
Mil-Chi: Nelson 16-12 (4-0 last 4); Lackey 16-9
Phil-Wsh: Thompson 2-2; Scherzer 18-8
Cin-NY: Garrett 4-8 (0-6 last 6); Lugo 7-6
Mia-Atl: Urena 15-8; Foltynewicz 13-13 (0-5 last 5)
Pitt-StL: Willliams 10-12; Weaver 4-1
SD-Az: Lyles 1-0; Corbin 15-13
Colo-LA: Marquez 15-9; Darvish 3-2

American League
Det-Tor: Farmer 3-3; Stroman 17-11
TB-Bos: Archer 15-14; Pomeranz 18-9
Balt-Clev: Miley 15-13; Carrasco 19-8
NY-Tex: Tanaka 14-12 (4-0 last 4); Perez 13-14 (6-0 last 6)
Minn-KC: Santana 16-12; Kennedy 13-13
Hst-A’s: McHugh 4-4; Cotton 8-13
LA-Sea: Nolasco 10-18; Leake 1-0

Interleague
SF-Chi: Moore 8-19; Giolito 2-1

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning

National League
Mil-Chi: Nelson 5-28; Lackey 13-25
Phil-Wsh: Thompson 1-4; Scherzer 5-26
Cin-NY: Garrett 6-12; Lugo 4-13
Mia-Atl: Urena 4-23; Foltynewicz 4-26
Pitt-StL: Willliams 7-22; Weaver 1-5
SD-Az: Lyles 1-1; Corbin 12-28
Colo-LA: Marquez 6-24; Darvish 3-5

American League
Det-Tor: Farmer 2-6; Stroman 5-28
TB-Bos: Archer 9-29; Pomeranz 8-27
Balt-Clev: Miley 10-28; Carrasco 5-27
NY-Tex: Tanaka 11-26; Perez 12-27
Minn-KC: Santana 5-28; Kennedy 7-26
Hst-A’s: McHugh 2-8; Cotton 8-21
LA-Sea: Nolasco 12-28; Leake 1-1

Interleague
SF-Chi: Moore 9-27; Giolito 0-3

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 146-127 AL, favorites +$438

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 141-125-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/7/17
Ariz 28-26-19……37-21–11……..65-47
Atl 26-34-9……25-37-7………..51-71
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-22-13………..66-53
Reds 22-39-8……..29-36–7……….51-75
Colo 35-27-6…….37-29-5………..72-56
LA 31-24-13…….41-22-9……….72-46
Miami 28-33-8…….35-26-10………63-59
Milw 33-27-9…….35-27-9……….67-54
Mets 31-34-4……..28-37-6……….59-71
Philly 18-42-15……26-31-8………..44-73
Pitt 30-32-6…….28-31-13………59-63
St. Louis 30-32-9……35-24-9…………65-56
SD 20-39-8……..36-29–9……….56-68
SF 15-47-9……..28-30-12……….43-77
Wash 42-23-7……32-28-8………….74-51

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-37-7………57-70
Boston 30-32-10………31-35-2…….61-67
White Sox 21-37-10………26-41–4…….47-77
Cleveland 44-23-8……..31-24-8……….75-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….28-33-10……..54-67
Astros 34-25-10……..43-24-5……..77-49
KC 26-33-10……..28-28-12…….54-61
Angels 26-36-8………29-27-13……..55-63
Twins 37-22-11………32-32-8…….68-53
NYY 31-36-6……….36-27-4…..…67-63
A’s 25-36-7……..30-31-11……..55-67
Seattle 26-35-9……..36-25-10………62-60
TB 35-26-10……..38-21-9……..73-47
Texas 34-26-11……..35-24-8……..69-50
Toronto 29-37-5……..27-31-10……..56-68

%age of times teams score in first inning
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/7/17
Ariz 22-71……..25-67………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-72……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-69………..45
Reds 27-70……..26-72……….53
Colo 18-68……..25-71..……..43
LA 20-68……..25-71..……..45
Miami 30-69……..26-71………56
Milw 23-69……27-72…..……50
Mets 31-69……..24-71……….55
Philly 16-75……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..22-73……….42
StL 15-72……..21-67………..36
SD 23-67……….24-73……….47
SF 17-72……….20-70……….37
Wash 26-72……..26-68……….52

Orioles 15-66……..24-75……….39
Boston 20-72……..15-68……….35
White Sox 21-68……19-71………..40
Clev 22-76……..21-65………43
Detroit 16-68…….26-71………42
Astros 20-70……..28-70………48
KC 18-70……..13-70……….31
Angels 25-72……..20-70……….45
Twins 16-68……..18-71……….34
NYY 17-72……..18-67……….35
A’s 16-68……..27-72………43
Seattle 21-70…….24-73……….45
TB 21-70……..24-71……….45
Texas 28-72……..29-67………57
Toronto 24-72……..19-71………43

 

[Pesos]

MLB Long Sheet

MILWAUKEE (72 - 68) at CHICAGO CUBS (77 - 63) - 8:05 PM
JIMMY NELSON (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LACKEY is 35-17 (+17.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
LACKEY is 32-10 (+17.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 72-68 (+12.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 46-42 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 57-55 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 76-80 (+7.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-20 (+12.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-9 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 77-63 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 360-300 (-80.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 896-816 (-159.7 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 417-376 (-83.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 56-51 (-22.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-36 (-15.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-27 (-12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-7 (+0.6 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.9 Units)

JIMMY NELSON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
NELSON is 1-6 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 3-9 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.9 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
LACKEY is 6-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 8-5 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-3.0 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

PHILADELPHIA (53 - 87) at WASHINGTON (86 - 54) - 7:05 PM

JAKE THOMPSON (R) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 53-87 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-60 (-23.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 34-68 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-56 (-17.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WASHINGTON is 85-54 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 61-27 (+26.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 134-131 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing on Friday since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 388-436 (+49.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 432-432 (+45.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 22-21 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-5 (+0.7 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.5 Units)

JAKE THOMPSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
THOMPSON is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
SCHERZER is 8-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.04 and a WHIP of 0.906.
His team's record is 11-2 (+7.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-6.0 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

CINCINNATI (61 - 80) at NY METS (61 - 79) - 7:10 PM
AMIR GARRETT (L) vs. SETH LUGO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LUGO is 14-7 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 10-2 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 10-0 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LUGO is 10-1 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CINCINNATI is 53-54 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CINCINNATI is 424-399 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
NY METS are 61-79 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 31-40 (-19.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 124-142 (-58.9 Units) against the money line in home games in September games since 1997.
NY METS are 53-54 (-20.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 4-13 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in home games against left-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 25-33 (-14.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
NY METS are 36-42 (-29.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

AMIR GARRETT vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

SETH LUGO vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
_______________________________________________________________________-

MIAMI (67 - 73) at ATLANTA (62 - 77) - 7:35 PM

JOSE URENA (R) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 59-79 (-27.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 130-170 (+2.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 35-31 (+8.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ATLANTA is 19-14 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
FOLTYNEWICZ is 9-3 (+8.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season. (Team's Record)
FOLTYNEWICZ is 12-7 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 53-51 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-36 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-15 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
URENA is 15-8 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
URENA is 9-2 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
URENA is 13-6 (+9.5 Units) against the money line after a loss this season. (Team's Record)
URENA is 8-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 43-68 (-24.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 8-4 (+4.0 Units) against MIAMI this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.4 Units)

JOSE URENA vs. ATLANTA since 1997
URENA is 1-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.87 and a WHIP of 1.304.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 3-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 6-0 (+6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+2.9 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

PITTSBURGH (67 - 74) at ST LOUIS (72 - 68) - 8:15 PM
TREVOR WILLIAMS (R) vs. LUKE WEAVER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 8-19 (-10.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
PITTSBURGH is 96-117 (-33.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 41-55 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 109-126 (-28.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 68-88 (-26.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 72-68 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 75-74 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 41-38 (-16.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 23-31 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 48-53 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 54-54 (-10.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 7-6 (+0.6 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.5 Units)

TREVOR WILLIAMS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
WILLIAMS is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 10.38 and a WHIP of 2.422.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

LUKE WEAVER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
WEAVER is 0-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

SAN DIEGO (63 - 78) at ARIZONA (82 - 58) - 9:40 PM
JORDAN LYLES (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)

Top Trends for this game.
LYLES is 10-35 (-20.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 82-58 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 36-20 (+13.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 45-23 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 26-10 (+15.4 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 6-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
ARIZONA is 37-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 59-38 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 61-44 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 51-30 (+20.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ARIZONA is 21-10 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
ARIZONA is 46-28 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN DIEGO is 63-78 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 26-22 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 47-50 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 43-31 (+27.7 Units) against the money line in road games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-4 (+4.2 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

JORDAN LYLES vs. ARIZONA since 1997
LYLES is 1-4 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.828.
His team's record is 1-7 (-6.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-7. (-7.0 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CORBIN is 5-4 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.365.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.8 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

COLORADO (75 - 65) at LA DODGERS (92 - 48) - 10:10 PM
GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)

Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 670-1026 (-180.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
COLORADO is 442-704 (-142.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
COLORADO is 75-65 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 25-23 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 32-25 (+8.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 28-25 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA DODGERS are 1-7 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 32-29 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 202-152 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DARVISH is 12-15 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 5-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 6-7 (+2.5 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

YU DARVISH vs. COLORADO since 1997
No recent starts.
_______________________________________________________________________-

DETROIT (59 - 80) at TORONTO (64 - 76) - 7:05 PM
BUCK FARMER (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)

Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 59-80 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 24-36 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 54-172 (-62.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 34-57 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 39-62 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 24-38 (-17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 64-76 (-22.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 27-37 (-15.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
TORONTO is 6-16 (-13.8 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
TORONTO is 4-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
TORONTO is 37-51 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 28-31 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
STROMAN is 3-10 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+0.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.9 Units)

BUCK FARMER vs. TORONTO since 1997
FARMER is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
STROMAN is 0-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.778.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

TAMPA BAY (70 - 71) at BOSTON (79 - 61) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS ARCHER (R) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 138-164 (-33.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 18-30 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-108 (-25.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-90 (-20.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ARCHER is 26-36 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 9-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 16-24 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 12-21 (-13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 9-21 (-14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 39-21 (+18.4 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
POMERANZ is 11-3 (+8.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
POMERANZ is 15-4 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 30-25 (+7.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 36-35 (-16.5 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 52-56 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 39-38 (-9.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
POMERANZ is 17-31 (-21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-7 (+1.0 Units) against BOSTON this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

CHRIS ARCHER vs. BOSTON since 1997
ARCHER is 2-11 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.06 and a WHIP of 1.625.
His team's record is 6-12 (-8.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-11. (-5.8 units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
POMERANZ is 3-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.8 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

BALTIMORE (71 - 69) at CLEVELAND (84 - 56) - 7:10 PM
WADE MILEY (L) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)

Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 37-15 (+12.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 37-14 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 53-20 (+29.2 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 50-31 (+17.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 159-143 (+14.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 279-359 (+45.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 127-153 (+17.3 Units) against the money line in road games in September games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 50-46 (+3.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-29 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 22-21 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.9 Units)

WADE MILEY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
MILEY is 1-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 5.03 and a WHIP of 1.983.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.1 units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
CLEVINGER is 1-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 6.00 and a WHIP of 1.889.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

NY YANKEES (75 - 64) at TEXAS (70 - 69) - 8:05 PM
MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)

Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 14-23 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TEXAS is 70-69 (+3.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 90-60 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 122-96 (+29.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 123-105 (+18.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 35-33 (+6.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 30-24 (+15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS is 15-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 87-76 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TANAKA is 31-14 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+2.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

MASAHIRO TANAKA vs. TEXAS since 1997
TANAKA is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PEREZ is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 12.86 and a WHIP of 2.143.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

MINNESOTA (73 - 67) at KANSAS CITY (69 - 70) - 8:15 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. IAN KENNEDY (R)

Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 69-70 (+5.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 82-58 (+23.2 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-67 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 74-62 (+15.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 53-50 (+7.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 35-31 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 73-67 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 22-15 (+8.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
MINNESOTA is 38-30 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-14 (+8.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 15-7 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
MINNESOTA is 18-11 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 49-37 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 52-48 (+6.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 33-30 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 38-22 (+17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 279-396 (-108.3 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 12-19 (-14.7 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 10-6 (+3.5 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.4 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
SANTANA is 6-10 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.69 and a WHIP of 1.338.
His team's record is 7-17 (-15.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-10. (+1.7 units)

IAN KENNEDY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
KENNEDY is 4-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.220.
His team's record is 7-4 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-8. (-6.4 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

HOUSTON (86 - 53) at OAKLAND (59 - 80) - 10:05 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. JHAREL COTTON (R)

Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 86-53 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-5 (+13.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -175 this season.
HOUSTON is 45-22 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 34-18 (+11.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-20 (+10.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 31-17 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 68-32 (+23.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 29-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 16-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
MCHUGH is 47-28 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCHUGH is 16-2 (+14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 59-80 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 23-42 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 106-127 (-32.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-24 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games in September games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-48 (-23.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 8-22 (-13.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 22-40 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
OAKLAND is 32-54 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
COTTON is 1-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 12-3 (+6.6 Units) against OAKLAND this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)

COLLIN MCHUGH vs. OAKLAND since 1997
MCHUGH is 7-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.133.
His team's record is 9-1 (+8.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.3 units)

JHAREL COTTON vs. HOUSTON since 1997
COTTON is 1-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.176.
His team's record is 1-2 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

LA ANGELS (72 - 68) at SEATTLE (69 - 71) - 10:10 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. MIKE LEAKE (R)

Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 14-34 (-21.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 72-68 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 31-20 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 542-514 (+50.6 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 17-10 (+12.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA ANGELS are 55-48 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 51-46 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 39-28 (+16.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
NOLASCO is 82-78 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 64-50 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 117-117 (-33.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 623-577 (-102.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 31-39 (-11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
SEATTLE is 3-12 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
LEAKE is 10-18 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 8-20 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 9-15 (-10.9 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LEAKE is 4-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 9-4 (+6.8 Units) against SEATTLE this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
NOLASCO is 2-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 4.36 and a WHIP of 1.174.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+1.6 units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
LEAKE is 1-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.875.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.2 units)
_______________________________________________________________________-

SAN FRANCISCO (55 - 87) at CHI WHITE SOX (54 - 85) - 8:10 PM
MATT MOORE (L) vs. LUCAS GIOLITO (R)

Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 55-87 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-49 (-24.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 6-17 (-11.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 36-56 (-20.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-62 (-30.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 17-36 (-22.1 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-39 (-27.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 11-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.
MOORE is 8-19 (-12.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MOORE is 3-14 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 33-26 (+13.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT MOORE vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
MOORE is 4-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 1.45 and a WHIP of 0.774.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.0 units)

LUCAS GIOLITO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home

7:07 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Detroit

7:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. NY METS
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
NY Mets are 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

7:35 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Miami

8:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TEXAS
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 12 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
Texas is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

8:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 11 games when playing Milwaukee
Chi Cubs are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games

8:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CHI WHITE SOX
San Francisco is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

8:15 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games

8:15 PM
MINNESOTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Kansas City's last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:40 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. ARIZONA
San Diego is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 15 of San Diego's last 23 games on the road
Arizona is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home

10:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. OAKLAND
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
COLORADO vs. LA DODGERS
Colorado is 2-11 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games at home
LA Dodgers are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games on the road
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games
Seattle is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 game

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

PHILADELPHIA @ WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

DETROIT @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

BALTIMORE @ CLEVELAND
Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

MIAMI @ ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami

NY YANKEES @ TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

MILWAUKEE @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

SAN FRANCISCO @ CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing San Francisco

MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games at home

COLORADO @ LA DODGERS
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Colorado
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado

LA ANGELS @ SEATTLE
LA Angels is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
LA Angels is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games

 

[Pesos]

MLB Top Trends

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 60 Overs and 27 Unders this season (+30.25 units)

CINCINNATI @ NY METS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in all games. The record is 79 Overs and 49 Unders this season (+24.3 units)

MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY
Play OVER KANSAS CITY on the total in All games in September games. The record is 24 Overs and 9 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.25 units)

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in All games when playing with a day off. The record is 21 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+13.65 units)

HOUSTON @ OAKLAND
Play OVER HOUSTON on the total in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5. The record is 34 Overs and 15 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.95 units)

 

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

HOUSTON at OAKLAND
Play Against - Road teams (HOUSTON) with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (AL), after 2 straight wins by 2 runs or less 179-118 since 1997. ( 60.3% | 64.0 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.3 units )

SAN DIEGO at ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 40-17 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in Home games when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season. The average score was: ARIZONA (6.0) , OPPONENT (4.1)

 

[Pesos]

Diamond Trends - Friday

TOP SU TREND:
The Dodgers are 18-0 since Apr 30, 2014 as a 140+ favorite after a game as a home favorite in which they lost by 5+ runs.

TOP OU TREND:
The Brewers are 0-11-2 OU (-3.38 ppg) since Jun 18, 2017 after they left fewer than 10 men on base individually last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:
The Cubs are 9-0 RUN LINE ON since Apr 13, 2016 when John Lackey starts after he averaged fewer than 3.5 pitches per batter in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:
The Indians are 16-0 since Jun 11, 2017 as a favorite after Edwin Encarnacion hit a home run.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Betting Picks & Tips

Tampa Bay at Boston (-130); Total: 8.5
Chris Archer and Drew Pomeranz are the listed starters for tonight’s matchup at Fenway Park. Archer allowed two home runs to two batters and then exited the game with forearm discomfort in his last start. All tests came back negative and Archer was said to be feeling better, but color me skeptical. Archer’s workload is among the highest in baseball over the last few seasons and forearms ain’t nuthin’ to eff with.

On the year, Archer has had a strong set of numbers with a 3.76 ERA, a 3.32 FIP, and a 3.30 xFIP. He has 225 strikeouts in 179.1 innings of work. He has allowed six home runs over his last four starts, which is a little bit concerning, but his home run rate has been elevated most of the year. Archer’s velo was down in that first inning and he looked pretty concerned when he left the mound. He says he’s fine and the training staff has given him the green light, so we’ll have to see what happens.

My thought on this game is to take a position on Boston. You can probably get the chance to buy out live if you want or let it ride. Archer may not be able to work deep in the game if the same problems flare up. If he does, Drew Pomeranz is pretty good in his own right.

Cincinnati at New York (-110); Total: 9
How bad are things for the Mets right now? They won yesterday and Matt Harvey had a decent stat line, but they’re a virtual money line pick ‘em today against Amir Garrett. Garrett posted a 7.41/7.28/5.17 pitcher slash in his 58.1 innings of work before getting sent down to the minors, where he had a 5.72/4.03/3.94 pitcher slash. It hasn’t been a great season for Garrett in terms of stranding runners and that has been a problem throughout his MiLB career. He’s fairly new to pitching, so he lacks some of that pitchability to get out of situations. And he gets into a lot of situations because of his control.

Seth Lugo was a fine spot starter for the Mets last season, but it has been a little bit of a different story this year. Lugo has a 5.00 ERA with a 4.12 FIP and a 4.43 xFIP. Lugo has decent peripherals across the board, except for a .329 BABIP against, which has created a lot of traffic on the bases. Mix in a 67.7 percent LOB% and that’s how you get a 5.00 ERA. There is some room for positive regression in those numbers for Lugo, though, so I prefer the Mets side today. With so many trades and injuries, the Mets aren’t a good team, but they have some players motivated to make some impressions for future playing time or new contracts. That’s enough to keep them invested. This line looks at least 15 cents off to me, so I think there’s good value on New York.

Miami (-110) at Atlanta; Total: 9.5
I’m not a cold, heartless prick. I promise. But, when I look at tonight’s game, there’s only one way I can go and that’s the Atlanta side. The Marlins, as I talked about yesterday, have much greater concerns than baseball. A hurricane is bearing down on their families and friends. As we know, a lot of Latin players make up the league’s rosters and those players have a lot of concerns as well since Caribbean islands were hit by Hurricane Irma.

There’s just no way to back the Marlins as far as I’m concerned. They gave a game effort yesterday, but that hurricane is drawing closer by the day. Jose Urena is also a bad pitcher and has clear signs of significant statistical regression. I don’t love Mike Foltynewicz by any means, but he’s good enough compared to Urena to take the Braves today. If the Marlins were in a playoff chase, but they could keep their focus between the lines. They’re not.

Milwaukee at Chicago (-125)
No posted total for this night game at Wrigley Field, where Jimmy Nelson and John Lackey will square off. Nelson’s career year could not have come at a better time for the Brewers, who have a ton to play for this weekend. They’ll take the field five back of the Cubs and three back in the Wild Card. This isn’t a last stand series, per se, but losing this series would be troubling, at least for the Central. The Wild Card is still a possibility and the Dodgers could very well take the next three from the Rockies, but Milwaukee needs to find a way to bank some wins.

Nelson has a 3.59 ERA with a 3.05 FIP and a 3.14 xFIP. His K% is up 9.8 percent this season and his walk rate is down 4.2 percent. There is still a fair amount of hard contact in his profile, but it is amazing what more strikeouts and less walks can do to a set of stats. Nelson gave up nine earned runs, 10 total, on 11 hits in 3.2 innings on August 11 and it sent his ERA up quite a bit, which is hard to do with a sample size like this. Since then, he has only allowed eight earned runs over his last four starts, so it was just one of those things. He’s the right guy to set the tone for the Brewers in this series.

Still, I can’t help but think that this line looks a little bit light. John Lackey has struggled this season with a 4.74 ERA, a 5.31 FIP, and a 4.56 xFIP. He’s given up 32 home runs in just 148 innings of work. From July 5 to August 16, Lackey didn’t give up more than three runs in a start and shaved some points off of his ERA. He had a couple bad outings on August 22 and 27, but worked seven shutout against the Braves last time out. That was the first time he had completed seven innings since June 2. Over his last 10 starts, Lackey has a 3.90/4.36/4.53 pitcher slash. He’s been a bit better than his year-to-date numbers for the last two months.

I want to believe in the Brewers and Nelson in this spot, but Lackey has been throwing the ball better and something about this game swings me in the home team’s direction.

San Francisco at Chicago (-115); Total: 9
How bad are the San Francisco Giants? They’re an underdog to a guy making his fourth MLB start of the season against a team that is 16-36 since the All-Star Break. Sure, with home field advantage factored in, the Giants would still be a favorite on a neutral, so maybe I’m exaggerating a little bit, but this has the feel of a game that nobody will want to touch and it may have value as a result.

The question is whether or not Lucas Giolito can hold up his end of the bargain. I can’t imagine the Giants, who have been out of it since April, are too excited to go play an interleague series a long way from home. Giolito has allowed five runs on 12 hits in 20 innings of work with the White Sox. Home runs remain a problem at the MLB level, as he has now allowed 11 in 41.1 innings of work.

The White Sox aren’t much offensively anymore with trades and other things, but Matt Moore isn’t much of a pitcher either. He has a 5.42 ERA with a 4.62 FIP and a 4.98 xFIP on the year. He hasn’t been an effective pitcher since 2013 and that was a Tommy John surgery and a trade to the NL ago. He’s allowed a ton of hard contact this season and rates very poorly in the Statcast metrics.

The White Sox have to be a look tonight as far as I’m concerned. They have a rare chance to get some wins and that will help morale. It’s a long trip for a San Francisco team that doesn’t want to go play in Chicago. Signs point to the White Sox.

 

[Pesos]

Friday's MLB Best Bet

L.A. Angels vs Seattle Mariners

Odds: L.A. (+118) vs Seattle (-127); Total 9.5

A huge series between AL West foes begins in Seattle tonight as both the Angels and Mariners are vying to make a final push for a AL Wild Card spot this year. L.A. has a much bigger edge in that regard at the moment as they enter Friday's action a game behind Minnesota for that final spot, while Seattle finds themselves four games back of the Twins after getting swept by the Astros earlier this week. After those poor results, this series means much more to the Mariners who are looking to get it started right with a home win this evening.

Seattle sends out new pitching acquisition Mike Leake to the hill, and Leake pitched well in his debut for his new squad. That game was a 3-2 home win for Seattle over Oakland and Leake gave up both runs on eight hits over seven full innings of work. That stat line was a bit of a departure from the struggles Leake had during his last days with St Louis during July and August, as the Mariners had to be pleased with what they got from him in his debut. But shutting down a basement-dweller like Oakland is a much different task then pitching well against a rival you are competing with for a playoff spot, so it will be interesting to see Leake's work tonight.

L.A. counters with Ricky Nolasco and he's been far from sharp on the whole since August began. Nolasco has never gone more than six full innings in that span (seven starts), and the Angels have been involved in some tight, high-scoring games during that time as well. With the Angels bats finally cooling off the other day in a 3-1 defeat to the aforementioned Oakland A's, L.A. fans better hope that result was an abnormality because the Angels bats had been smoking hot prior to that.

For seven straight games prior to that 3-1 loss, L.A. had scored at least six runs in all of their games, and had 8+ runs in five of those games. The additions of Brandon Phillips and Justin Upton has lengthened their lineup significantly, and the excitement of playing meaningful September baseball for the first time in a few years has brought some of the joy back to the games of Trout, Pujols and company.

There is little question in my mind that the one run they scored on Wednesday was nothing but an anomaly and I expect the Angels bats to light up the scoreboard tonight. Leake may have been decent in his first outing for Seattle, but 4 or more runs were scored against him in his last four starts with St Louis prior to the trade, and that's the Leake I think we get this evening.

Yet, I wouldn't go and lay the farm on the Angels ML in that case as Nolasco's been far from good either. This will be his fifth start vs the Mariners this year and while the Angels are 3-1 SU in those games, his two prior starts in Seattle finished with 6-5 and 8-7 scores. A desperate Mariners team could easily end up on the right side of a scoreline like that and it's why I'm sending my money to the total.

Getting 11 or more runs in two starts in this stadium is not good for Nolasco from his perspective, but it does look great to bettors who want the 'over.' Seattle is more than capable of mashing the ball around tonight, and with the way the Angels have been scoring of late, I don't know how you can not like the 'over' tonight.

L.A. is on a 4-1-1 O/U run following a day off, is 4-0-2 O/U in Nolasco's last six starts against division rivals, and as a team the Angels are 6-1-1 O/U in their last eight against AL West foes. Meanwhile, Seattle is on a 8-1 O/U run when playing a foe that scored two runs or less in their last outing, and also have a strong 'over' trend going following a day off as they are 10-4 O/U in this spot the last 14 tries. With plus-money odds currently being offered on the high side of this number, that's where my money is going tonight.

Best Bet: Over 9.5

 

[Pesos]

MLB Umpire Assignments

953 Philadelphia Phillies +318 Over 7½ -110
954 Washington Nationals -350 Under 7½ -110
Quinn Wolcott 2017: 14-12, 14-9 o/u (2016: 15-15, 18-11 o/u)
Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games with Wolcott behind home plate.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games with Wolcott behind home plate.

965 Detroit Tigers +204 Over 9 -110
966 Toronto Blue Jays -224 Under 9 -110
Umpire information not available.

955 Cincinnati Reds
956 New York Mets
Dan Bellino 2017: 14-11, 6-15 o/u (2016: 13-16, 14-13 o/u)
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Bellino behind home plate.
Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Bellino behind home plate.

967 Tampa Bay Rays +122 Over 8½ -115
968 Boston Red Sox -132 Under 8½ -105
Umpire information not available.

969 Baltimore Orioles +144 Over 9 -115
970 Cleveland Indians -154 Under 9 -105
Umpire information not available.

957 Miami Marlins -109 Over 9½ +100
958 Atlanta Braves -101 Under 9½ -120
Mike Muchlinski 2017: 11-15, 16-10 o/u (2016: 17-12, 14-15 o/u)
Under is 5-1 in Muchlinskis last 6 Marlins games behind home plate.
Under is 7-3 in Muchlinskis last 10 Braves games behind home plate.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Muchlinski behind home plate.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Muchlinski behind home plate.

951 Milwaukee Brewers +110
952 Chicago Cubs -120
Umpire information not available.

971 New York Yankees
972 Texas Rangers
Umpire information not available.

979 San Francisco Giants +104 Over 9 -110
980 Chicago White Sox -114 Under 9 -110
Umpire information not available.

959 Pittsburgh Pirates +159 Over 8½ +110
960 St. Louis Cardinals -169 Under 8½ -130
Umpire information not available.

973 Minnesota Twins -118 Over 9½ +100
974 Kansas City Royals +108 Under 9½ -120
Joe West 2017: 15-13, 14-14 o/u (2016: 20-13, 16-17 o/u)
Home team is 10-4 in Wests last 14 games behind home plate.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games with West behind home plate.
Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 games with West behind home plate.

961 San Diego Padres +215 Over 9½ +100
962 Arizona Diamondbacks -235 Under 9½ -120
Umpire information not available.

975 Houston Astros -159 Over 9 -110
976 Oakland Athletics +149 Under 9 -110
Umpire information not available.

963 Colorado Rockies +177 Over 8 +110
964 Los Angeles Dodgers -187 Under 8 -130
Jim Reynolds 2017: 14-12, 14-9 o/u (2016: 10-19, 15-14 o/u)
Home team is 7-3 in Reynolds' last 10 games behind home plate.
Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 games with Reynolds behind home plate.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Reynolds behind home plate.
Over is 11-4-1 in Reynolds' last 16 games behind home plate.
Under is 11-3-1 in Reynolds' last 15 Rockies games behind home plate.

977 Los Angeles Angels +115 Over 9½ -115
978 Seattle Mariners -125 Under 9½ -105
Umpire information not available.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Umpire Trends

Philadelphia at Washington
Umpire Trends - Quinn Wolcott

Nationals are 7-1 in their last 8 games with Wolcott behind home plate.
Home team is 5-1 in Wolcotts last 6 Friday games behind home plate.
Over is 5-1-2 in Wolcotts last 8 Friday games behind home plate.
Road team is 4-1 in Wolcotts last 5 games behind home plate.
Under is 3-1-1 in Wolcotts last 5 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Phillies are 0-5 in their last 5 games with Wolcott behind home plate.
_______________________________________________________________

Cincinnati at NY Mets
Umpire Trends - Dan Bellino

Road team is 4-0 in Bellinos last 4 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games with Bellino behind home plate.
Home team is 4-1 in Bellinos last 5 Friday games behind home plate.
Over is 11-3 in Bellinos last 14 Friday games behind home plate.
Over is 8-3 in Bellinos last 11 games behind home plate vs. Cincinnati.
Under is 15-6-4 in Bellinos last 25 games behind home plate.
Under is 5-2-1 in Bellinos last 8 games behind home plate vs. New York.
Road team is 5-2 in Bellinos last 7 games behind home plate vs. New York.
Home team is 7-3 in Bellinos last 10 games behind home plate.
Reds are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Bellino behind home plate.
_______________________________________________________________

Miami at Atlanta
Umpire Trends - Mike Muchlinski

Under is 5-1 in Muchlinskis last 6 games behind home plate vs. Miami.
Road team is 4-1 in Muchlinskis last 5 Friday games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Home team is 9-3 in Muchlinskis last 12 games behind home plate vs. Miami.
Road team is 10-4 in Muchlinskis last 14 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Under is 7-3 in Muchlinskis last 10 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Muchlinski behind home plate.
Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Muchlinski behind home plate.
_______________________________________________________________

Minnesota at Kansas City
Umpire Trends - Joe West

Under is 3-0-1 in Wests last 4 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
Home team is 4-1 in Wests last 5 Friday games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
Royals are 7-2 in their last 9 games with West behind home plate.
Under is 6-2 in Wests last 8 Friday games behind home plate.
Home team is 14-5 in Wests last 19 games behind home plate vs. Minnesota.
Home team is 10-4 in Wests last 14 games behind home plate.
Twins are 2-5 in their last 7 games with West behind home plate.
_______________________________________________________________

Colorado at LA Dodgers
Umpire Trends - Jim Reynolds

Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games with Reynolds behind home plate.
Over is 4-0 in Reynolds' last 4 Friday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Under is 11-3-1 in Reynolds' last 15 games behind home plate vs. Colorado.
Dodgers are 21-7 in their last 28 games with Reynolds behind home plate.
Over is 11-4-1 in Reynolds' last 16 games behind home plate.
Home team is 5-2 in Reynolds' last 7 Friday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Home team is 5-2 in Reynolds' last 7 games behind home plate vs. Colorado.
Home team is 7-3 in Reynolds' last 10 games behind home plate.
Road team is 15-7 in Reynolds' last 22 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
Rockies are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Reynolds behind home plate.

 

[Pesos]

CFL Trends

MONTREAL (3 - 7) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (5 - 5) - 9/8/2017, 10:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-1 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

_____________________________________________________________________

MONTREAL @ BRITISH COLUMBIA
Montreal is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games on the road
British Columbia is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Montreal
British Columbia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing British Columbia
Montreal is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
British Columbia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal

 

[Pesos]

CFL Betting Notes

Montreal Alouettes (3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (5-5 SU, 4-5-1 ATS)

Point-spread: BC -7½
Total: 49½

Game Overview
Montreal has just one SU victory in its last six games and it has failed to cover in its last three. This once stout defense that held Edmonton to 19 points and Calgary to 23 points early in the year, has now allowed at least 32 points in each of its last three games. Drew Willy replaced Darian Durant in last week’s loss and he completed eight of his 11 passing attempts for 98 yards. It remains to be seen which quarterback will get the call against BC.

The Lions return to action following last week’s bye in desperate need of a win after dropping their last three games SU with a 0-2-1 slide ATS. BC beat Montreal on the road 23-16 in early July to cover as three-point favorites with Jonathon Jennings at quarterback, but this offense has looked its best with Travis Lulay under center. The veteran signal caller has thrown for 1,693 yards and 10 touchdowns in his time on the field running the Lions’ offense.

Betting Trends
BC has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS including three games on the road. The total stayed UNDER 50 points in the first meeting this season and it has stayed UNDER in six of the last nine games in this inter-division matchup.

 

[Pesos]

Montreal (3-7) @ BCLions (5-5) — Both teams lost last three games; Lions (-2.5) beat Alouettes 23-16 in Montreal in Week 3, game that was 6-6 at the half. Als lost five of last six visits here. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Montreal is 0-4 on road, 2-2 as a road underdog, with losses by 4-5-1-32 points on foreign soil. Under is 7-3 in Alouette games this season. Lions are 2-2 at home, 1-2 as home favorites, with home wins by 15-3 points. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. In its last three games, Montreal scored only 6-31-4 points.

 

[Pesos]

CFB

Friday's Tip Sheet

Oklahoma State at South Alabama
As of early Thursday morning, most betting shops had Oklahoma State (1-0 straight up, 1-0 against the spread) installed as a 28-point favorite with a total of 67 for ‘over/under’ wagers. SBG Global and 5Dimes.eu were offering the Jaguars to win outright for a 30/1 payout (risk $100 to win $3,000).

Oklahoma State raced out to a 21-0 first-quarter lead and coasted to a 59-24 win over Tulsa as a 19.5-point home ‘chalk’ in last Thursday’s season opener. The 83 combined points went ‘over’ the 71-point total. Mason Rudolph connected on 20-of-24 passes for 303 yards and three touchdowns without an interception. The senior signal caller also ran for a TD. Justice Hill rushed for a team-best 132 yards and one TD on 15 carries, while true freshman J.D. King had 95 rushing yards and one TD on just six attempts. La’Darren Brown, a redshirt freshman, ran for 92 yards and one TD on five totes. James Washington brought down six catches for 145 yards and two TDs, while senior WR Marcell Ateman finished with four receptions for 75 yards.

Oklahoma State’s defense was led by senior safety Tre Flowers vs. Tulsa. Flowers was in on a team-high eight tackles with one pass broken up. Although the Pokies gave up 424 yards of total offense to Tulsa, they forced a pair of turnovers, got one fourth-down stop and allowed only 17 points since one of the Golden Hurricane’s TDs came via special teams. Senior LB Chad Whitener added seven tackles and one QB hurry, while junior LB Kenneth Edison-McGruder produced five tackles, one sack, one pass broken up and one fumble return for an 82-yard TD.

Oklahoma State owns an 18-12-2 spread record in 32 games as a road favorite during Mike Gundy’s 13-year tenure. If the line holds at -28, it will be the richest road ‘chalk’ spot for the Cowboys on Gundy’s watch. They’ve been favored by 27.5 at Kansas (20-14 non-covering ‘W’) in 2011, by 27 at UTSA (56-35 non-covering ‘W’) in ’12 and, of course, the -26.5 spot at Iowa State in ’11 (a 37-31 loss) that kept them out of the BCS Championship Game.

Keep in mind that Oklahoma State beat Tulsa on Thursday night, while South Alabama played Saturday in Oxford and didn’t get back to Mobile until late Saturday night, if not early Sunday morning.

South Alabama (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) lost a 47-27 decision at Ole Miss this past Saturday, but it scored back-to-back TDs in the fourth quarter to post a backdoor cover for its backers (like me!) as a 22-point road underdog. The 74 combined points went ‘over’ the 59.5-point total when the Rebels scored early in the fourth quarter. Cole Garvin threw a 30-yard TD pass with 5:09 left in the second quarter to knot the score at 10-10. Ole Miss made a short field goal with 32 ticks remaining to give it a three-point advantage at intermission. The Rebels went on a 34-3 run to start the second half before the Jaguars answered with the final 14 points.

Garvin, a junior who began his career at Marshall and started three games for USA as a redshirt sophomore in 2016, completed 19-of-31 passes for 204 yards and one TD without an interception in Oxford. He also ran for a pair of scores, including a 14-yard run to paydirt and a one-yard TD plunge to secure the backdoor cover. Garvin has a 5/1 TD-INT ratio for his career. Jamarius Way had two catches for 42 yards and one TD, while Sa’Mory Collier hauled in four receptions for 43 yards. Juco transfer RB Tra Minter rushed 12 times for 83 yards and had one catch for 12 yards. Xavier Johnson, a second-team All Sun-Belt selection last year, was limited to 33 rushing yards on 11 attempts.

Joey Jones’s squad gave up a kickoff return for a TD to Ole Miss after cutting the deficit to 26-13 in the third quarter. However, other than that, USA played a clean game with zero turnovers and only three penalties. The Jaguars couldn’t close a pair of red-zone opportunities, setting for two 20-yard field goals from Gavin Patterson.

South Alabama’s secondary took a big hit in August when junior CB Jalen Thompson was ruled academically ineligible for the season. Thompson had 31 tackles, four interceptions and six passes broken up last year. Now senior safety Neiko Robinson is ‘out’ on Friday due to a leg injury. Robinson recorded 64 tackles and one interception in ’16. The USA secondary still has senior safety Jeremy Reaves, a first-team All Sun-Belt pick last season. Reaves tallied eight tackles, one sack, one tackle for loss and one PBU at Ole Miss.

South Alabama has compiled a 5-8 spread record in 13 games as a home underdog during Jones’s nine-year tenure. The Jaguars went 2-1 ATS in three such spots last season, beating then-unbeaten and 19th-ranked San Diego State by a 42-24 count as 19-point home ‘dogs.

This is the first meeting between these schools.
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Ohio at Purdue
As of early Thursday morning, most books had Purdue (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) listed as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 57. The Bobcats were +150 on the money line (risk $100 to win $165).

Purdue nearly started the Jeff Brohm Era with a major upset over his alma mater, but the sixth lead change of the game put Louisville in front with 9:01 left in the fourth quarter and the Cardinals held on for a 35-28 win. Nevertheless, the Boilermakers easily covered the number as 25.5-point underdogs at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The 63 combined points slipped ‘under’ the 66-point total.

Purdue led U of L 14-10 at halftime thanks to David Blough’s eight-yard TD pass to Richie Worship with 51 seconds remaining in the second quarter. Blough threw his second TD of the game to Brycen Hopkins for two yards midway through the third quarter to put his team in front by a 21-13 count. But U of L’s Reggie Bonnafon would answer with a 10-yard TD run and then Blough was intercepted by Stacy Thomas, who turned it into a 61-yard pick-six to put Bobby Petrino’s bunch ahead, 25-21. The Boilermakers kept fighting, though, and went back in front 28-25 on Elijah Sindelar’s 14-yard scoring strike to Jackson Anthrop. U of L quickly responded with a 20-yard TD pass from Lamar Jackson to Dez Fitzpatrick with 9:01 left in the final stanza. The Cardinals would punch in a field goal and the defense did the reState

Blough finished with 18 completions on 26 attempts, but he matched his two TD passes with a pair of interceptions. Sindelar connected on 15-of-31 throws for 118 yards and two TDs with one interception. Anthrop had a team-best seven receptions for 82 yards and two TDs.

Purdue junior RB Markell Jones, who led the Boilermakers with a team-high 616 rushing yards and four TDs last season (4.0 YPC), remains out indefinitely with a knee injury. Sophomore DT Lorenzo Neal is suspended for the first half after being flagged for targeting vs. U of L. Neal had 11 tackles, one sack and two TFL’s in ’16. Senior safety C.J. Parker is out for the season with an ACL tear. Parker started five games last year, recording 35 tackles, three TFL’s and one interception. And finally, starting junior CB Tim Cason is listed as ‘questionable’ due to eligibility issues. Cason had 17 tackles and one PBU as a sophomore in ’16.

Ohio opened the year with a 59-0 win over Hampton as a 36-point home ‘chalk.’ The 59 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 47-point total. The Bobcats enjoyed a 420-108 advantage in total offense. Sophomore QB Quinton Maxwell completed 7-of-9 passes for 100 yards and one TD with one interception. Nathan Rourke connected on 6-of-10 throws for 72 yards, but he made his biggest impact with his legs. Rourke rushed six times for 50 yards and three TDs. Junior RB A.J. Ouellette ran for 63 yards on 12 attempts, while Dorian Brown ran for 49 yards and one TD on 10 carries. True freshman RB Julian Ross ran for a pair of scores and 27 yards on 11 totes. Junior WR Papi White made three catches for 35 yards and one TD.

Ohio will be without three starters due to injury at Purdue. Sophomore WR Elijah Ball, who had 16 catches for 212 yards and two TDs as a freshman in ’16, is out for the year with a knee injury. Senior starting right guard Durrell Wood remains out indefinitely with a back ailment. Wood has 26 career starts for the Bobcats to his credit. Also, sophomore CB Mayne Williams is out indefinitely with a neck injury. Williams started eight games last season, producing 22 tackles, one interception and one PBU. Finally, junior RB Maleek Irons is suspended for the entire ’17 campaign. Irons rushed for 439 yards and five TDs while averaging 4.6 YPC last season. Irons also had 14 catches for 96 yards.

Ohio finished last season with an 8-6 SU record and a 7-7 ATS mark, dropping a 28-23 decision to Troy as a 4.5-point underdog at the Dollar General Bowl. The Bobcats brought back seven starters on offense and six on defense but as noted, three of those starters won’t be in uniform Friday night at Ross-Ade Stadium in West Lafayette.

Ohio owns a 19-22-1 spread record in 42 games as a road underdog during Frank Solich’s 13-year tenure, but we’ll note that the Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six such spots. They’re 3-0 ATS in their last three outings against Power Five foes, winning outright at Kansas last year and covering the spread in a 28-19 loss at Tennessee.

Purdue is 3-0 ATS in its last three games as a home favorite over the last two seasons.

Purdue has been victorious in 13 consecutive home openers, but eight of those opponents were FCS schools. The Boilermakers have won all seven head-to-head meetings with Ohio, but these schools haven’t met since 1988.

B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets
UCF will take on Memphis in Orlando on Friday night at 6:30 p.m. Eastern. As of early Thursday morning, most spots had the Knights listed as a three (with extra juice) or 3.5-point home favorite with a total of 69. Bettors could take the Tigers to win outright for a +140 return (risk $100 to win $140). UCF has won nine in a row over Memphis since losing the first meeting in this rivalry in 1990. Scott Frost’s team trounced FIU by a 61-17 count as a 17.5-point home ‘chalk’ in Week 1. The 78 combined points went ‘over’ the 56.5-point tally. Meanwhile, Memphis defeated ULM 37-29 in a game played while heavy rain and wind smothered the Liberty Bowl. The Tigers failed to cover the number as a 28-point home fave.

Memphis is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games as a road ‘dog.

Alabama has limped to a 3-13 spread record in its last 16 games as a favorite of 35 points or more. The Crimson Tide is favored by 43-44 points for Saturday’s home game vs. Fresno State

Due to Hurricane Irma, Florida and FSU have moved their games vs. Northern Colorado and ULM to noon Eastern, respectively.

Miami’s game at Arkansas State has been postponed. Since these schools don't share an open date, this game won't be made up and season win total wagers on both teams will be 'no action.'